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145 Fawn Valley Rd
B- Composite 68.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

145 Fawn Valley Rd · Saylorsburg, PA 18360
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · Manufactured public records · 73 Days on market
Built 2009 6,956 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious and thoughtfully designed mobile home in desirable Fawn Valley! Featuring an open floor plan, the bright and inviting living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating the perfect space for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry along with a convenient pantry for extra storage. This home is designed with privacy in mind, with each bedroom situated on opposite sides of the home. Both bedrooms enjoy easy access to their own full hall bathrooms, making it ideal for guests or shared living arrangements. You'll also appreciate the convenience of a full-size washer and dryer, adding to the home's functionality. Enjoy the best of indoor-outdoor living-- the front door off the family room opens to the driveway for easy access, while the back door from the kitchen leads to the backyard complete with a patio and shed, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or additional storage. A wonderful blend of comfort, layout, and practicality--this Fawn Valley home is ready to welcome you!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Backyard patio
  • Ample cabinetry

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANAMPLE CABINETRYCONVENIENT PANTRYFULL-SIZE WASHER AND DRYERBACKYARD PATIOBACKYARD SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#627 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Stroudsburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #315 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $125k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.70%
Cash-on-cash
19.32%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$15,607
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$59,686
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18360

Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,693 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $792/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
369 Bossardsville Rd Stroudsburg, PA 2.0 1.5 876 $1,700 $1.94 23d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $125,000 Pending 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-05-11
    price $125,000 1047-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1047 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious and thoughtfully designed mobile home in desirable Fawn Valley! Featuring an open floor plan, the bright and inviting living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating the perfect space for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry along with a convenient pantry for extra storage. This home is designed with privacy in mind, with each bedroom situated on opposite sides of the home. Both bedrooms enjoy easy access to their own full hall bathrooms, making it ideal for guests or shared living arrangements. You'll also appreciate the convenience of a full-size washer and dryer, adding to the home's functionality. Enjoy the best of indoor-outdoor living-- the front door off the family room opens to the driveway for easy access, while the back door from the kitchen leads to the backyard complete with a patio and shed, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or additional storage. A wonderful blend of comfort, layout, and practicality--this Fawn Valley home is ready to welcome you!

  6. 2026-03-20
    listed $135,000 Active 1047-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1047 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious and thoughtfully designed mobile home in desirable Fawn Valley! Featuring an open floor plan, the bright and inviting living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating the perfect space for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry along with a convenient pantry for extra storage. This home is designed with privacy in mind, with each bedroom situated on opposite sides of the home. Both bedrooms enjoy easy access to their own full hall bathrooms, making it ideal for guests or shared living arrangements. You'll also appreciate the convenience of a full-size washer and dryer, adding to the home's functionality. Enjoy the best of indoor-outdoor living-- the front door off the family room opens to the driveway for easy access, while the back door from the kitchen leads to the backyard complete with a patio and shed, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or additional storage. A wonderful blend of comfort, layout, and practicality--this Fawn Valley home is ready to welcome you!

  7. 2022-01-25
    soldstatus $65,000 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    OFFER ACCEPTED- No More Showings. This Adorable & Extremely Affordable Home On Leased Land In Very Sought-After Fawn Valley in Hamilton Township! Well-Maintained Mobile Has 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, & Comes FURNISHED! The Kitchen Has A Center Island With Eating Area! All Appliances Are Included! Home Has Been Well Maintained, Has Storage Shed, And Driveway Parking For 2 Cars! The Lot Rent Is $430/Month & Includes Road Maintenance & Plowing, Water, Sewer, Trash Pick Up & A Portion Of The Property Taxes! There Is A $45 Application Fee For Any Persons 18 Years And Over. Fantastic Quiet Location! Close To Shopping, Restaurants, Wineries, Golfing & More! Hurry To Make This Your New Home For The Holidays!!

  8. 2021-12-23
    listed $68,900 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    OFFER ACCEPTED- No More Showings. This Adorable & Extremely Affordable Home On Leased Land In Very Sought-After Fawn Valley in Hamilton Township! Well-Maintained Mobile Has 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, & Comes FURNISHED! The Kitchen Has A Center Island With Eating Area! All Appliances Are Included! Home Has Been Well Maintained, Has Storage Shed, And Driveway Parking For 2 Cars! The Lot Rent Is $430/Month & Includes Road Maintenance & Plowing, Water, Sewer, Trash Pick Up & A Portion Of The Property Taxes! There Is A $45 Application Fee For Any Persons 18 Years And Over. Fantastic Quiet Location! Close To Shopping, Restaurants, Wineries, Golfing & More! Hurry To Make This Your New Home For The Holidays!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$792 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,384 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$591/yr (+$49/mo · 74.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,312
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$792
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,625
− Management
−$1,625
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,201
After-tax cash flow
$5,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4222860
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$59,061
Composite
36.13/100
National rank
#4747
State rank
#315 of 539 in PA

Livability — Saylorsburg

Score
72/100
State rank
#627
US rank
#6049

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 59,057 people
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,080
Household income
$71,481
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1020.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.01%
Current HPI
152.4388
Rent YoY
Metro
East Stroudsburg, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $125,000 PMAR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $135,000 PMAR
  • 2022-01-25 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PMAR
  • 2021-12-23 Listed $68,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $792 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…