Multi-family
🌊 Lakefront
16067 Dam Rd · Clearlake, CA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 32 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
Key facts
- Private boat dock
- Newer roof
- Waterfront property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size source: Assessor's data; Lot features: 0–1 unit per acre
- HOA & community: Community amenities: watersports, horse trails, golf course, biking, hiking, fishing, dog park, park, sidewalks, lake access, mountainous terrain, BLM/National Forest nearby
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking for 3 vehicles; Driveway (asphalt)
- Security: Smoke detector
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public/district water; Sewer, electricity and water connected
- Home design: Single-story house; 2 total dwelling units (includes an ADU); Property includes 1 ADU
- Construction: Structure type: House; Year built source: Public records
- Exterior features: House; Rain gutters; Private barbecue; Open patio; Storage building, shed and outbuilding; Lot on/near seawall, includes dock, creek on lot; Fishing access in community; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range and electric oven; Formal dining room
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower in tub; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating and space heater; Window/wall cooling units
- Interior features: One-level home; All bedrooms on the main level; Entry on the main level; Smoke detector; Private spa
- Laundry & utility: Individual laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Clearlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#549 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Konocti Unified (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #494 of 517 in CA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $189k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.11%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,783
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -2.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,080
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $13,390
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95422
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $1,980 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $990 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $990 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,981 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7665 Cache Creek Way Apt A Clearlake, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-13$189,000 Active 1683-char remark
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2015-02-16soldstatus $100,000 Sold 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2015-02-16soldstatus $100,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2015-02-13soldstatus $100,000
-
2014-12-17status Pending 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2014-12-17status Pending
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2014-09-22$85,000 New 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2014-09-22$85,000 New
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
A must see to believe that this home has so much to offer with its 1 bed room each unit, spacious living rm, walk in closet & full bath rooms. 2 car port & convenient to shopping areas. Off Hwy 29 into a beautiful neighborhood, has running creek back yard & sunset view. A vacation home awakes for U.
-
2014-01-01historical
-
2013-07-11$90,000 Active
-
2011-06-14historical
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2011-01-04soldstatus $40,000
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2010-08-18$59,900
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2009-11-30$84,900
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2007-11-11historical
-
2007-11-11historical
-
2007-05-14$269,000
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2007-04-18$269,000
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2006-03-10soldstatus $220,000
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2006-03-10soldstatus $220,000
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2005-11-10$220,000
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1992-05-12soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$1,651
- − Insurance
- −$1,742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,902
- − Management
- −$1,902
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Konocti Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0620070
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,026
- Composite
- 11.81/100
- National rank
- #9677
- State rank
- #494 of 517 in CA
Livability — Clearlake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #18284
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clearlake, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,101
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,396 people
- By 2030
- 60,626 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 56,453 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 53,054 · -15.0%
- By 2075
- 47,663 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 41,804 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.47%
- Current HPI
- 248.654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+170.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
- 2015-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-02-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-17 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2014-12-17 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2014-09-22 Listed $85,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2014-09-22 Listed $85,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2014-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-07-11 Listed $90,000 CRMLS
- 2011-06-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-01-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CRMLS
- 2010-08-18 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
- 2009-11-30 Listed $84,900 CRMLS
- 2007-11-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-11-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-05-14 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
- 2007-04-18 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
- 2006-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-10 Sold (MLS) $220,000 CRMLS
- 2005-11-10 Listed $220,000 CRMLS
- 1992-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,651 · +102.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…