1500 County Road 1 #54 · Dunedin, FL 34698

$166,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 150 Days on market

Built 1969 Est $152k · 9% over $275/mo HOA · 12% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.1/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.9/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +4.3/5.0
• ARV discount +3.4/15.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Turnkey, Fully Furnished Home in Desirable Lake Highlander! Located in the highly sought-after Lake Highlander Mobile Home Park, this well-maintained 1969, 2-bedroom/2-bath home offers 1,056 sq. ft. of living space, plus an additional 240 sq. ft. Florida Room—perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the Florida lifestyle. Major updates provide peace of mind, including a new 3-ton Rheem straight-cool A/C system (September 2021) with all-new ductwork, along with a 2017 AMS Weather Lok roof-over on both the home and Florida room featuring a lifetime limited warranty (transferable at company’s option). Tie-downs are installed for added storm stability, and the home has been H

Key facts

• New a/c system
• Roof-over
• New ductwork

Tags

• TURNKEY
• FULLY FURNISHED
• FLORIDA ROOM
• NEW A/C SYSTEM
• NEW DUCTWORK
• ROOF-OVER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Furnished; Directions: From state road 580 head North on County Road 1. Turn left heading west into Lake Highlander Mobile Home Park. At stop sign, go straight on Anne Marie Circle. Follow around to Lot 54. Home will be on your right, look for 54 on mailbox.
• Financial info: Total monthly fees $275 (total annual fees $3,300); Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $275); Association requires approval; Association amenities: clubhouse, laundry, pool, shuffleboard court; Association fee covers: pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, management, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water; Association name: Sharon or Stacy; On-site property manager; Senior community; Cats allowed; Community features: clubhouse, pool, sidewalks, golf carts allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Residential mobile home; Double wide; One story; North-facing; Entry on main level
• Construction: Metal siding; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a mobile home
• Exterior features: Awnings; Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Window treatments; Blinds
• Laundry & utility: Outside laundry; Washer and dryer (included)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $166k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.8% in Dunedin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#15 in FL, #411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $24k; list at $166k implies a 592% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $146,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.79%
• DSCR: 1.66
• GRM: 6.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $152,064
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1500 County Road 1 #176	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,160 (+10%)	19mo	$167,500	$144	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $8,971
• Equity at exit: $24,751

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.12×
• Total profit: $52,267
• Equity at exit: $14,353

Cash invested: $46,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34698

• Rents YoY: 2.7%
• Active inventory: 478
• Price-to-rent: 6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,302 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$871
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $375/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$275
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$483
• Net cashflow: $573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,577

Max offer price $166,000

Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $667	-5% $620	+0% $573	+5% $526	+10% $479
Rent	-10% $391	-5% $482	+0% $573	+5% $664	+10% $755
Rate	-1.0pp $657	-0.5pp $615	base $573	+0.5pp $530	+1.0pp $486

