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1319 11th Ave NE
C+ Composite 60.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1319 11th Ave NE · Brainerd, MN 56401
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,985 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1975 5,662 sqft lot $76/sqft · 48% below area Est $291k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

Key facts

  • Formal dining area
  • Large living spaces
  • 5,662 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAINERD NEIGHBORHOODFORMAL DINING AREALARGE LIVING SPACESFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTPARTIALLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage, 2 car (garage approx. 24 x 23)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: Electric and natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Asphalt pitched roof; Block foundation; Built on a foundation area of about 1,171 (below-grade area unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Partial fencing; Irregular lot with light tree coverage; City street frontage with paved, public-maintained roads; Lot dimensions approx. 75 x 85

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with window
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the upper level; 1 half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.1% in Brainerd — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brainerd Public School District (town): math 49% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #85 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 401 active listings in the ZIP; 420 units permitted in Crow Wing County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crow Wing County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.78%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,490
List price
$150,000
Delta
-48.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,419
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,653
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56401

Active inventory
401
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,523 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $150,000 Active 677-char remark
  2. 2022-02-17
    soldstatus $172,000
  3. 2022-01-21
    soldstatus $172,000 Sold 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  4. 2021-11-19
    status Pending 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  5. 2021-11-11
    status Active 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  6. 2021-09-21
    status Pending 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  7. 2021-09-07
    price $164,900 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  8. 2021-08-23
    status Active 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  9. 2021-08-13
    listed $169,900 Active 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  10. 2021-08-10
    historical $169,900 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.

  11. 2004-01-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.

  12. 2004-01-09
    soldstatus $83,400
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.

  13. 2003-11-21
    listed $74,900
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,818 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,818 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,273
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,818
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,462
− Management
−$1,462
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$15
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4
After-tax cash flow
$2,424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brainerd Public School District
NCES district ID
2706090
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$49,059
Composite
45.57/100
National rank
#2596
State rank
#85 of 301 in MN

Livability — Brainerd

Score
72/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#5889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brainerd, MN
County
Crow Wing County · 40,773 people
City population
31,841
Metro
Brainerd, MN
Population (ZIP)
31,841
Household income
$73,128
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
454.0

Population outlook (Crow Wing County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,187 people
By 2030
64,057 · -0.2%
By 2040
62,470 · -2.7%
By 2050
59,064 · -8.0%
By 2075
48,738 · -24.1%
By 2100
36,112 · -43.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crow Wing

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.7 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.09%
Current HPI
220.3299
Rent YoY
Metro
Brainerd, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-21 Sold (MLS) $172,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-11 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-21 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-07 Price Changed $164,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-23 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-13 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-10 Coming Soon $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-09 Sold (MLS) $83,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-21 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,818 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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