5425 W Lakeview Dr · Harrah, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Fixer upper! Home is in a desireable location in Harrah. Priced to sell "As IS". You can customize this home & make it yours.Floor plan is great*large bedrms*super hobby room /pantry*xtra storage*Charming country/shabby chic decor* Complete AHS home warranty package (3 pkgs) for the buyer's first year! Conventional/Cash or Rehab Financing only!Buyer 2 verify sqr ftg as house may be larger than the court house #PLEASE SEE REALTOR REMARKS!
Key facts
- 0.67 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Occupied; Coming Soon (previous status)
- Financial info: Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: Homestead exempt
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level entry; Residential property; Located in Horseshoe Lake addition
- Construction: Frame and masonry veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Open deck
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: One living area; One dining area; Open deck; Wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.3% in Harrah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#163 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Harrah (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #82 of 270 in OK (top 30%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Virginia Smith Es (395 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Hs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 630 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $125k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.80%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $330,076
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5243 W Lakeview Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,621 (-12%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 5664 W Lakeview Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (-5%) | 20mo | $265,000 | $151 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,957
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $49,766
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73045
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,622/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-07$125,000 Active
-
2010-03-29soldstatus $72,000
-
2010-03-22soldstatus $72,000 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Great Fixer upper! Home is in a desireable location in Harrah. Priced to sell "As IS". You can customize this home & make it yours.Floor plan is great*large bedrms*super hobby room /pantry*xtra storage*Charming country/shabby chic decor* Complete AHS home warranty package (3 pkgs) for the buyer's first year! Conventional/Cash or Rehab Financing only!Buyer 2 verify sqr ftg as house may be larger than the court house #PLEASE SEE REALTOR REMARKS!
-
2010-02-08$70,000 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Great Fixer upper! Home is in a desireable location in Harrah. Priced to sell "As IS". You can customize this home & make it yours.Floor plan is great*large bedrms*super hobby room /pantry*xtra storage*Charming country/shabby chic decor* Complete AHS home warranty package (3 pkgs) for the buyer's first year! Conventional/Cash or Rehab Financing only!Buyer 2 verify sqr ftg as house may be larger than the court house #PLEASE SEE REALTOR REMARKS!
-
1982-05-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,622 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,622 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,622
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$988
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrah
- NCES district ID
- 4013890
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,737
- Composite
- 23.55/100
- National rank
- #7860
- State rank
- #82 of 270 in OK
Livability — Harrah
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #13659
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,542
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,542
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.25%
- Current HPI
- 272.5731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+557.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-05-07 Listed $125,000 MLSOK
- 2010-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-22 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MLSOK
- 2010-02-08 Listed $70,000 MLSOK
- 1982-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,622 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…