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,500
• Closing costs: $4,980
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 39 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1515 County Road 1 Dunedin, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0	719	$1,750	$2.43	8d	1	0.30mi
2021 Valley Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1445	$4,500	$3.11	25d	1	0.45mi
1580 Andover Dr Unit House Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	1241	$2,200	$1.77	25d	1	0.56mi
1268 Pinehurst Rd Dunedin, FL	1.0	1.0	1080	$1,500	$1.39	17d	1	0.65mi
1454 Michigan Blvd Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$2,300	$2.30	5d	1	0.69mi
1141 San Christopher Dr Apt B Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,595	$1.59	2d	1	0.70mi
1388 Robin Hood Ln Unit 1141-B Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,595	$1.59	2d	1	0.70mi
1525 Ruth Rd Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1379	$3,200	$2.32	5d	1	0.72mi
1479 Ruth Rd Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1235	$2,700	$2.19	25d	1	0.73mi
1196 Angle Rd Dunedin, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,675	$2.39	5d	1	0.75mi
1412 Gladys Cir Unit 1466152P Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1097	$3,847	$3.51	3d	1	0.84mi
1430 Heather Ridge Blvd #304 Dunedin, FL	1.0	1.0	915	$1,500	$1.64	25d	1	0.97mi
1235 Bass Blvd Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1300	$2,550	$1.96	18d	1	1.08mi
690 Regina Rd Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	745	$2,195	$2.95	5d	1	1.11mi
1187 Bass Blvd Unit A Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	850	$1,850	$2.18	25d	1	1.13mi
1187 Bass Blvd Unit C Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	850	$1,850	$2.18	18d	1	1.13mi
2257 Palmwood Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1150	$2,475	$2.15	5d	1	1.14mi
841 Patricia Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0–2.0	904	$1,950	$2.16	17d	2	1.15mi
841 Patricia Ave #103 Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	874	$2,000	$2.29	25d	1	1.15mi
3055 Belcher Rd Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$1,345	$1.79	22d	1	1.16mi
3052 Park Ln Unit B Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	821	$1,700	$2.07	25d	1	1.18mi
2013 Woodward Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1405	$2,400	$1.71	25d	1	1.20mi
1849 San Mateo Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	1.0	1128	$2,800	$2.48	18d	1	1.22mi
612 Bass Ct Dunedin, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0	698	$2,031	$2.91	2d	6	1.27mi
2233 Snead Ave Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1284	$3,000	$2.34	17d	1	1.29mi
2233 Snead Ave Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1284	$3,000	$2.34	25d	1	1.29mi
2228 Richter St Unit A Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1225	$1,900	$1.55	25d	1	1.32mi
2005 McMullen Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1350	$2,595	$1.92	25d	1	1.32mi
920 Lakewood Dr Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1457	$3,000	$2.06	25d	1	1.33mi
2780 Park Dr Unit D 4 Clearwater, FL	2.0	1.5	900	$1,625	$1.81	25d	1	1.34mi
2011 McMullen Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1300	$2,395	$1.84	2d	1	1.34mi
2015 McMullen Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1300	$2,295	$1.77	25d	1	1.34mi
2019 McMullen Ave Dunedin, FL	2.0	2.0	1300	$2,295	$1.77	18d	1	1.35mi
526 Belmist Ct Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1480	$2,700	$1.82	25d	1	1.41mi
580 Skinner Blvd Unit 4 Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	750	$2,045	$2.73	25d	1	1.41mi
525 Bay St Dunedin, FL	2.0	1.0	1104	$3,500	$3.17	5d	1	1.43mi
2780 Cypress Dr Unit A Clearwater, FL	2.0	1.0	900	$1,749	$1.94	22d	1	1.46mi
2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	873	$2,099	$2.40	4d	15	1.46mi
1579 Bayshore Blvd Dunedin, FL	3.0	2.0	1040	$3,500	$3.37	8d	1	1.50mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $275 · $3,300/yr

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $166,000 Active 150 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $166,000 Active 149 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $166,000 Active 148 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $166,000 Active 146 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $166,000 Active 142 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $166,000 Active 141 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $166,000 Active 140 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   days on market $166,000 Active 137 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $166,000 Active 136 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $166,000 Active 134 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $166,000 Active 133 DOM
12. 2026-04-22
    price $166,000
13. 2026-04-02
    status Active
14. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
15. 2026-02-26
    price $169,000
16. 2026-01-15
    listed $177,900 Active
17. 2002-10-01
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $375 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,378 · $115/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,003/yr (+$84/mo · 267.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,628
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,299
• − Property taxes: −$375
• − Insurance: −$830
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,210
• − Management: −$2,210
• − HOA: −$3,300
• − Depreciation: −$4,829
• Taxable income: $4,575
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,098
• After-tax cash flow: $5,777/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Dunedin

• Score: 86/100
• State rank: #15
• US rank: #411

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dunedin, FL
• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 38,171
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 38,171
• Household income: $74,078
• Rent vs Own: 26.6% rent · 73.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1390.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -515.66%
• Current HPI: 387.4694
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.69%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+591.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $166,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-02 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-15 Listed $177,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $375 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.