Duplex
106 Dodge St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Large lot
- Large attic
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tenant pays all utilities; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story residence; Residential 2-unit zoning
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Open porch; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 141
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating (see remarks)
- Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 50.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,115/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $75k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 156.15%
- DSCR
- 7.95
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Riley St | 0.34mi | 6/3.0 | 2,522 (+3%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $83 | 68 |
| 44 Laurel St | 0.31mi | 6/2.0 | 2,600 (+7%) | 10mo | $130,100 | $50 | 66 |
| 253 High St | 0.45mi | 6/2.0 | 2,448 (+0%) | 16mo | $233,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 248 Peach St | 0.46mi | 6/2.0 | 2,612 (+7%) | 4mo | $191,000 | $73 | 63 |
| 361 E North St Unit S | 0.53mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,544 (+4%) | 3mo | $172,500 | $68 | 59 |
| 53 Pershing Ave | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,360 (-3%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $63 | 48 |
| 494 Best St | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,352 (-4%) | 17mo | $267,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 37 Pershing Ave | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,641 (+8%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $32 | 43 |
| 254 W Utica St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,206 (-10%) | 15mo | $375,000 | $170 | 38 |
| 159 Purdy St | 0.70mi | 6/2.0 | 2,080 (-15%) | 6mo | $212,500 | $102 | 38 |
| 157 Park St | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,644 (+8%) | 11mo | $661,000 | $250 | 35 |
| 227 Timon St | 0.70mi | 6/2.0 | 2,084 (-15%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $91 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.55×
- Total profit
- $200,465
- Equity at exit
- $29,026
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 25.58×
- Total profit
- $516,085
- Equity at exit
- $41,375
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14209
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$864
- Net cashflow
- $2,733
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $4,114 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,057 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,057 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,115 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-17$75,000 Active
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2025-08-06soldstatus $50,000
-
2016-10-24soldstatus $15,000 Closed Sale or Rented 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-10-18soldstatus $15,000
-
2016-06-09status Pending Sale 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-06-09status Active 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-05-05historical 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-05-02price $29,900 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-02-06$34,900 Active 148-char remark
Show marketing remark (148 chars)
Location, Location, Location!!! Upper & lower, minutes from downtown, hospitals, highway, Anchor Bar and Main Street. House needs renovations.
-
2016-01-17historical
-
2015-10-16$41,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,950
- − Management
- −$3,950
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $33,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,313
- Household income
- $50,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.86%
- Current HPI
- 443.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.53%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+79.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-24 Sold (MLS) $15,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2016-06-09 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2016-05-05 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2016-05-02 Price Changed $29,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-02-06 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-01-17 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2015-10-16 Listed $41,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $95 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…