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11131 Locust St
B+ Composite 76.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$71,900

11131 Locust St · Lakeshore Resort, IN 47012
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1978 $72/sqft · 17% below area Est $87k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Refreshed Vacation Paradise! 1/4 mile from the Brookville Lake causeway. Close to the Causeway boat docks. The extra lot allows for convenient boat storage. New paint and flooring throughout. Also new HVAC & septic holding tank. You'll love relaxing in the large, enclosed porch on those rainy days! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath resort home offers full time comfort for your family and guests. Weekend or longer term lake retreat living at it's finest! * Assoc. Dues are $350 per lot and already paid for 2026. Lake Shore Resort Bylaws, Rules and Covenants can be found at https://lakeshoreresort. us/rules-and-covenants/ ______ Legal desc: Parcel #24-04-20-377-118.000-007 - Parcel #24-05-20-377-119.000-007

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 parking space; Garage door opener; Concrete and gravel surfaces
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Storm door(s); Shed(s); Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $497 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $69,743 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.04%
Cash-on-cash
20.53%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,072
List price
$71,900
Delta
-17.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11117 Red Bud Ln 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 938 (-6%) 0mo $67,000 $71 82
11118 Cedar St 0.11mi 3/1.0 920 (-7%) 7mo $204,000 $222 76
15047 Wren St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,125 (+13%) 10mo $95,000 $84 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$10,278
Equity at exit
$10,721
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$37,156
Equity at exit
$6,217

Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47012

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$377
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $574
Max offer price $71,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,975
Closing costs
$2,157
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $71,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $71,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $71,900 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $71,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $71,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $71,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $71,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $71,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $71,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $71,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $71,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,900 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,900 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,900 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $71,900 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Refreshed Vacation Paradise! 1/4 mile from the Brookville Lake causeway. Close to the Causeway boat docks. The extra lot allows for convenient boat storage. New paint and flooring throughout. Also new HVAC & septic holding tank. You'll love relaxing in the large, enclosed porch on those rainy days! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath resort home offers full time comfort for your family and guests. Weekend or longer term lake retreat living at it's finest! * Assoc. Dues are $350 per lot and already paid for 2026. Lake Shore Resort Bylaws, Rules and Covenants can be found at https://lakeshoreresort. us/rules-and-covenants/ ______ Legal desc: Parcel #24-04-20-377-118.000-007 - Parcel #24-05-20-377-119.000-007

  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $71,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Refreshed Vacation Paradise! 1/4 mile from the Brookville Lake causeway. Close to the Causeway boat docks. The extra lot allows for convenient boat storage. New paint and flooring throughout. Also new HVAC & septic holding tank. You'll love relaxing in the large, enclosed porch on those rainy days! This 2-bedroom, 2 bath resort home offers full time comfort for your family and guests. Weekend or longer term lake retreat living at it's finest! * Assoc. Dues are $350 per lot and already paid for 2026. Lake Shore Resort Bylaws, Rules and Covenants can be found at https://lakeshoreresort. us/rules-and-covenants/ ______ Legal desc: Parcel #24-04-20-377-118.000-007 - Parcel #24-05-20-377-119.000-007

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$562 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$586 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 4.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,126
− Mortgage interest
−$4,028
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$970
− Management
−$970
− Depreciation
−$2,092
Taxable income
$3,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$755
After-tax cash flow
$3,379/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Lakeshore Resort

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakeshore Resort, IN
Population (ZIP)
10,891

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,796 people
By 2030
22,556 · -1.1%
By 2040
21,762 · -4.5%
By 2050
20,575 · -9.7%
By 2075
17,810 · -21.9%
By 2100
13,698 · -39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Korean 2% Vietnamese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -64.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.4 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+42.8 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.81%
Current HPI
223.2183
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $71,900 ECIAOR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $71,900 RRELMS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $562 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…