1319 11th Ave NE · Brainerd, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
Key facts
- Formal dining area
- Large living spaces
- 5,662 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage, 2 car (garage approx. 24 x 23)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric service with circuit breakers; Fuel: Electric and natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Block and frame construction; Asphalt pitched roof; Block foundation; Built on a foundation area of about 1,171 (below-grade area unfinished)
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Partial fencing; Irregular lot with light tree coverage; City street frontage with paved, public-maintained roads; Lot dimensions approx. 75 x 85
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with window
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the upper level; 1 half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.1% in Brainerd — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brainerd Public School District (town): math 49% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #85 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 401 active listings in the ZIP; 420 units permitted in Crow Wing County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crow Wing County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $291,490
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -48.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,419
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,653
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56401
- Active inventory
- 401
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,523 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-11$150,000 Active 677-char remark
-
2022-02-17soldstatus $172,000
-
2022-01-21soldstatus $172,000 Sold 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-11-19status Pending 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-11-11status Active 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-09-21status Pending 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-09-07price $164,900 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-08-23status Active 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-08-13$169,900 Active 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2021-08-10historical $169,900 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
Don't miss this just remodeled three bedroom, two bath Brainerd home. Home is located just a block from Garfield School and is close to Memorial Park and Rice Lake. Home has new flooring, freshly painted interior, an open floor plan, large bedrooms, tiled shower, a two car attached garage and so much more.
-
2004-01-09historical
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.
-
2004-01-09soldstatus $83,400
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.
-
2003-11-21$74,900
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Property was obtained through foreclosure; no property disclosures are available. This home is loaded with character and potential. It is a great buy.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,818 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,818
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,462
- − Management
- −$1,462
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $15
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brainerd Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2706090
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,059
- Composite
- 45.57/100
- National rank
- #2596
- State rank
- #85 of 301 in MN
Livability — Brainerd
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #5889
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brainerd, MN
- County
- Crow Wing County · 40,773 people
- City population
- 31,841
- Metro
- Brainerd, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,841
- Household income
- $73,128
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 454.0
Population outlook (Crow Wing County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,187 people
- By 2030
- 64,057 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 62,470 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 59,064 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 48,738 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 36,112 · -43.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crow Wing
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.7 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.09%
- Current HPI
- 220.3299
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Brainerd, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+100.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-21 Sold (MLS) $172,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-11 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-21 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-07 Price Changed $164,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-23 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-13 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-10 Coming Soon $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-09 Sold (MLS) $83,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-21 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,818 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…