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16067 Dam Rd Multi-family 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 54.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

16067 Dam Rd · Clearlake, CA 95422
1 bd · 2.5 ba · 684 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1956 4,356 sqft lot $276/sqft · at area comps Est $195k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

Key facts

  • Private boat dock
  • Newer roof
  • Waterfront property

Tags

WATERFRONT PROPERTYNEWER ROOFTWO SEPARATE LIVING SPACESPRIVATE BOAT DOCKDIRECT ACCESS TO THE WATERFULLY FURNISHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size source: Assessor's data; Lot features: 0–1 unit per acre
  • HOA & community: Community amenities: watersports, horse trails, golf course, biking, hiking, fishing, dog park, park, sidewalks, lake access, mountainous terrain, BLM/National Forest nearby

Exterior

  • Parking: Uncovered parking for 3 vehicles; Driveway (asphalt)
  • Security: Smoke detector
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public/district water; Sewer, electricity and water connected
  • Home design: Single-story house; 2 total dwelling units (includes an ADU); Property includes 1 ADU
  • Construction: Structure type: House; Year built source: Public records
  • Exterior features: House; Rain gutters; Private barbecue; Open patio; Storage building, shed and outbuilding; Lot on/near seawall, includes dock, creek on lot; Fishing access in community; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range and electric oven; Formal dining room
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower in tub; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating and space heater; Window/wall cooling units
  • Interior features: One-level home; All bedrooms on the main level; Entry on the main level; Smoke detector; Private spa
  • Laundry & utility: Individual laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Clearlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#549 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Konocti Unified (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #494 of 517 in CA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $189k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.11%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,783
List price
$189,000
Delta
-2.97%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-12,080
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$13,390
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95422

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
15.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,981 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,613
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 80%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,981

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7665 Cache Creek Way Apt A Clearlake, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 20d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $189,000 Active 1683-char remark
  18. 2015-02-16
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  19. 2015-02-16
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  20. 2015-02-13
    soldstatus $100,000
  21. 2014-12-17
    status Pending 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  22. 2014-12-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  23. 2014-09-22
    listed $85,000 New 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  24. 2014-09-22
    listed $85,000 New
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.

  25. 2014-01-01
    historical
  26. 2013-07-11
    listed $90,000 Active
  27. 2011-06-14
    historical
  28. 2011-01-04
    soldstatus $40,000
  29. 2010-08-18
    listed $59,900
  30. 2009-11-30
    listed $84,900
  31. 2007-11-11
    historical
  32. 2007-11-11
    historical
  33. 2007-05-14
    listed $269,000
  34. 2007-04-18
    listed $269,000
  35. 2006-03-10
    soldstatus $220,000
  36. 2006-03-10
    soldstatus $220,000
  37. 2005-11-10
    listed $220,000
  38. 1992-05-12
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,772
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,651
− Insurance
−$1,742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,902
− Management
−$1,902
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$489
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$117
After-tax cash flow
$3,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Konocti Unified
NCES district ID
0620070
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,026
Composite
11.81/100
National rank
#9677
State rank
#494 of 517 in CA

Livability — Clearlake

Score
61/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#18284

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clearlake, CA
Population (ZIP)
17,101

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,396 people
By 2030
60,626 · -2.8%
By 2040
56,453 · -9.5%
By 2050
53,054 · -15.0%
By 2075
47,663 · -23.6%
By 2100
41,804 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.47%
Current HPI
248.654
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+170.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2015-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2015-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-17 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2014-12-17 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $85,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $85,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2014-01-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2013-07-11 Listed $90,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-06-14 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-01-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-08-18 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
  • 2009-11-30 Listed $84,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-11-11 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-11-11 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-05-14 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-04-18 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-10 Sold (MLS) $220,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-11-10 Listed $220,000 CRMLS
  • 1992-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,651 · +102.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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