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3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #105
B+ Composite 76.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$141,900

3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #105 · Phoenix, AZ 85050
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 406 Days on market
Built 2000 $97/sqft · 13% below area Est $163k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • 9 hole golf course
  • Community amenities

Tags

GUARD GATED COMMUNITYUPDATED FLOORINGWALK IN CLOSETCOVERED PORCHCOMMUNITY AMENITIES9 HOLE GOLF COURSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($140k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $981 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 406 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $124,872 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 406 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.59%
Cap rate
22.53%
Cash-on-cash
58.00%
DSCR
3.58
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,000
List price
$141,900
Delta
-12.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #4 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 4mo $179,000 $123 97
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #240 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 3mo $152,500 $105 95
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #109 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-4%) 1mo $130,000 $93 88
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #134 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+7%) 1mo $145,000 $93 88
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #339 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (+6%) 4mo $170,000 $110 80
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #294 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+7%) 4mo $142,000 $91 80
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #275 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+7%) 1mo $160,000 $103 79
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #65 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,534 (+5%) 7mo $207,000 $135 77
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #323 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (-11%) 4mo $159,000 $123 73
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #108 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-14%) 1mo $132,000 $106 72
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #236 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (+14%) 1mo $180,000 $108 70
3901 E Pinnacle Peak Rd #250 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-14%) 3mo $152,000 $122 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.4%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$95,635
Equity at exit
$21,158
10-year hold
IRR
60.0%
Equity multiple
6.69×
Total profit
$225,990
Equity at exit
$12,269

Cash invested: $39,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85050

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,672 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$744
Tax est. 1.5%
$177 /mo · $2,128/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$771
Net cashflow
$1,920

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,241
Max offer price $141,900
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,475
Closing costs
$4,257
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.5–3.0 1490 $4,750 $3.19 43d 2 0.65mi
3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.5 1383 $4,350 $3.15 17d 2 0.65mi
3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1405 $6,000 $4.27 17d 3 0.65mi
4066 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.5 1269 $3,500 $2.76 43d 1 0.97mi
4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1828 $5,000 $2.74 43d 1 1.07mi
4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1828 $10,000 $5.47 24d 1 1.07mi
4517 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1663 $3,100 $1.86 14d 1 1.31mi
4509 E Lone Cactus Dr Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1663 $4,500 $2.71 43d 1 1.32mi
21624 N 46th Pl Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1540 $3,200 $2.08 4d 1 1.37mi
3626 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,500 $1.65 24d 1 1.37mi
4632 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1519 $3,800 $2.50 43d 1 1.37mi
3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1782 $2,550 $1.43 24d 1 1.38mi
3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ 4.0 2.0 1782 $2,550 $1.43 21d 1 1.38mi
20729 N 37th Way Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1670 $3,000 $1.80 14d 1 1.39mi
20660 N 40th St Phoenix, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1325 $3,500 $2.64 17d 4 1.42mi
4726 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.5 1610 $2,500 $1.55 7d 1 1.43mi
4723 E Weaver Rd Phoenix, AZ 3.0 2.0 1663 $2,595 $1.56 13d 1 1.44mi
20660 N 40th St #2137 Phoenix, AZ 2.0 2.0 1131 $3,500 $3.09 43d 1 1.46mi
21150 N Tatum Blvd Phoenix, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1136 $2,495 $2.20 1d 26 1.48mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $141,900 Active 406 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $141,900 Active 405 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $141,900 Active 404 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,900 Active 403 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,900 Active 401 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,900 Active 400 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $141,900 Active 397 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $141,900 Active 396 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $141,900 Active 395 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $141,900 Active 392 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $141,900 Active 391 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $141,900 Active 390 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $141,900 Active 389 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $141,900 Active 388 DOM
  15. 2026-03-23
    price $142,900 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  16. 2026-01-27
    price $149,900 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  17. 2026-01-08
    price $160,000 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  18. 2025-08-06
    status Active 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  19. 2025-08-01
    status Pending 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  20. 2025-06-03
    price $165,000 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  21. 2025-05-02
    listed $170,000 Active 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS GEM! Discover excellent value in this beautifully updated 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable 55+ guard-gated Paradise Peak West community in North Phoenix, AZ! Move-in ready with fresh interior/exterior paint, plush new carpet, tall baseboards, and modern flooring throughout for a clean, contemporary vibe. The kitchen boasts a nearly new dishwasher and refrigerator. Spacious bedrooms each feature walk-in closets; refreshed baths include a new toilet. Relax on the covered porch or enjoy resort-style amenities: complimentary 9-hole executive golf course, heated pool, 4 pickleball courts, vibrant clubhouse with activities, and more in this active adult paradise. Ideal retirement living!

  22. 2004-11-17
    historical
  23. 2004-08-16
    listed $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,065
− Mortgage interest
−$7,949
− Property taxes
−$2,128
− Insurance
−$710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,525
− Management
−$3,525
− Depreciation
−$4,128
Taxable income
$22,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,304
After-tax cash flow
$17,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
NCES district ID
0405930
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$64,106
Composite
37.89/100
National rank
#4316
State rank
#56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

Score
75/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phoenix, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
1,500,198
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
33,118
Household income
$139,836
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
432.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.38%
Current HPI
308.7483
Rent YoY
▲ 1.98%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $142,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Pending ARMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $165,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $170,000 ARMLS
  • 2004-11-17 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2004-08-16 Listed $57,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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