7808 Colton Dr · White Settlement, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The home was remodeled prior to renting. It is a single family home in a great location with FOUR bedrooms! The fourth bedroom is separate from the others and could be an office, den or game room. There is also a room in the garage that could be a shop or a great man cave. It also has a huge backyard. Appliances are included just not installed in these pics. The home is tenant occupied paying $1595 a month in a month to month lease. Great affordable home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Remodeled
- Separate bedroom
- Great location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($945/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.6% in White Settlement — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in TX, #4,855 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D+, employment D+.
- White Settlement ISD (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #396 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 548 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.78%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,425
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -11.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7721 Colton Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,516 (+10%) | 3mo | $174,700 | $115 | 78 |
| 7704 Carlos St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (-10%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $177 | 68 |
| 7805 Whitney Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+6%) | 5mo | $199,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 7916 Chaparral Dr | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 4mo | $224,999 | $167 | 64 |
| 7977 Wyatt Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-4%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $163 | 60 |
| 537 June Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (-4%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $169 | 59 |
| 412 Kimbrough St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (-6%) | 0mo | $142,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 8016 Downe Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,209 (-12%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 7836 Whitney Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,539 (+11%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $149 | 57 |
| 8100 Tumbleweed Trl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (-5%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 801 Ala Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (-11%) | 5mo | $99,817 | $82 | 54 |
| 604 Kimbrough St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (-9%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $196 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-30,917
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-40,951
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76108
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 548
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,589/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7724 Longfield Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,995 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 720 Sandell Dr White Settlement, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7940 Chaparral Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1142 | $1,795 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8033 Downe Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,650 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 923 Kimbrough St Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,845 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8012 Chaparral Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $1,620 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 640 Kimbrough St Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7924 Emerald Crest Dr White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,199 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8112 Gibbs Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8024 Cambridge Cir Unit A White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8136 Richard St Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,745 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8030 Cambridge Cir Unit A White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,095 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 321 Meadow Park Dr White Settlement, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,875 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1208 Mirike Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,975 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6755 Ridgmar Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1488 | $3,700 | $2.49 | 1d | 4 | 1.06mi |
| 8000 Calmont Ave Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $1,500 | $2.27 | 43d | 86 | 1.12mi |
| 619 Allencrest Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8300 Calmont Ave Unit 1113 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,299 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8300 Calmont Ave Unit 914 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,299 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8300 Calmont Ave Unit 1321 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,299 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8222 Calmont Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $899 | $1.15 | 3d | 12 | 1.16mi |
| 101 West Pl Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 617 S Las Vegas Trl White Settlement, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,585 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1823 S Las Vegas Trl Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,360 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 405 S Las Vegas Trl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 129 Allencrest Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 123 Allencrest Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,545 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 112 Allencrest Dr White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 225 West Pl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,400 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 108 Allencrest Dr White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $1,325 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 213 Donald St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 238 S Las Vegas Trl White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,372 | $1.14 | 2d | 4 | 1.29mi |
| 8225 Calmont Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1075 | $1,950 | $1.81 | 6d | 20 | 1.30mi |
| 140 S Las Vegas Trl White Settlement, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,299 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 101 S Las Vegas Trl Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1016 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2900 Broadmoor Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1074 | $1,434 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2109 Remington St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1075 | $1,565 | $1.46 | 1d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 6760 Calmont Ave Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,375 | $1.93 | 20d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 6509 Hickock Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1240 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6509 Hickock Dr Unit 2C Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-03-11$189,000 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
The home was remodeled prior to renting. It is a single family home in a great location with FOUR bedrooms! The fourth bedroom is separate from the others and could be an office, den or game room. There is also a room in the garage that could be a shop or a great man cave. It also has a huge backyard. Appliances are included just not installed in these pics. The home is tenant occupied paying $1595 a month in a month to month lease. Great affordable home or investment property. Being sold AS IS.
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2025-03-27historical
-
2024-12-20$239,900 Active
-
2024-09-04historical $1,595
-
2024-08-14price $1,595
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2024-08-06price $1,695
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2024-07-27price $1,750
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2024-07-14price $1,825
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2024-06-19$1,995
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2023-01-12historical
-
2022-08-10price $249,000
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2022-07-27$268,000 Active
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2002-04-03soldstatus
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1997-07-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,589 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,589 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,589
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$2,147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$515
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Settlement ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845540
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,055
- Composite
- 34.63/100
- National rank
- #5151
- State rank
- #396 of 826 in TX
Livability — White Settlement
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #4855
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- White Settlement, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,537
- Household income
- $80,412
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.39%
- Current HPI
- 294.2459
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.18%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-29.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Listed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-27 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-12-20 Listed $239,900 NTREIS
- 2024-09-04 Rental Removed $1,595 NTREIS
- 2024-08-14 Price Changed $1,595 NTREIS
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $1,695 NTREIS
- 2024-07-27 Price Changed $1,750 NTREIS
- 2024-07-14 Price Changed $1,825 NTREIS
- 2024-06-19 Listed for Rent $1,995 NTREIS
- 2023-01-12 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-08-10 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
- 2022-07-27 Listed $268,000 NTREIS
- 2002-04-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,589 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…