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203 Poplar St
C+ Composite 60.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$80,000

203 Poplar St · Edgewood, IL 62426
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Other public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1985 0.69 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Favorable manufactured home sitting on 4 city lots, with 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, and a 2 car attached garage. Inside the home features large rooms, open concept, a fantastic family room with a fireplace, new HVAC 2023, new water heater 2023, two unique loft areas and a workshop area. Outside boasts, a new roof 2023, new covered front porch 2025, new sprawling back deck 2025, two sheds, and fenced in back yard. Home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • New hvac
  • New water heater

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEFAMILY ROOMFIREPLACENEW HVACNEW WATER HEATERUNIQUE LOFT AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s) and workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Laundry located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#941 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Effingham CUSD 40 (town): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #387 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Effingham County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.08%
Cash-on-cash
6.38%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$30,685
Equity at exit
$50,230
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$84,455
Equity at exit
$91,037

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62426

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$948 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,123/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $797
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $80,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    remarks 438-char remark
  6. 2026-06-09
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,123 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,123 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,375
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$2,123
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$910
− Management
−$910
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$54
After-tax cash flow
$1,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Effingham CUSD 40
NCES district ID
1713560
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$48,021
Composite
19.35/100
National rank
#8789
State rank
#387 of 620 in IL

Livability — Edgewood

Score
61/100
State rank
#941
US rank
#18297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, IL
Population (ZIP)
769

Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,179 people
By 2030
33,648 · -1.6%
By 2040
32,066 · -6.2%
By 2050
29,813 · -12.8%
By 2075
24,101 · -29.5%
By 2100
17,174 · -49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Effingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.0% · R 79.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+59.2 2016: R+60.5 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+36.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.99%
Current HPI
123.2134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $80,000 CIBR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,123 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…