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402, 406, 410 Warren St Multi-family
B+ Composite 79.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$389,000

402, 406, 410 Warren St · Fayetteville, NC 28312
None bd · None ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 230 Days on market
Built 1940 ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks at 402, 406 & 410 Warren St. ! 3 seperate single story units all tenant occupied, currently bringing in $3450 monthly income. All units renovated in 2024 to include new HVACs, new roofs and cosmetic updates. Unit 410 not pictured but renovated similarly to the other pictured units. All photos taken prior to tenants taking occupancy. 24 hour notice required to show.

Key facts

  • New hvacs
  • New roofs
  • Single story units

Tags

SINGLE STORY UNITSNEW HVACSNEW ROOFSCOSMETIC UPDATES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 402, 406, 410 Warren St, Fayetteville, NC 28312; Listed by RE/MAX REAL ESTATE SERVICE

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; One story
  • Construction: Built as multi-family (details not provided)
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Multiple dwelling units (multi-family property)
  • Interior features: One-level layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $389k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($81k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $389k).
  • Recommended offer: $342k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $342,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.08%
Cap rate
27.20%
Cash-on-cash
74.66%
DSCR
4.32
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
509 Cedar Creek And 402,406,410 Warren Street St 0.03mi —/— 2,970 24mo $245,000 $82 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
85.2%
Equity multiple
6.91×
Total profit
$643,652
Equity at exit
$350,442
10-year hold
IRR
79.6%
Equity multiple
15.29×
Total profit
$1,556,392
Equity at exit
$755,741

Cash invested: $108,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28312

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,981 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,040
Tax est. 1.5%
$486 /mo · $5,835/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,516
Net cashflow
$6,777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,403
Max offer price $389,000
Occupancy floor 38%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $11,981

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,250
Closing costs
$11,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
210 S Plymouth St Unit 1 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 $1,150 23d 1 0.27mi
2109 Cattail Cir Unit 2 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $675 23d 1 0.46mi
2502 Cattail Cir Unit 33 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $675 23d 1 0.47mi
2115 Cattail Cir Unit 154 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $13,000 13d 1 0.49mi
2416 Cattail Cir Unit 43 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $700 13d 1 0.52mi
2412 Cattail Cir Unit 45 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $19,000 13d 1 0.54mi
2241 Cattail Cir Unit 72 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 $16,000 13d 1 0.64mi
1611 Bluffside Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5–3.5 2112 $1,800 $0.85 23d 3 1.30mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $389,000 Pending 230 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $389,000 Active 229 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $389,000 Active 228 DOM
  4. 2026-05-14
    price $389,000
  5. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  6. 2026-02-06
    price $399,000
  7. 2025-10-09
    listed $420,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$143,772
− Mortgage interest
−$21,790
− Property taxes
−$5,835
− Insurance
−$1,945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,502
− Management
−$11,502
− Depreciation
−$11,316
Taxable income
$79,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$19,172
After-tax cash flow
$62,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
City population
226,118
Population (ZIP)
19,889

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.75%
Current HPI
306.7749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $389,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $399,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $420,000 LPRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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