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803 Danforth St Triplex
B Composite 70.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$299,900

803 Danforth St · Syracuse, NY 13208
8 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,740 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1860 3,960 sqft lot $109/sqft · 21% above area Est $249k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.

Key facts

  • 3,960 sq ft lot
  • Built 1860
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $557/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,448/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $300k implies a 614% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $281,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.98%
Cash-on-cash
23.86%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,580
List price
$299,900
Delta
20.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Herbert St 0.38mi 9/3.0 (+1) 2,692 (-2%) 8mo $275,000 $102 68
610 Bear St 0.24mi 8/2.5 2,482 (-9%) 13mo $205,000 $83 60
507 - 509 Lemoyne Ave 0.37mi 7/2.0 (-1) 2,834 (+3%) 17mo $134,900 $48 54
177 Kuhl Ave 0.72mi 7/2.0 (-1) 2,776 (+1%) 3mo $205,000 $74 52
2412 Lodi St 0.38mi 8/3.0 2,331 (-15%) 13mo $195,000 $84 47
442 S Alvord St 0.66mi 8/2.0 3,012 (+10%) 5mo $150,000 $50 45
220 Sunset Ave 0.44mi 9/2.0 (+1) 2,464 (-10%) 14mo $161,000 $65 42
606 Pond St 0.33mi 7/2.0 (-1) 3,063 (+12%) 18mo $165,500 $54 41
904 Park St 0.57mi 7/2.5 (-1) 2,584 (-6%) 22mo $195,000 $75 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.2%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$269,622
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
9.46×
Total profit
$710,204
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13208

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,448 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$934
Net cashflow
$1,670

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,334
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 57%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,448

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,900 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,900 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $299,900 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.

  17. 2026-05-04
    price $309,900 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $319,900 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.

  19. 2026-02-01
    status Pending
  20. 2026-01-31
    historical
  21. 2026-01-02
    price $339,900
  22. 2025-12-16
    price $349,900
  23. 2025-11-26
    listed $369,900 Active
  24. 2014-05-13
    historical
  25. 2014-05-08
    soldstatus $42,000
  26. 2014-01-16
    listed $50,000
  27. 2012-10-01
    listed $60,000
  28. 2004-10-27
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,755 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,412 · $284/mo
Expected delta
+$1,656/yr (+$138/mo · 94.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,376
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$1,755
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,270
− Management
−$4,270
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable income
$16,058
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,854
After-tax cash flow
$16,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,993
Household income
$44,712
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1437.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.91%
Current HPI
399.3284
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+391.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $299,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $309,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $319,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-02-01 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $339,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $349,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $369,900 CNYIS
  • 2014-05-13 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2014-05-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CNYIS
  • 2014-01-16 Listed $50,000 CNYIS
  • 2012-10-01 Listed $60,000 CNYIS
  • 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,755 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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