252 Center Ave · Bellefonte, AR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Bellefonte. (2nd bathroom needs repairs. ) Lots of space inside with a wood fireplace, wood, tile and carpet flooring. Newer metal roof. Outbuilding has electric. Nice level and shaded yard. The wood stove in front of fireplace does not convey. Selling AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.
Key facts
- Wood fireplace
- Newer metal roof
- 0.9 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($517/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#323 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Valley Springs School District (rural): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #7 of 238 in AR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $140k implies a 428% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.15%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,638
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -21.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383 N Center Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (-12%) | 18mo | $89,000 | $61 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-13,501
- Equity at exit
- $27,696
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,360
- Equity at exit
- $24,153
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72601
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $806/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-20$140,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Bellefonte. (2nd bathroom needs repairs. ) Lots of space inside with a wood fireplace, wood, tile and carpet flooring. Newer metal roof. Outbuilding has electric. Nice level and shaded yard. The wood stove in front of fireplace does not convey. Selling AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.
-
2012-09-13soldstatus $26,500 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
This property is now under auction terms. Pre-sale bids should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction all offers are subject to seller approval. Please contact listing agent for details.
-
2012-05-30$36,000 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
This property is now under auction terms. Pre-sale bids should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction all offers are subject to seller approval. Please contact listing agent for details.
-
2005-09-06soldstatus $70,000
-
1999-06-02soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $806 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$90/yr (+$7/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$806
- − Insurance
- −$2,202
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,249
- − Management
- −$1,249
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,807
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley Springs School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513350
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,757
- Composite
- 46.57/100
- National rank
- #2424
- State rank
- #7 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bellefonte
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #323
- US rank
- #21230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellefonte, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,180
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,238 people
- By 2030
- 36,808 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 35,597 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,197 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 30,503 · -18.1%
- By 2100
- 25,797 · -30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.92%
- Current HPI
- 247.043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+311.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $140,000 NWARMLS
- 2012-09-13 Sold (MLS) $26,500 NWARMLS
- 2012-05-30 Listed $36,000 NWARMLS
- 2005-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $806 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…