218 S 10th St · Goshen, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, flippers and DIY-ers, this 2 bed, 1 bath home is ready for your personal touch! Offering high main-level ceilings, a large kitchen with ample storage, main level laundry, newer vinyl windows, a deep city lot and just 1 block from Goshen High School, you can move in and make it your own. Home is part of an estate and is being sold "as-is. "
Key facts
- Newer vinyl windows
- Large kitchen
- Main level laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; One story
- Construction: Asphalt construction materials
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Gas oven; Gas water heater; Water heater; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.2% in Goshen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in IN, #622 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Goshen Community Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #190 of 301 in IN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parkside Elementary School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #279 of 994 statewide, top 30%, 252 students, 62% FRL); Goshen Junior High School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #197 of 330 statewide, top 60%, 1,001 students, 70% FRL); Goshen High School (math 32% / reading 65%, grade D, #139 of 369 statewide, top 38%, 2,004 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.53%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,334
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 S 8th St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,219 (+1%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $164 | 69 |
| 721 S 9th St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,192 (-1%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $155 | 68 |
| 809 S 6th St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,226 (+1%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $204 | 66 |
| 617 S Main St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,220 (+1%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 913 S 10th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-4%) | 2mo | $134,536 | $116 | 61 |
| 317 S 8th St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+9%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $114 | 61 |
| 619 S 8th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (-7%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 613 S 9th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,323 (+9%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $76 | 57 |
| 309 S 6th St | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 | 1,338 (+11%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $101 | 57 |
| 702 Lincolnway East | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,104 (-9%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 208 Crescent St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,388 (+15%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $79 | 48 |
| 318 E Monroe St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,358 (+12%) | 10mo | $178,000 | $131 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,804
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $41,914
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46528
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,284 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 S 6th St Goshen, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $775 | $0.95 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1401 Park 33 Blvd Goshen, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1170 | $1,878 | $1.60 | 20d | 20 | 0.98mi |
| 1006 S Indiana Ave Goshen, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $1,695 | $1.47 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 251 Woodridge Ct Apt A Goshen, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,195 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 275 Woodridge Ct Apt C Goshen, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,495 | $1.45 | 20d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 265 Woodridge Ct Apt B Goshen, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 364-char remark
-
2026-06-05$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $664 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$185/yr (+$15/mo · 38.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,402
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$830
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Goshen Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803930
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,892
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6292
- State rank
- #190 of 301 in IN
Livability — Goshen
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #622
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Goshen, IN
- City population
- 33,668
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,356
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Iranian 2% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.40%
- Current HPI
- 231.4441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $110,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $478 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…