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151 Main St
A- Composite 82.23
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

151 Main St · Richburg, NY 14774
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1890 6,534 sqft lot Est $138k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute as a button, just needs your finishing touches! This has been a well maintained rental property for over 18 years. Built 1890 could be one of the oldest structures in Richburg, NY. Most recent home improvements include newer asphalt shingled roof, newly built front porch, new picture window in front new lower hickory kitchen cabinetry, stainless steel sink and faucet, countertops and flooring. Home shows its age with original 12 foot wide plank floors in some rooms. The front room could make a nice size bedroom with separate entry from the front porch. (Once was a beauty salon). Two nice size bedrooms rooms upstairs. Basement has gravel floor and rear entry small enclosed porch for yo

Key facts

  • New picture window
  • 16x8 shed
  • Small enclosed porch

Tags

NEWER ASPHALT SHINGLED ROOFNEWLY BUILT FRONT PORCHNEW PICTURE WINDOWGRAVEL FLOOR BASEMENTSMALL ENCLOSED PORCH16X8 SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: Single-story property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured and stone foundation; Multiple roof materials: architectural shingles, metal, rubber/membrane
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Shed(s) / storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Rooms total: 8 (includes a convertible bedroom)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Country kitchen; Convertible bedroom; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#994 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, schools D-.
  • Bolivar-Richburg Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #395 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
11.60%
Cash-on-cash
18.96%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,608
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
178 Evans St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+5%) 12mo $144,000 $103 66
20 N Main St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,292 (-3%) 8mo $40,000 $31 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$28,189
Equity at exit
$31,430
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$72,861
Equity at exit
$48,437

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14774

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,121 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,165/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $729
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $69,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,165 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,165 · $180/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,448
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$2,165
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$680
After-tax cash flow
$3,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bolivar-Richburg Central School District
NCES district ID
3600012
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$40,153
Composite
42.26/100
National rank
#3277
State rank
#395 of 590 in NY

Livability — Richburg

Score
60/100
State rank
#994
US rank
#19418

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richburg, NY
City population
322
Population (ZIP)
322

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,362 people
By 2030
43,078 · -5.0%
By 2040
38,031 · -16.2%
By 2050
33,634 · -25.9%
By 2075
25,285 · -44.3%
By 2100
18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Polish 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,165 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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