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456 Mountain Rd
B- Composite 65.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$184,900

456 Mountain Rd · Indian Mountain Lake, PA 18210
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 808 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1968 0.38 ac lot $229/sqft · 7% above area Est $212k · 13% under $121/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch with a 1-car garage and circular driveway, ideally located near the clubhouse and main lake in Indian Mountain Lakes. This ranch welcomes you with an open-concept living room and kitchen. The home features new hickory hardwood floors, fresh interior paint, and updated lighting fixtures throughout. Original solid birch doors add character, while the kitchen offers solid birch cabinetry. A propane-ready, stone-faced fireplace serves as a focal point in the main living area. Additional spaces include a dining room, sunroom, two bedrooms, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a convenient half bath. Bedrooms offer generous closet space for ample storage. The home also includes a shallow basement, fully encapsulated with a new pump and dehumidification system--ideal for clean, dry storage of household items. Located in the heart of the Poconos, Indian Mountain Lakes is an amenity-filled community offering 5 lakes, 2 outdoor pools, tennis courts, trash service, and 24-hour security--making it ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or a weekend retreat.

Key facts

  • 2 outdoor pools
  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING ROOMNEW HICKORY HARDWOOD FLOORSSOLID BIRCH CABINETRYPROPANE-READY FIREPLACEAMENITY-FILLED COMMUNITY2 OUTDOOR POOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R1
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,450

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway and off-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: 100-amp electric service with circuit breakers; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Flat lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Resilient flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area and separate/formal dining room; Sunroom / three-season room; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Dryer hookup on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.7% in Indian Mountain Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,349 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $122k; list at $185k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $184,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.40%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,048
List price
$184,900
Delta
-12.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
186 Highridge Rd 0.09mi 2/1.0 780 (-4%) 14mo $178,500 $229 76
93 Iroquois Rd 0.44mi 2/1.0 816 (+1%) 4mo $202,000 $248 72
188 Evergreen Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 816 (+1%) 11mo $230,000 $282 61
404 Mountain Rd 0.23mi 2/1.0 864 (+7%) 20mo $215,000 $249 59
174 Highridge Rd 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 900 (+11%) 18mo $145,000 $161 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,673
Equity at exit
$28,501
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$19,672
Equity at exit
$17,592

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18210

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
453
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,063/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$121
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,696
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $372 +0% $319 +5% $267 +10% $215
Rent -10% $154 -5% $236 +0% $319 +5% $402 +10% $485
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $366 base $319 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
182 Mountain Rd Albrightsville, PA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,100 $2.19 3d 1 1.24mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$121 · $1,452/yr
Likely covers
trashpoolsecurity

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch with a 1-car garage and circular driveway, ideally located near the clubhouse and main lake in Indian Mountain Lakes. This ranch welcomes you with an open-concept living room and kitchen. The home features new hickory hardwood floors, fresh interior paint, and updated lighting fixtures throughout. Original solid birch doors add character, while the kitchen offers solid birch cabinetry. A propane-ready, stone-faced fireplace serves as a focal point in the main living area. Additional spaces include a dining room, sunroom, two bedrooms, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a convenient half bath. Bedrooms offer generous closet space for ample storage. The home also includes a shallow basement, fully encapsulated with a new pump and dehumidification system--ideal for clean, dry storage of household items. Located in the heart of the Poconos, Indian Mountain Lakes is an amenity-filled community offering 5 lakes, 2 outdoor pools, tennis courts, trash service, and 24-hour security--making it ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or a weekend retreat.

  2. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch with a 1-car garage and circular driveway, ideally located near the clubhouse and main lake in Indian Mountain Lakes. This ranch welcomes you with an open-concept living room and kitchen. The home features new hickory hardwood floors, fresh interior paint, and updated lighting fixtures throughout. Original solid birch doors add character, while the kitchen offers solid birch cabinetry. A propane-ready, stone-faced fireplace serves as a focal point in the main living area. Additional spaces include a dining room, sunroom, two bedrooms, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a convenient half bath. Bedrooms offer generous closet space for ample storage. The home also includes a shallow basement, fully encapsulated with a new pump and dehumidification system--ideal for clean, dry storage of household items. Located in the heart of the Poconos, Indian Mountain Lakes is an amenity-filled community offering 5 lakes, 2 outdoor pools, tennis courts, trash service, and 24-hour security--making it ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or a weekend retreat.

