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957 Highland Light Ln 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 21.04
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +1.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$355,000

957 Highland Light Ln · Houston, TX 77091
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,781 sqft · Land · 42 Days on market
Built 2026 1,873 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* New Construction * Stunning two-story home with the living area and kitchen on the first floor, with a well appointed fenced backyard. Upgraded finishes throughout including smart-home features, quartz countertops, stainless-steel appliances, soft close drawers and cabinets, and LED lighting. Enjoy this 12-home gated community centrally located. With close proximity to The Heights, I-610, I-290, I-45 and downtown Houston.

Key facts

  • Smart-home features
  • Quartz countertops
  • Soft close drawers

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDSMART-HOME FEATURESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESSOFT CLOSE DRAWERSLED LIGHTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Builder: Iberica Construction

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached oversized garage with 2 spaces
  • Security: Controlled access; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; New construction (2026); Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Built in 2026; Brick, cement siding, synthetic stucco and wood siding construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fence; Cleared lot in a subdivision; Controlled access; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas range; Microwave; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Thermostat (energy efficient)
  • Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Quartz counters; Soaking tub; Separate shower; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $355,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $769,210.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $355k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $299k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 1.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Williams Middle (math 9% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,623 of 1,662 statewide, top 98%, 411 students, 98% FRL); Washington B T H S (math 27% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 878 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 675 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,985/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 3210% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $298,544 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.39%
Cap rate
1.68%
Cash-on-cash
-16.48%
DSCR
0.27
GRM
21.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$769,210
List price
$355,000
Delta
-53.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-50.4%
Equity multiple
-0.48×
Total profit
$-319,826
Equity at exit
$114,692
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.49×
Total profit
$-536,935
Equity at exit
$66,507

Cash invested: $215,379 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77091

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
675
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,034
Tax est. 1.5%
$962 /mo · $11,538/yr
Insurance
$321
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$627
Net cashflow
$-3,024

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,813
Max offer price $392,677
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$192,303
Closing costs
$23,076
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1116 Woodland St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2400 $4,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.23mi
1111 Studewood St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1240 $2,075 $1.67 15d 1 0.35mi
825 Usener St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,925 $2.79 2d 27 0.56mi
401 Walton St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2112 $2,500 $1.18 15d 1 0.62mi
4615 Indie Heights Ln Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1685 $2,900 $1.72 43d 1 0.75mi
725 Peddie St Unit 1257756P Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1496 $5,083 $3.40 43d 1 0.86mi
1127 Walling St Unit R Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,295 $1.64 43d 1 0.90mi
2000 Taylor St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 916 $3,082 $3.36 2d 33 0.90mi
2114 Sabine St Unit 1257735P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2594 $6,588 $2.54 43d 1 0.95mi
2114 Sabine St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2020 $3,200 $1.58 43d 1 0.95mi
655 Yale St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 978 $2,842 $2.91 2d 39 0.99mi
604 E 17th St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1724 $3,500 $2.03 43d 1 1.00mi
2018 Crockett St Unit 2018 Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2514 $8,000 $3.18 43d 1 1.02mi
2018 Crockett St Unit 1029793P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2507 $6,482 $2.59 5d 1 1.02mi
525 Yale St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $3,345 $3.29 1d 41 1.05mi
2305 Summer St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 842 $3,046 $3.62 1d 11 1.08mi
207 Carl St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1230 $2,250 $1.83 43d 1 1.09mi
1520 Oliver St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 926 $2,865 $3.09 2d 45 1.16mi
3003 Summer St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1008 $3,216 $3.19 3d 36 1.16mi
1512 Crockett St Unit A Houston, TX 2.0 2.5 1808 $2,800 $1.55 43d 1 1.17mi
1510 Crockett St Houston, TX 2.0 3.0 1912 $2,800 $1.46 43d 1 1.17mi
3030 Summer St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $2,394 $2.63 2d 35 1.17mi
1441 East St Unit 592 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1385 $1,824 $1.32 43d 1 1.18mi
3275 Summer St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 995 $2,570 $2.58 2d 17 1.19mi
1141 Louise St Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 2228 $4,000 $1.80 43d 1 1.20mi
4605 Fisk St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1628 $3,000 $1.84 43d 1 1.23mi
2121 Edwards St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 879 $2,880 $3.27 3d 25 1.26mi
1614 Northwood St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2300 $2,850 $1.24 44d 1 1.29mi
2403 Everett St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2093 $2,800 $1.34 43d 1 1.30mi
770 Strawberry Pines Ct Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 2.5 1422 $2,735 $1.92 1d 12 1.32mi
120 Yale St Unit 22 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1258 $1,800 $1.43 43d 1 1.33mi
1617 Enid St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,417 $2.48 2d 56 1.34mi
1011 Studemont St Unit 358 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1364 $2,102 $1.54 43d 1 1.35mi
1011 Studemont St Unit 2534 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1324 $1,998 $1.51 43d 1 1.35mi
4040 Koehler St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,060 $1.62 7d 1 1.39mi
4040 Koehler St Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,060 $1.62 5d 1 1.39mi
705 Link Rd Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1850 $2,600 $1.41 7d 1 1.41mi
4040 Koehler St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,084 $1.64 11d 1 1.42mi
4040 Koehler St Unit 4077 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,095 $1.65 12d 1 1.42mi
4040 Koehler St Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,052 $1.61 3d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $355,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $359,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $359,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $374,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $374,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $374,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $374,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $374,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $374,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    listed $374,000 Active 425-char remark
  14. 2026-04-27
    historical
  15. 2026-03-06
    listed $374,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$830 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,496 · $541/mo
Expected delta
+$5,666/yr (+$472/mo · 682.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,825
− Mortgage interest
−$43,088
− Property taxes
−$11,538
− Insurance
−$4,644
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,866
− Management
−$2,866
− Depreciation
−$22,377
Taxable loss
−$51,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$12,373
After-tax cash flow
$-23,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,728
Household income
$35,432
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
3210.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 45% Two or more races 15% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.19%
Current HPI
283.7523
Rent YoY
▲ 2.10%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $359,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $374,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $374,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…