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4039 W Olson Rd
B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

4039 W Olson Rd · Leiters Ford, IN 46975
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1921 2.25 ac lot $41/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* Seller willing to sell on land contract * Opportunity awaits at 4039 W Olson Rd in Rochester, IN. Sitting on 2.25 acres, this property offers a rare combination of land and potential at an affordable entry point.

Key facts

  • 2.25 acre lot
  • Built 1921
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (not included per instructions)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; Two-story
  • Construction: Built with other/unspecified construction materials
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 416 x 242; Approximately 2.25-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rochester Community Middle School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #164 of 330 statewide, top 50%, 317 students, 58% FRL); Rochester Community High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 610 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
15.86%
Cash-on-cash
34.18%
DSCR
2.52
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,049
List price
$70,000
Delta
-57.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$24,225
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
4.41×
Total profit
$66,909
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46975

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $781/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $598 -5% $578 +0% $558 +5% $539 +10% $519
Rent -10% $456 -5% $507 +0% $558 +5% $609 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $594 -0.5pp $576 base $558 +0.5pp $540 +1.0pp $522

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-04-29
    listed $70,000 Active 202-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$781 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$781 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,489
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$781
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,239
− Management
−$1,239
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,421
After-tax cash flow
$5,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809630
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,645
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6231
State rank
#188 of 301 in IN

Livability — Leiters Ford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Fulton County · 13,824 people
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
13,824
Household income
$61,185
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
238.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,537 people
By 2030
19,013 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,959 · -8.1%
By 2050
17,038 · -12.8%
By 2075
15,117 · -22.6%
By 2100
13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.72%
Current HPI
212.9033
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $70,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+36.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $781 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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