18318 Cusachs Dr · Covington, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$293,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a double lot along the Sally waterway in Lazy River Estates, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home combines character, functionality, and outdoor living with a 30x48 workshop, screened porch, and spacious backyard setting just minutes from the Tchefuncte River. Positioned at the end of a cul-de-sac on one of the higher streets within the neighborhood, the property offers 1,827 living sq ft with updated flooring throughout, no carpet, a large living area with fireplace and custom built-ins, renovated bathrooms, and an updated kitchen featuring granite counters, open shelving, island workspace, and abundant storage. A separate built-in office/library space adds flexibility for work, hobbies, or creative use. The screened rear porch overlooks the patio, gardens, and waterway, creating an inviting extension of the living space. The approximately 1,422 sq ft workshop includes multiple roll-up doors, rear access, expansive flex/storage space, and room for boats, recreational vehicles, woodworking, equipment, hobbies, or workshop use. An additional storage shed is located beside the shop. Additional features include a newer well tank, recently added patio space, screened porch improvements, and a spacious backyard setting with waterfront views. Lazy River Estates offers a unique blend of waterfront living, mature landscape, and boating access along the Tchefuncte River system. Zoned for Mandeville schools, the neighborhood remains one of the Northshore's more distinctive hidden-pocket waterfront communities.
Key facts
- 30x48 workshop
- Spacious backyard
- Renovated bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a cul-de-sac; Outside city limits; Waterfront with canal access
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Three or more parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Well water
- Home design: Single-story; Very good condition
- Construction: Cedar construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on an oversized lot
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch (screened); Shed(s); Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Trash compactor
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Carbon monoxide detector; Granite counters; Cable TV; Wood-burning fireplace; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $293k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-430 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (25.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (22.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#17 in LA, #3,876 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marigny Elementary School (456 students, 33% FRL); Fontainebleau Junior High School (math 38% / reading 62%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 877 students, 37% FRL); Fontainebleau High School (math 56% / reading 61%, grade C, #23 of 265 statewide, top 9%, 1,677 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 530 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $374,863
- List price
- $293,000
- Delta
- -24.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18249 Derbes Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-5%) | 13mo | $348,000 | $202 | 76 |
| 305 Avenue Palais Royal | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (+2%) | 3mo | $342,000 | $185 | 67 |
| 1105 Avenue Du Chateau St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,963 (+8%) | 17mo | $385,000 | $196 | 55 |
| 18070 Cusachs Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 2,049 (+13%) | 23mo | $480,000 | $234 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-71,643
- Equity at exit
- $43,687
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-84,125
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
Cash invested: $82,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70433
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 530
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,537
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,783/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $-430
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-264 | -5% $-347 | +0% $-430 | +5% $-513 | +10% $-596 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-610 | -5% $-520 | +0% $-430 | +5% $-340 | +10% $-249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-282 | -0.5pp $-355 | base $-430 | +0.5pp $-506 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,250
- Closing costs
- $8,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 Versailles Business Pkwy Covington, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $2,089 | $2.07 | 4d | 31 | 0.43mi |
| 69037 Riverbend Dr Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $3,500 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 312 Lismore Ln Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1521 | $2,900 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 110 Robinhood Dr Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3 Hollycrest Blvd Covington, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 308 Robinhood Dr Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,800 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1776 Continental Dr Covington, LA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,936 | $1.96 | 3d | 21 | 1.43mi |
| 2209 Archwyck Cir Covington, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2256 | $3,500 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 445 Tiger Ave Covington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $293,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $293,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $293,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $293,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $293,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $293,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $303,000 Active 10 DOM
Show marketing remark (1528 chars)
Situated on a double lot along the Sally waterway in Lazy River Estates, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home combines character, functionality, and outdoor living with a 30x48 workshop, screened porch, and spacious backyard setting just minutes from the Tchefuncte River. Positioned at the end of a cul-de-sac on one of the higher streets within the neighborhood, the property offers 1,827 living sq ft with updated flooring throughout, no carpet, a large living area with fireplace and custom built-ins, renovated bathrooms, and an updated kitchen featuring granite counters, open shelving, island workspace, and abundant storage. A separate built-in office/library space adds flexibility for work, hobbies, or creative use. The screened rear porch overlooks the patio, gardens, and waterway, creating an inviting extension of the living space. The approximately 1,422 sq ft workshop includes multiple roll-up doors, rear access, expansive flex/storage space, and room for boats, recreational vehicles, woodworking, equipment, hobbies, or workshop use. An additional storage shed is located beside the shop. Additional features include a newer well tank, recently added patio space, screened porch improvements, and a spacious backyard setting with waterfront views. Lazy River Estates offers a unique blend of waterfront living, mature landscape, and boating access along the Tchefuncte River system. Zoned for Mandeville schools, the neighborhood remains one of the Northshore's more distinctive hidden-pocket waterfront communities.
-
2026-06-09days on market $303,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $303,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $303,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $303,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $303,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $303,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-04-30price $284,900 663-char remark
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2026-04-30price $284,900 663-char remark
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2026-03-20price $289,900 663-char remark
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2026-03-20price $289,900 663-char remark
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2026-03-05$294,900 Active 663-char remark
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2026-03-05$294,900 Active 663-char remark
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2022-10-28soldstatus $240,000 Closed
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2022-10-28soldstatus $240,000
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2022-09-29status Pending
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2022-09-17$249,900
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2022-09-17$249,900 Active
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2017-12-16historical
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2017-09-15$189,900 Active
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2017-09-15$189,900
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2017-01-06soldstatus $125,000 Sold
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2016-12-07historical Pending Continue to Show
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2016-10-16price $149,500
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2016-08-20$174,500 Active
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2016-08-16$149,500
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2016-08-15historical
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2016-07-21price $189,900
-
2016-07-07price $194,900
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2016-06-06$199,900 Active
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2016-06-06$189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,783 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,783 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,413
- − Property taxes
- −$1,783
- − Insurance
- −$6,584
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,192
- − Management
- −$2,192
- − Depreciation
- −$8,524
- Taxable loss
- −$10,286
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,469
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #3876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 64,351
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,876
- Household income
- $81,241
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1287.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 17% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.14%
- Current HPI
- 181.8348
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+54.3% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $293,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $293,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-31 Listed $303,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-31 Listed $303,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $284,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $284,900 GSREIN
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $289,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $289,900 GSREIN
- 2026-03-05 Listed $294,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-28 Sold (MLS) $240,000 GSREIN
- 2022-09-29 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-09-17 Listed $249,900 GSREIN
- 2022-09-17 Listed $249,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-12-16 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2017-09-15 Listed $189,900 GSREIN
- 2017-09-15 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-01-06 Sold (MLS) $125,000 GSREIN
- 2016-12-07 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2016-10-16 Price Changed $149,500 GSREIN
- 2016-08-20 Listed $174,500 GSREIN
- 2016-08-16 Listed $149,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-08-15 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2016-07-21 Price Changed $189,900 GSREIN
- 2016-07-07 Price Changed $194,900 GSREIN
- 2016-06-06 Listed $199,900 GSREIN
- 2016-06-06 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,783 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…