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10785 Friendsville Rd
A- Composite 81.61
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$62,500

10785 Friendsville Rd · Friendsville, MD 21531
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 776 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1950 2.97 ac lot $81/sqft · 25% below area Est $83k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional investment opportunity! This 1950-built 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 4 year old metal roof is primed for a full renovation or redevelopment. Set on over 9 acres and fronting a county-maintained road, the property offers significant upside with potential subdivision —retaining the existing home while creating additional building lots

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Adjacent land
  • Full renovation

Tags

METAL ROOFFULL RENOVATIONCOUNTY MAINTAINED ROADADJACENT LAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Electric service available
  • Home design: Detached structure; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Above-grade finished area reported as 776; Below-grade unfinished area reported as 432; Total below-grade area reported as 432
  • Exterior features: Off-street parking; No tidal water on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Assessor-provided living area measurement; Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#403 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Garrett County Public Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #16 of 24 in MD (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Garrett County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Garrett County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,562 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
19.90%
Cash-on-cash
48.61%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,275
List price
$62,500
Delta
199.01%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
4.10×
Total profit
$54,191
Equity at exit
$29,700
10-year hold
IRR
53.6%
Equity multiple
8.31×
Total profit
$127,838
Equity at exit
$47,055

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21531

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $736/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $744 -5% $727 +0% $709 +5% $691 +10% $673
Rent -10% $596 -5% $653 +0% $709 +5% $765 +10% $821
Rate -1.0pp $740 -0.5pp $725 base $709 +0.5pp $693 +1.0pp $676

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $62,500 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $62,500 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $62,500 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,500 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,500 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,500 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,500 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $249,000 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Exceptional investment opportunity! This 1950-built 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 4 year old metal roof is primed for a full renovation or redevelopment. Set on over 9 acres and fronting a county-maintained road, the property offers significant upside with potential subdivision —retaining the existing home while creating additional building lots

  18. 2026-04-14
    historical $249,000 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Exceptional investment opportunity! This 1950-built 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with 4 year old metal roof is primed for a full renovation or redevelopment. Set on over 9 acres and fronting a county-maintained road, the property offers significant upside with potential subdivision —retaining the existing home while creating additional building lots

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$736 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$736 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,073
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$736
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,366
− Management
−$1,366
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$7,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,914
After-tax cash flow
$6,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garrett County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400360
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,705
Composite
20.36/100
National rank
#8600
State rank
#16 of 24 in MD

Livability — Friendsville

Score
57/100
State rank
#403
US rank
#22230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,346

Population outlook (Garrett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,304 people
By 2030
27,248 · -3.7%
By 2040
24,596 · -13.1%
By 2050
21,703 · -23.3%
By 2075
15,766 · -44.3%
By 2100
11,363 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Garrett

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.0) · D 21.9% · R 75.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.1pp · 2024: -54.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.0 2020: R+55.9 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+52.1 2008: R+40.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.45%
Current HPI
300.0729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-74.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Listed $62,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $249,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $249,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $736 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…