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2402 Morrison Dr
B- Composite 68.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

2402 Morrison Dr · Big Spring, TX 79720
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1956 7,710 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for your next project? This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is priced to sell. It needs some TLC and a creative touch. Extra parking, good size front and back yard, partial masonry fence, 2 storage buildings, and a big bonus room. Call to schedule an appointment to see it today!

Key facts

  • Extra parking
  • Good size back yard
  • Good size front yard

Tags

EXTRA PARKINGGOOD SIZE FRONT YARDGOOD SIZE BACK YARDPARTIAL MASONRY FENCE2 STORAGE BUILDINGSBIG BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Monticello subdivision; School district: Big Spring

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built with composition roof
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Central heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Central heating and cooling; Natural gas heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Big Spring ISD (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #641 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Big Spring J H (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 516 students, 70% FRL); Big Spring H S (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 1,084 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
15.59%
Cash-on-cash
33.19%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$26,246
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$73,372
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79720

Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,592 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,382/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $817
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $656 -5% $634 +0% $612 +5% $589 +10% $567
Rent -10% $486 -5% $549 +0% $612 +5% $675 +10% $737
Rate -1.0pp $652 -0.5pp $632 base $612 +0.5pp $591 +1.0pp $570

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3214 Drexel Ave Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1366 $1,700 $1.24 13d 1 0.57mi
1404 Wood St Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 964 $2,500 $2.59 25d 1 0.80mi
1206 E 11th Pl Big Spring, TX 3.0 2.0 1674 $1,700 $1.02 25d 1 0.90mi
1009 E 15th St Big Spring, TX 2.0 2.0 1486 $1,350 $0.91 25d 1 1.01mi
614 Ridgelea Dr Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,280 $1.16 5d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $79,000 Active
  3. 1998-01-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,382 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,382 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,100
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$2,382
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,528
− Management
−$1,528
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$6,544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,571
After-tax cash flow
$5,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Big Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4810200
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$42,916
Composite
25.11/100
National rank
#7529
State rank
#641 of 826 in TX

Livability — Big Spring

Score
62/100
State rank
#948
US rank
#16886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Spring, TX
County
Howard County · 29,936 people
City population
29,936
Metro
Big Spring, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,936
Household income
$68,785
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,396 people
By 2030
46,792 · +7.8%
By 2040
54,096 · +24.7%
By 2050
61,707 · +42.2%
By 2075
79,809 · +83.9%
By 2100
87,385 · +101.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.13%
Current HPI
140.8159
Rent YoY
Metro
Big Spring, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending PBBOR
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $79,000 PBBOR
  • 1998-01-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,382 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…