1635 Boise Dr · Odessa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Low maintenance backyard with automatic sprinkler system in the front & back. Granite countertops throughout. Dishwasher and disposal have been recently replaced, fridge stays, the Solar Panels will paid off at closing. No HOA!!
Key facts
- Soaking tub
- Granite countertops
- Walk in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.35%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,174
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- 9.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5203 Clinton Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (-4%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $102 | 50 |
| 6311 Bluebell Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (-10%) | 19mo | $315,990 | $171 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-43,091
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-46,525
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79762
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,530 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$355 /mo · $4,262/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5704 Winchester Ave Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2354 | $2,700 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1710 Wrigley Dr Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,800 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1905 Palo Duro Dr Odessa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2163 | $2,800 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1311 E 52nd St Unit 1 Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2105 Congress St Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $2,649 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2304 Boise Dr Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6418 Patrick Clay Dr Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2206 Medford Ct Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2037 | $2,350 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6302 Oracle Dr Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6402 Oracle Dr Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $3,000 | $1.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4425 Conley Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $2,200 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4424 Conley Ave Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4207 Dakota Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $2,300 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1308 Alpine St Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4009 Brook Ave Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2356 | $2,500 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4009 New Orleans Dr Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3624 Walnut Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,950 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $275,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $275,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $275,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $295,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $305,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
-
2026-05-13price $305,000 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
-
2026-04-28price $315,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
-
2026-04-28price $315,000 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
-
2026-04-14price $324,000 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Low maintenance backyard with automatic sprinkler system in the front & back. Granite countertops throughout. Dishwasher and disposal have been recently replaced, fridge stays, the Solar Panels will paid off at closing. No HOA!!
-
2026-04-14price $324,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Low maintenance backyard with automatic sprinkler system in the front & back. Granite countertops throughout. Dishwasher and disposal have been recently replaced, fridge stays, the Solar Panels will paid off at closing. No HOA!!
-
2026-04-07price $330,000 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Low maintenance backyard with automatic sprinkler system in the front & back. Granite countertops throughout. Dishwasher and disposal have been recently replaced, fridge stays, the Solar Panels will paid off at closing. No HOA!!
-
2026-04-07price $330,000 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (558 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Low maintenance backyard with automatic sprinkler system in the front & back. Granite countertops throughout. Dishwasher and disposal have been recently replaced, fridge stays, the Solar Panels will paid off at closing. No HOA!!
-
2026-03-27$335,000 Active 558-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
-
2026-03-27$335,000 Active 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
4-bedroom, 2-bath “Samantha” plan by Permian Homes with easy access to Odessa's shopping, dining schools and parks! The primary suite features a spa-inspired bathroom complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower with a bench, and a double sink vanity creating the perfect retreat to unwind at the end of the day. Automatic sprinkler system in the front & back, making upkeep simple. Reseeded backyard, Granite countertops throughout, Fridge, & Solar Panels will be paid off at closing, No HOA!!
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2017-04-10$232,800
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2017-03-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,262 · $355/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,032 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- +$771/yr (+$64/mo · 18.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,262
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,429
- − Management
- −$2,429
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$3,538
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$849
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — Odessa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Odessa, TX
- County
- Ector County · 131,169 people
- City population
- 131,169
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,927
- Household income
- $75,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1477.0
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 38% Two or more races 22% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.97%
- Current HPI
- 229.6022
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.36%
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+31.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $305,000 PBBOR
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $305,000 ODMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $315,000 PBBOR
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $315,000 ODMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $324,000 ODMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $324,000 PBBOR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $330,000 ODMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $330,000 PBBOR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $335,000 ODMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $335,000 PBBOR
- 2017-04-10 Listed $232,800 ODMLS
- 2017-03-31 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
Property tax history
+32.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,262 · -18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…