Triplex
803 Danforth St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.
Key facts
- 3,960 sq ft lot
- Built 1860
- Listed 78 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $557/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,448/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $300k implies a 614% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.86%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,580
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- 20.65%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Herbert St | 0.38mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,692 (-2%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 610 Bear St | 0.24mi | 8/2.5 | 2,482 (-9%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 507 - 509 Lemoyne Ave | 0.37mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,834 (+3%) | 17mo | $134,900 | $48 | 54 |
| 177 Kuhl Ave | 0.72mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,776 (+1%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $74 | 52 |
| 2412 Lodi St | 0.38mi | 8/3.0 | 2,331 (-15%) | 13mo | $195,000 | $84 | 47 |
| 442 S Alvord St | 0.66mi | 8/2.0 | 3,012 (+10%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $50 | 45 |
| 220 Sunset Ave | 0.44mi | 9/2.0 (+1) | 2,464 (-10%) | 14mo | $161,000 | $65 | 42 |
| 606 Pond St | 0.33mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 3,063 (+12%) | 18mo | $165,500 | $54 | 41 |
| 904 Park St | 0.57mi | 7/2.5 (-1) | 2,584 (-6%) | 22mo | $195,000 | $75 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $269,622
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.46×
- Total profit
- $710,204
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 16.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,448 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$934
- Net cashflow
- $1,670
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $4,449 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,483 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,483 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,483 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,448 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $299,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $299,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $299,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.
-
2026-05-04price $309,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.
-
2026-04-01$319,900 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Outstanding 3-unit in the heart of northside. A lot of improvements have been done with this property. Kitchens & bathrooms have been updated. Most of the floorings have been replaced with LVP, there are 3 separate meters for electricity and gas. Tenants pay their own utilities. Furnaces and hot water heaters are all in great condition. $4350/month rental incomes. Over 14% cash on cash return & solid investment opportunity. Make an offer! C of C is just issued on 3/31/2026. Ready to go.
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2026-02-01status Pending
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2026-01-31historical
-
2026-01-02price $339,900
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2025-12-16price $349,900
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2025-11-26$369,900 Active
-
2014-05-13historical
-
2014-05-08soldstatus $42,000
-
2014-01-16$50,000
-
2012-10-01$60,000
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,755 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,412 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,656/yr (+$138/mo · 94.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$1,755
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,270
- − Management
- −$4,270
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $16,058
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,854
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+391.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $299,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $309,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $319,900 CNYIS
- 2026-02-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $339,900 CNYIS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $349,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $369,900 CNYIS
- 2014-05-13 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2014-05-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CNYIS
- 2014-01-16 Listed $50,000 CNYIS
- 2012-10-01 Listed $60,000 CNYIS
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,755 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…