1001 Greenwich St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 unit property in Saginaw. Each unit has 2 bedrooms, one bath. One unit currently rented. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1884
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: Gebrael Management
- Financial info: Annual property tax listed (refer to listing for amount)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story building; Residential income / multi-family property
- Construction: Above-grade finished area about 2,100 square feet
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.08 acres; Subdivision: MOORES ADD
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Separate meters for heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 26 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.57%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $110,000
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1209 S Fayette St | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 2,058 (+3%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $17 | 70 |
| 1323 S Michigan Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,125 (+6%) | 17mo | $25,000 | $12 | 58 |
| 202 Braley St | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 | 2,275 (+14%) | 14mo | $88,821 | $39 | 55 |
| 1530 Ottawa Blvd | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,136 (+7%) | 11mo | $137,000 | $64 | 47 |
| 1715 S Michigan Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,146 (+7%) | 16mo | $118,000 | $55 | 47 |
| 1827 Gratiot Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (0%) | 19mo | $265,000 | $133 | 44 |
| 1421 Mackinaw St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,134 (+7%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $73 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $3,825
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $32,881
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,317 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $346 | -5% $318 | +0% $290 | +5% $262 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $238 | +0% $290 | +5% $342 | +10% $394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $340 | -0.5pp $316 | base $290 | +0.5pp $265 | +1.0pp $239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 146-char remark
-
2026-06-18$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,275 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,275 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,275
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,079
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$499
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+65.0% since first listed67 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-17 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-16 Price Changed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-08-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-06-11 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-15 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-15 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-20 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-20 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-05-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-04-27 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-27 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-04-11 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-10 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-23 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-23 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-23 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-23 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-12-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-12-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-03 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-09 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-09 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-04-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-05 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-05 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-05 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-05 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2021-12-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-09 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-09 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $43,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-12-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-12-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-04 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-04 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-09-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-03-10 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-03-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-12-24 Listed $65,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-11-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-08-21 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-10-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-10-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-10-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-13 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-13 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-13 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,275 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…