  3. 2026-05-01
    listed $184,900 Active 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch with a 1-car garage and circular driveway, ideally located near the clubhouse and main lake in Indian Mountain Lakes. This ranch welcomes you with an open-concept living room and kitchen. The home features new hickory hardwood floors, fresh interior paint, and updated lighting fixtures throughout. Original solid birch doors add character, while the kitchen offers solid birch cabinetry. A propane-ready, stone-faced fireplace serves as a focal point in the main living area. Additional spaces include a dining room, sunroom, two bedrooms, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a convenient half bath. Bedrooms offer generous closet space for ample storage. The home also includes a shallow basement, fully encapsulated with a new pump and dehumidification system--ideal for clean, dry storage of household items. Located in the heart of the Poconos, Indian Mountain Lakes is an amenity-filled community offering 5 lakes, 2 outdoor pools, tennis courts, trash service, and 24-hour security--making it ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or a weekend retreat.

  4. 2026-05-01
    listed $184,900 Active 1106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Updated 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath ranch with a 1-car garage and circular driveway, ideally located near the clubhouse and main lake in Indian Mountain Lakes. This ranch welcomes you with an open-concept living room and kitchen. The home features new hickory hardwood floors, fresh interior paint, and updated lighting fixtures throughout. Original solid birch doors add character, while the kitchen offers solid birch cabinetry. A propane-ready, stone-faced fireplace serves as a focal point in the main living area. Additional spaces include a dining room, sunroom, two bedrooms, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a convenient half bath. Bedrooms offer generous closet space for ample storage. The home also includes a shallow basement, fully encapsulated with a new pump and dehumidification system--ideal for clean, dry storage of household items. Located in the heart of the Poconos, Indian Mountain Lakes is an amenity-filled community offering 5 lakes, 2 outdoor pools, tennis courts, trash service, and 24-hour security--making it ideal for full-time living, vacation use, or a weekend retreat.

  5. 2021-10-25
    soldstatus $121,900
  6. 2021-10-20
    soldstatus $121,900
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    No more showings. Verbal acceptance of offer. 2 Bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch with one car garage and circle driveway near clubhouse and main lake. House features 3-seasonal room and family room for extra living space. Living room with stone face fireplace insert, eat-in kitchen with access to laundry area and half bathroom. Full bath near two bedrooms. Mud room by the front door entry. Located in heart of Poconos in the community with 5 lakes, 2 pools, tennis ct, garbage pick up and 24 hour security. Needs TLC. Home sold AS IS. Inspection was done only on septic.

  7. 2021-10-20
    soldstatus $121,900
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    No more showings. Verbal acceptance of offer. 2 Bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch with one car garage and circle driveway near clubhouse and main lake. House features 3-seasonal room and family room for extra living space. Living room with stone face fireplace insert, eat-in kitchen with access to laundry area and half bathroom. Full bath near two bedrooms. Mud room by the front door entry. Located in heart of Poconos in the community with 5 lakes, 2 pools, tennis ct, garbage pick up and 24 hour security. Needs TLC. Home sold AS IS. Inspection was done only on septic.

  8. 2021-06-09
    listed $119,900
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    No more showings. Verbal acceptance of offer. 2 Bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch with one car garage and circle driveway near clubhouse and main lake. House features 3-seasonal room and family room for extra living space. Living room with stone face fireplace insert, eat-in kitchen with access to laundry area and half bathroom. Full bath near two bedrooms. Mud room by the front door entry. Located in heart of Poconos in the community with 5 lakes, 2 pools, tennis ct, garbage pick up and 24 hour security. Needs TLC. Home sold AS IS. Inspection was done only on septic.

  9. 2021-06-09
    listed $119,900
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    No more showings. Verbal acceptance of offer. 2 Bedroom, 1.5 bath ranch with one car garage and circle driveway near clubhouse and main lake. House features 3-seasonal room and family room for extra living space. Living room with stone face fireplace insert, eat-in kitchen with access to laundry area and half bathroom. Full bath near two bedrooms. Mud room by the front door entry. Located in heart of Poconos in the community with 5 lakes, 2 pools, tennis ct, garbage pick up and 24 hour security. Needs TLC. Home sold AS IS. Inspection was done only on septic.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,063 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,492 · $208/mo
Expected delta
+$429/yr (+$36/mo · 20.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,200
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,063
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− HOA
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$238
After-tax cash flow
$3,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Indian Mountain Lake

Score
62/100
State rank
#1349
US rank
#16713

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indian Mountain Lake, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,879

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.89%
Current HPI
203.8099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending PMAR
  • 2026-05-05 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $184,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $184,900 PMAR
  • 2021-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $121,900 Public Records
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $121,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $121,900 PMAR
  • 2021-06-09 Listed $119,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-06-09 Listed $119,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,063 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…