10302 Largent Hollow Trl · Houston, TX 77051

$319,990

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,719 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market

Built 2025 3,397 sqft lot $113/mo HOA · 5% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.3/30.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• DSCR +0.6/10.0

Listing remarks

The Jasmine floor plan, D. R. Horton’s newest 4 bedroom floorplan is a spacious two-story home offering 1,719 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, complete with a two-car garage and 2.5 bathrooms. As you enter the home, you’re greeted by a charming front foyer that leads into the open-concept dining, living, and kitchen area, perfect for modern living and entertaining. The kitchen is a highlight, featuring a large island for additional storage and seating, as well as a walk-in pantry for added convenience. As you head upstairs, the second story reveals a functional layout that suits families of all sizes. At the back of the home, the private primary bedroom provide

Key facts

• Large windows
• Large island
• Two story home

Tags

• TWO STORY HOME
• LARGE ISLAND
• WALK IN PANTRY
• PRIVATE PRIMARY BEDROOM
• LARGE WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area approximately 1,719; Lot about 3,397 sq ft (0.078 acres)
• HOA & community: Community managed by Inframark; Annual association fee of $1,350

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Single-family design (builder: DR Horton)
• Construction: Built in 2025; Cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Subdivision lot; Fence

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave
• Bedrooms: Second-floor bedrooms (three bedrooms: approx. 10 x 10; 10 x 11; 10 x 10.8); Second-floor primary bedroom (approx. 14 x 11.8)
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: Granite counters; Programmable thermostat; 4 total rooms; No fireplaces
• Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details listed

🏗️ New construction. The $319,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $340,362.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-608 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (21.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (26.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $235k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Reynolds El (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #4,301 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 334 students, 98% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,350/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $235,026 (26.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.15%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.66%
• DSCR: 0.66
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $340,362
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2602 Afton Heights Way	0.06mi	4/2.5	1,719 (0%)	2mo	$316,990	$184	96
2610 Afton Heights Way	0.07mi	4/2.5	1,719 (0%)	3mo	$319,990	$186	94
10307 Sylvan Woods Trl	0.26mi	4/2.5	1,719 (0%)	2mo	$319,990	$186	86
10318 Largent Hollow Trl	0.04mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,586 (-8%)	1mo	$313,990	$198	80
2608 Afton Heights Way	0.06mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,586 (-8%)	1mo	$313,990	$198	78
2618 Afton Heights Way	0.08mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,586 (-8%)	1mo	$299,990	$189	78
2622 Afton Heights Way	0.08mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,586 (-8%)	2mo	$310,990	$196	77
2640 Afton Heights Way	0.12mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,586 (-8%)	3mo	$313,990	$198	74
10316 Largent Hollow Trl	0.03mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,486 (-14%)	1mo	$306,990	$207	70
10322 Penryn Forest Trl	0.17mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,486 (-14%)	2mo	$304,990	$205	63
10208 Penryn Forest Trl	0.18mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,486 (-14%)	2mo	$299,990	$202	62
9401 Kappa Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,631 (-5%)	1mo	$200,000	$123	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.58×
• Total profit: $150,981
• Equity at exit: $306,625

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.08×
• Total profit: $484,586
• Equity at exit: $661,249

Cash invested: $95,301 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77051

• Home prices YoY: 9.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.8%
• Active inventory: 321
• Price-to-rent: 11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,350 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,785
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$425 /mo · $5,105/yr
• Insurance: −$142
• HOA: −$113
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$494
• Net cashflow: $-608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,120

Max offer price $252,317

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-373	-5% $-491	+0% $-608	+5% $-726	+10% $-844
Rent	-10% $-794	-5% $-701	+0% $-608	+5% $-516	+10% $-423
Rate	-1.0pp $-437	-0.5pp $-522	base $-608	+0.5pp $-697	+1.0pp $-786

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $85,090
• Closing costs: $10,211
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
10415 Lancaster Ln Houston, TX	3.0–4.0	2.5	1937	$2,735	$1.41	22d	1	0.18mi
10514 Wellesley Terrace Trl Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1843	$2,300	$1.25	20d	1	0.24mi
2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Unit NA Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1820	$2,400	$1.32	6d	1	0.35mi
2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1820	$2,450	$1.35	24d	1	0.35mi
9610 Buffum St Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1605	$1,799	$1.12	45d	1	0.52mi
2910 Reed Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1221	$1,228	$1.01	1d	3	0.66mi
2725 Reed Rd Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	911	$975	$1.07	45d	1	0.84mi
9606 Ashville Dr Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1610	$1,570	$0.98	45d	1	0.88mi
11900 Oakmoor Pkwy Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	892	$1,469	$1.65	4d	12	1.01mi
3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1890	$1,700	$0.90	45d	1	1.10mi
12320 Chesney Downs Dr Houston, TX	4.0	2.5	2000	$3,500	$1.75	4d	1	1.40mi
3002 Crown Gate Dr Unit 1568481P Houston, TX	4.0	2.5	2195	$3,345	$1.52	1d	1	1.42mi
10301 Buffalo Speedway Unit 3047 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1420	$1,932	$1.36	20d	1	1.44mi
10301 Buffalo Speedway Unit 3047 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1420	$1,961	$1.38	5d	1	1.44mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $113 · $1,356/yr

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-25
   listed $319,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,203
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,066
• − Property taxes: −$5,105
• − Insurance: −$1,702
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,256
• − Management: −$2,256
• − HOA: −$1,356
• − Depreciation: −$9,901
• Taxable loss: −$13,440
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,226
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 19,795
• Household income: $37,415
• Rent vs Own: 58.2% rent · 41.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1446.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 16.02%
• Current HPI: 180.4283
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.77%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-25 Listed $319,990 HARMLS