17395 SE 82nd Pecan Ter · The Villages, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Move-In-Ready 2B/2B Cabot Cove villa lovingly cared for by the original owner comes with negotiable furniture package and and electric golf cart. This villa is a great value whether you are a full-time resident, snowbird or investor. No homes behind with mature landscaping for additional privacy. Numerous updates include: 2017 Lennox HVAC (gas furnace), Low E - Glass Enclosed Lanai with ceiling fan; Beautiful Hickory-Style Laminate Flooring in Living/Dining/Hall areas; Tile in Kitchen and Laundry Area; 2014 garbage disposal; and seamless gutters installed around entire villa. Want additional storage? In addition to the large walk-in closet in the Master Bedroom and large closet pantry just off the kitchen, storage cabinets were added to the garage in addition to attic stairs with partial decking. Low bond balance of $1831. Don't miss visiting this home located in the very friendly neighborhood of Waverly Villas in the Village of Piedmont. Close to Mulberry Rec Center, pools, golfing, shopping, banking, restaurants, and the VA Center! QUICK CLOSE AVAILABLE! NOTE: Square footage info taken from public records. Buyer should verify.
Key facts
- Interior laundry
- White picket fence
- Large pantry closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Other annual assessment approximately $984
- Financial info: Total monthly association fees approximately $204 (total annual fees $2,448); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Association amenities include pool, recreational facilities, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, playground, trails, dog park, sidewalks and golf; Association fee includes access to pool and recreational facilities; Vehicle and fence restrictions apply; Senior community; Pets allowed; Turnkey furnished option
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage door opener; Driveway; Golf cart parking; Ground-level parking; Garage dimensions approximately 18 x 23
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential villa; One story; Faces west; PUD zoning; CDD (Community Development District) present; Homestead exempt
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as CABOT COVE model
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Front porch; Patio; Sliding doors; Landscaped yard; Near golf course; Private lot; Paved access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $805 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.0% in The Villages — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,208/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 987% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $182k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.01%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,288
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17395 SE 82nd Pecan Ter | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,202 (0%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $191 | 100 |
| 8385 SE 173rd Hendricks Ln | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,177 (-2%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $251 | 83 |
| 17415 SE 82nd Pecan Ter | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 1,071 (-11%) | 10mo | $229,900 | $215 | 68 |
| 17400 SE 77th Sycamore Ave | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,198 (-0%) | 8mo | $239,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 17126 SE 78th Larchmont Ct | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,229 (+2%) | 14mo | $352,000 | $286 | 60 |
| 16952 SE 81st Charlesfort Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,163 (-3%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $211 | 55 |
| 1812 Sanibel Ct | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,229 (+2%) | 5mo | $301,000 | $245 | 54 |
| 1842 Captiva Ct | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,148 (-4%) | 16mo | $280,000 | $244 | 49 |
| 17385 SE 76th Champion Ave | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,125 (-6%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $271 | 46 |
| 17107 SE 78th Parlange Ter | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,359 (+13%) | 6mo | $385,000 | $283 | 46 |
| 1843 Captiva Ct | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,333 (+11%) | 21mo | $289,000 | $217 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $17,163
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $94,060
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32162
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 550
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,208 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,686/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$674
- Net cashflow
- $805
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $935 | -5% $870 | +0% $805 | +5% $740 | +10% $675 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $552 | -5% $679 | +0% $805 | +5% $932 | +10% $1,059 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $921 | -0.5pp $864 | base $805 | +0.5pp $746 | +1.0pp $685 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17324 SE 82nd Pecan Ter The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 17400 SE 82nd Roslyn Ct The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $4,700 | $4.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 17442 SE 79th Lovewood Ave The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $4,500 | $3.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8544 SE 177th Bartram Loop The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,900 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7630 SE 174th Gaillard Pl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $4,500 | $3.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1808 Peachtree Ave The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $2,500 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 16962 SE 94th Sunnybrook Cir The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17713 SE 95th Cir Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9523 SE 168th Maplesong Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,975 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2909 Meadow Lawn Ln The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $4,300 | $3.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1648 Belle Grove Dr The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $4,250 | $3.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 9195 SE 163rd St Summerfield, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
- Likely covers
- trashgaselectriclandscapingpool
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-05$229,900 Active
-
2020-03-11soldstatus $182,000
-
2020-03-06soldstatus $182,000 1151-char remark
Show marketing remark (1151 chars)
This Move-In-Ready 2B/2B Cabot Cove villa lovingly cared for by the original owner comes with negotiable furniture package and and electric golf cart. This villa is a great value whether you are a full-time resident, snowbird or investor. No homes behind with mature landscaping for additional privacy. Numerous updates include: 2017 Lennox HVAC (gas furnace), Low E - Glass Enclosed Lanai with ceiling fan; Beautiful Hickory-Style Laminate Flooring in Living/Dining/Hall areas; Tile in Kitchen and Laundry Area; 2014 garbage disposal; and seamless gutters installed around entire villa. Want additional storage? In addition to the large walk-in closet in the Master Bedroom and large closet pantry just off the kitchen, storage cabinets were added to the garage in addition to attic stairs with partial decking. Low bond balance of $1831. Don't miss visiting this home located in the very friendly neighborhood of Waverly Villas in the Village of Piedmont. Close to Mulberry Rec Center, pools, golfing, shopping, banking, restaurants, and the VA Center! QUICK CLOSE AVAILABLE! NOTE: Square footage info taken from public records. Buyer should verify.
-
2020-02-11$179,900 1151-char remark
Show marketing remark (1151 chars)
This Move-In-Ready 2B/2B Cabot Cove villa lovingly cared for by the original owner comes with negotiable furniture package and and electric golf cart. This villa is a great value whether you are a full-time resident, snowbird or investor. No homes behind with mature landscaping for additional privacy. Numerous updates include: 2017 Lennox HVAC (gas furnace), Low E - Glass Enclosed Lanai with ceiling fan; Beautiful Hickory-Style Laminate Flooring in Living/Dining/Hall areas; Tile in Kitchen and Laundry Area; 2014 garbage disposal; and seamless gutters installed around entire villa. Want additional storage? In addition to the large walk-in closet in the Master Bedroom and large closet pantry just off the kitchen, storage cabinets were added to the garage in addition to attic stairs with partial decking. Low bond balance of $1831. Don't miss visiting this home located in the very friendly neighborhood of Waverly Villas in the Village of Piedmont. Close to Mulberry Rec Center, pools, golfing, shopping, banking, restaurants, and the VA Center! QUICK CLOSE AVAILABLE! NOTE: Square footage info taken from public records. Buyer should verify.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,686 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,686 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$2,686
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,080
- − Management
- −$3,080
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $6,489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Villages
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #7363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Villages, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 83,973
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,424
- Household income
- $74,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 987.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.16%
- Current HPI
- 218.1956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+27.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $182,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-11 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,686 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…