3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #105 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$141,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- 9 hole golf course
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($140k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $981 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.00%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,000
- List price
- $141,900
- Delta
- -12.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #4 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $123 | 97 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #240 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 3mo | $152,500 | $105 | 95 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #109 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $93 | 88 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #134 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $93 | 88 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #339 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (+6%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $110 | 80 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #294 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 4mo | $142,000 | $91 | 80 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #275 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $103 | 79 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #65 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,534 (+5%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $135 | 77 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #323 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-11%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #108 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $106 | 72 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #236 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (+14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $108 | 70 |
| 3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #250 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 3mo | $152,000 | $122 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $95,635
- Equity at exit
- $21,158
- IRR
- 60.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $225,990
- Equity at exit
- $12,269
Cash invested: $39,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85050
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,672 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$744
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$177 /mo · $2,128/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$771
- Net cashflow
- $1,920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,475
- Closing costs
- $4,257
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1490 | $4,750 | $3.19 | 43d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1383 | $4,350 | $3.15 | 17d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1405 | $6,000 | $4.27 | 17d | 3 | 0.65mi |
| 4066 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1269 | $3,500 | $2.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $5,000 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $10,000 | $5.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4517 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $3,100 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4509 E Lone Cactus Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 21624 N 46th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,200 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3626 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,500 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4632 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $3,800 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 20729 N 37th Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20660 N 40th St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,500 | $2.64 | 17d | 4 | 1.42mi |
| 4726 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1610 | $2,500 | $1.55 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4723 E Weaver Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $2,595 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 20660 N 40th St #2137 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 21150 N Tatum Blvd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1136 | $2,495 | $2.20 | 1d | 26 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $141,900 Active 406 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $141,900 Active 405 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $141,900 Active 404 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $141,900 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $141,900 Active 401 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $141,900 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $141,900 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $141,900 Active 396 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $141,900 Active 395 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $141,900 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $141,900 Active 391 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $141,900 Active 390 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $141,900 Active 389 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $141,900 Active 388 DOM
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2026-03-23price $142,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2026-01-27price $149,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2026-01-08price $160,000 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2025-08-06status Active 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2025-08-01status Pending 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2025-06-03price $165,000 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
-
2025-05-02$170,000 Active 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!
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2004-11-17historical
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2004-08-16$57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,949
- − Property taxes
- −$2,128
- − Insurance
- −$710
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,525
- − Management
- −$3,525
- − Depreciation
- −$4,128
- Taxable income
- $22,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
- NCES district ID
- 0405930
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,106
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4316
- State rank
- #56 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,118
- Household income
- $139,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.38%
- Current HPI
- 308.7483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+150.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $142,900 ARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $149,900 ARMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-06 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-08-01 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $165,000 ARMLS
- 2025-05-02 Listed $170,000 ARMLS
- 2004-11-17 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2004-08-16 Listed $57,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…