1016 Shoma Dr · Royal Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom 2-1/2 bath condo with 2 levels inside-living area on 1st floor and bedrooms on 2nd floor, tile on 1st floor, washer, dryer, patio, gated community with community pool.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community pool
- Tile on 1st floor
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions on breed, number, and size
- HOA & community: SHOMA association with monthly HOA dues; Community pool; HOA covers insurance, grounds and structure maintenance, security, trash, common areas, reserves, and pool service
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking and guest spaces; 2 open parking spaces (total parking 2)
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Fire sprinkler system; Gated community (no guard); Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric service; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; Two levels; Entry on level 2; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: CBS construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of SHOMA building
- Exterior features: Covered and open patios; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms (2-story unit)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Roman tub
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Everglades Elementary (math 70% / reading 74%, grade A-, #288 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 888 students, 34% FRL); Emerald Cove Middle School (math 61% / reading 64%, grade B+, #116 of 571 statewide, top 21%, 1,241 students, 36% FRL); Palm Beach Central High School (math 42% / reading 55%, grade D, #198 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 2,980 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.46%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-33,642
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-25,289
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33414
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 616
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$373 /mo · $4,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$565
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$679
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $206 | +0% $135 | +5% $65 | +10% $-6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $8 | +0% $135 | +5% $263 | +10% $391 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $199 | base $135 | +0.5pp $71 | +1.0pp $5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1008 Shoma Dr Unit 394 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1282 | $2,400 | $1.87 | 19d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 570 Christina Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $2,862 | $2.74 | 2d | 10 | 0.17mi |
| 2405 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1932 | $2,375 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3515 Shoma Dr Unit 3515 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1815 | $3,250 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3106 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1988 | $4,000 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3106 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1988 | $3,900 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3308 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1988 | $2,500 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3308 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1988 | $2,500 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2108 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,400 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2127 Shoma Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1282 | $2,500 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 137 Canterbury Pl Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $3,500 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 11300 Channing Ln Unit 102 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2111 | $4,299 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 175 Berenger Walk Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $3,600 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1451 Pioneer Way Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $4,750 | $2.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 640 Pioneer Way Unit 640 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1557 | $3,100 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11260 Channing Way Unit 212 Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $3,174 | $2.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 220 Pioneer Way Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1557 | $3,200 | $2.06 | 8d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1090 Quaye Lake Cir Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1719 | $3,513 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1090 Quaye Lake Cir Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1429 | $2,761 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1090 Quaye Lake Cir Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1501 | $2,695 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 11200 Nicole Dr Wellington, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1404 | $3,732 | $2.66 | 0d | 34 | 0.61mi |
| 217 Berenger Walk Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $3,000 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 625 Whippoorwill Ter West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1914 | $4,500 | $2.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11020 Town Cir Wellington, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $3,143 | $3.10 | 2d | 14 | 0.81mi |
| 1592 Carriage Brooke Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $3,000 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10793 Oak Bend Way Wellington, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $4,000 | $2.16 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1664 Oak Berry Cir Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,650 | $2.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10709 Pelican Dr Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,900 | $2.33 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1019 Larch Way Wellington, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2125 | $4,000 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10726 Pelican Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11297 Pine Valley Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $3,500 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 176 Bellezza Ter Royal Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2058 | $3,350 | $1.63 | 11d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10569 Pelican Dr Wellington, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1843 | $3,400 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1104 Jackpine St Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $6,700 | $3.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1104 Jackpine St Unit (off-season) Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $3,500 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1950 Polo Lake Blvd Wellington, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1174 | $3,394 | $2.89 | 0d | 20 | 1.26mi |
| 699 Belle Grove Ln Royal Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $3,500 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 502 Rambling Drive Cir Unit 2 Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8694 Pioneer Rd West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $3,500 | $1.75 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1313 Pinetta Cir Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $3,700 | $2.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $565 · $6,780/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$250,000 Active
-
2026-05-07$2,500
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2025-08-26price $285,000
-
2025-08-05price $290,000
-
2025-06-26price $295,000
-
2025-02-19$300,000 Active
-
2023-05-03historical
-
2023-03-23price $300,000
-
2022-06-06price $325,000
-
2022-05-26$295,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,478 · $373/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,478 · $373/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,478
- − Insurance
- −$2,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,105
- − Management
- −$3,105
- − HOA
- −$6,780
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$1,979
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$475
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Royal Palm Beach
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #2039
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Royal Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 75,299
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,184
- Household income
- $112,241
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1566.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 20% Black 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 6% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.58%
- Current HPI
- 352.9366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-15.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $250,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,500 RMLSFL
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $285,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $290,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $295,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-02-19 Listed $300,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-05-03 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-03-23 Price Changed $300,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-06 Price Changed $325,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-05-26 Listed $295,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,478 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…