203 Poplar St · Edgewood, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Favorable manufactured home sitting on 4 city lots, with 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, and a 2 car attached garage. Inside the home features large rooms, open concept, a fantastic family room with a fireplace, new HVAC 2023, new water heater 2023, two unique loft areas and a workshop area. Outside boasts, a new roof 2023, new covered front porch 2025, new sprawling back deck 2025, two sheds, and fenced in back yard. Home is being sold as is.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- New hvac
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s) and workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Laundry located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#941 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Effingham CUSD 40 (town): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #387 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
- Effingham County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.38%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $30,685
- Equity at exit
- $50,230
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.77×
- Total profit
- $84,455
- Equity at exit
- $91,037
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62426
- Home prices YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16status $80,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 438-char remark
-
2026-06-09$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,123 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,123 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$2,123
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Effingham CUSD 40
- NCES district ID
- 1713560
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,021
- Composite
- 19.35/100
- National rank
- #8789
- State rank
- #387 of 620 in IL
Livability — Edgewood
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #941
- US rank
- #18297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewood, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 769
Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,179 people
- By 2030
- 33,648 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 32,066 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 29,813 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 24,101 · -29.5%
- By 2100
- 17,174 · -49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Effingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.0% · R 79.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+59.2 2016: R+60.5 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.99%
- Current HPI
- 123.2134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $80,000 CIBR
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,123 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…