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106 Dodge St Duplex
C- Composite 52.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

106 Dodge St · Buffalo, NY 14209
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,440 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1910 4,230 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Large lot
  • Large attic

Tags

LARGE ATTICOFF STREET PARKINGLARGE LOT3 BLOCKS TO MEDICAL CAMPUS1 BLOCK TO MASTEN PARK1 BLOCK FROM MAIN STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tenant pays all utilities; Operating expense details: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Residential 2-unit zoning
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Open porch; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 141

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 50.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,115/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $75k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.49%
Cap rate
50.01%
Cash-on-cash
156.15%
DSCR
7.95
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,040
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 Riley St 0.34mi 6/3.0 2,522 (+3%) 7mo $210,000 $83 68
44 Laurel St 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,600 (+7%) 10mo $130,100 $50 66
253 High St 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,448 (+0%) 16mo $233,000 $95 65
248 Peach St 0.46mi 6/2.0 2,612 (+7%) 4mo $191,000 $73 63
361 E North St Unit S 0.53mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,544 (+4%) 3mo $172,500 $68 59
53 Pershing Ave 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,360 (-3%) 11mo $149,000 $63 48
494 Best St 0.71mi 6/2.0 2,352 (-4%) 17mo $267,000 $114 47
37 Pershing Ave 0.71mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,641 (+8%) 1mo $85,000 $32 43
254 W Utica St 0.72mi 6/2.0 2,206 (-10%) 15mo $375,000 $170 38
159 Purdy St 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,080 (-15%) 6mo $212,500 $102 38
157 Park St 0.69mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,644 (+8%) 11mo $661,000 $250 35
227 Timon St 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,084 (-15%) 10mo $190,000 $91 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.55×
Total profit
$200,465
Equity at exit
$29,026
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.58×
Total profit
$516,085
Equity at exit
$41,375

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14209

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$864
Net cashflow
$2,733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 29%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 23d 1 1.29mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    listed $75,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-06
    soldstatus $50,000
  17. 2016-10-24
    soldstatus $15,000 Closed Sale or Rented 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  18. 2016-10-18
    soldstatus $15,000
  19. 2016-06-09
    status Pending Sale 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  20. 2016-06-09
    status Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  21. 2016-05-05
    historical 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  22. 2016-05-02
    price $29,900 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  23. 2016-02-06
    listed $34,900 Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.

  24. 2016-01-17
    historical
  25. 2015-10-16
    listed $41,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,380
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,950
− Management
−$3,950
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$33,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,063
After-tax cash flow
$24,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
8,313
Household income
$50,046
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.86%
Current HPI
443.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 8.53%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-24 Sold (MLS) $15,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-09 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-06-09 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-05 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-02 Price Changed $29,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-02-06 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-01-17 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2015-10-16 Listed $41,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $95 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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