815 N N St · Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,050
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
Key facts
- Central heat
- Recently remodeled
- Zoned c-3
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,848/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 816% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $109k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.82%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,537
- List price
- $109,050
- Delta
- 50.34%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $36,832
- Equity at exit
- $16,260
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $116,005
- Equity at exit
- $9,429
Cash invested: $30,534 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32501
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $695/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $784
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,262
- Closing costs
- $3,272
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,169 | $1.20 | 14d | 3 | 0.17mi |
| 1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 239 N K St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 814 N E St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 811 N D St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,395 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1010 N D St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 411 N D St Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1511 | $2,175 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1215 N C St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 418 N C St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,775 | $2.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 410 N C St Unit 1367374P Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $3,313 | $2.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 106 S G St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 615 N A St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,900 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2108 W Bobe St Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $2,100 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 721 W Jordan St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,895 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 218 Junction Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1295 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 214 W La Rua St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 407 W Jordan St Unit NA Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 504 N Spring St Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,995 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 220 W Chase St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,241 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 379 S Clubbs St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $2,400 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,050 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,050 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,050 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,050 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $109,050 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $109,050 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,050 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,050 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $109,050 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $109,050 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $109,050 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $109,050 Active 305 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,050 Active 304 DOM
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2026-05-17price $109,050 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
-
2026-04-19price $114,600 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
-
2025-12-01price $120,600 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
-
2025-09-12price $121,100 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
-
2025-07-31$129,600 Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
For Sale: 815 N N Street Asking Price: $121,100 Approx. 1,400 sq ft | Lot Size: 0.1732 acres Prime Location | Zoned C-3 This spacious 3 bed, 2 bath modular home is full of potential for homeowners, business owners, or investors. It offers excellent access, high visibility, and flexible zoning. *Home is currently Occupied* Property Highlights: Built in 2002 Recently remodeled New roof Central heat **Not Vacant**
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2024-03-07soldstatus $65,000
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2024-02-23soldstatus $65,000 Sold 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2024-01-24status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2023-12-11status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2023-11-24status Pending 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2023-11-22status Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2023-11-22historical 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
-
2023-11-17$74,900 Active 277-char remark
Show marketing remark (277 chars)
Investors and Flippers! This three bedroom, two bathroom, manufactured home is ideal for you. It is currently a residence but located in zoned C-3 which may provide for several other options, Businesses or other considerations. Contact the listing agent for your viewing today.
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2019-07-31soldstatus $24,000
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2019-06-21$34,900
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1982-09-01soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $695 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $905 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$211/yr (+$18/mo · 30.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,108
- − Property taxes
- −$695
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,774
- − Management
- −$1,774
- − Depreciation
- −$3,172
- Taxable income
- $8,102
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,945
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,468/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pensacola
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 237,636
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,036
- Household income
- $44,139
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 816.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 42% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.53%
- Current HPI
- 273.0151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.40%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+772.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $109,050 PARMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $114,600 PARMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $120,600 PARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $121,100 PARMLS
- 2025-07-31 Listed $129,600 PARMLS
- 2024-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-23 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PARMLS
- 2024-01-24 Pending — PARMLS
- 2023-12-11 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2023-11-24 Pending — PARMLS
- 2023-11-22 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2023-11-22 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2023-11-17 Listed $74,900 PARMLS
- 2019-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 PARMLS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
- 1982-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+26.8%/yrLatest (2025): $695 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…