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46 Matta Ave
C Composite 58.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,500

46 Matta Ave · Youngstown, OH 44509
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 823 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1921 5,532 sqft lot Est $111k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled, Charming Cape Cod. As you pull up, you’ll notice the welcoming front porch, perfect for morning coffee or relaxing at the end of the day. Step inside to a bright and inviting living area with fresh paint, new flooring, and modern light fixtures that flow throughout the home. A formal dining area that opens to the completely remodeled kitchen - ready for your favorite meals, featuring brand-new cabinetry and countertop. The main floor hosts two comfortable bedrooms and a newly updated bathroom, while upstairs you’ll discover a spacious third area that can be used as a bedroom or home office. Every detail inside has been updated—from the windows to the

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Backyard

Tags

FRONT PORCHREMODELED KITCHENDETACHED GARAGEBACKYARDNEW ROOFQUICK ACCESS TO I-680

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $92k implies a 2212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $81,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.60%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$111,105
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
230 S Dunlap Ave 0.33mi 2/1.5 848 (+3%) 2mo $133,000 $157 76
25 S Osborn Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 728 (-12%) 0mo $55,000 $76 74
61 S Hartford Ave 0.43mi 2/2.0 858 (+4%) 8mo $110,000 $128 62
28 Manchester Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 906 (+10%) 14mo $64,000 $71 49
470 N Bon Air Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 852 (+4%) 14mo $133,000 $156 48
427 Rhoda Ave 0.45mi 2/1.5 736 (-11%) 14mo $85,000 $115 47
2424 Wilcox St 0.38mi 2/1.5 942 (+14%) 10mo $122,000 $130 47
503 N Dunlap Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+12%) 2mo $125,000 $135 47
2820 Burbank Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+8%) 10mo $128,000 $143 46
449 N Glenellen Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+8%) 13mo $125,000 $140 46
22 S Richview Ave 0.52mi 2/2.0 931 (+13%) 10mo $77,000 $83 42
556 Moherman Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 936 (+14%) 11mo $138,000 $147 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-5,946
Equity at exit
$13,792
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,392
Equity at exit
$7,998

Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44509

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$485
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $92,500
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,125
Closing costs
$2,775
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3143 Mahoning Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 21d 1 0.17mi
2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $850 $0.80 21d 1 0.31mi
2634 Austin Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $775 $0.99 43d 1 0.31mi
2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 13d 1 0.97mi
1612 Mahoning Ave Unit 1612-02 Youngstown, OH 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 21d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-01-29
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-12
    price $92,500
  3. 2025-11-04
    price $95,000
  4. 2025-09-24
    price $100,000
  5. 2025-09-06
    listed $110,000 Active
  6. 2011-12-31
    historical
  7. 2011-04-02
    listed $24,900
  8. 2011-03-31
    historical
  9. 2010-03-08
    listed $32,900
  10. 2009-03-30
    soldstatus $4,000
  11. 2009-03-12
    listed $7,900
  12. 1998-11-16
    soldstatus $39,000
  13. 1997-12-30
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,021 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$422/yr (+$35/mo · 70.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,876
− Mortgage interest
−$5,181
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$870
− Management
−$870
− Depreciation
−$2,691
Taxable income
$201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$48
After-tax cash flow
$1,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,775
Household income
$36,472
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
10.4

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.34%
Current HPI
217.0797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+516.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $92,500 MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $95,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $100,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-06 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
  • 2011-12-31 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2011-04-02 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
  • 2011-03-31 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2010-03-08 Listed $32,900 MLSNOW
  • 2009-03-30 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MLSNOW
  • 2009-03-12 Listed $7,900 MLSNOW
  • 1998-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $599 · -53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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