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252 Center Ave
C+ Composite 62.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

252 Center Ave · Bellefonte, AR 72601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
0.90 ac lot $84/sqft · 21% below area Est $178k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Bellefonte. (2nd bathroom needs repairs. ) Lots of space inside with a wood fireplace, wood, tile and carpet flooring. Newer metal roof. Outbuilding has electric. Nice level and shaded yard. The wood stove in front of fireplace does not convey. Selling AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.

Key facts

  • Wood fireplace
  • Newer metal roof
  • 0.9 acre lot

Tags

WOOD FIREPLACENEWER METAL ROOFOUTBUILDING HAS ELECTRICLEVEL AND SHADED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($517/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#323 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Valley Springs School District (rural): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #7 of 238 in AR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $140k implies a 428% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,124 (7.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$177,638
List price
$140,000
Delta
-21.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
383 N Center Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,464 (-12%) 18mo $89,000 $61 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-13,501
Equity at exit
$27,696
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,360
Equity at exit
$24,153

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72601

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
437
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $806/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,247
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $140,000 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Bellefonte. (2nd bathroom needs repairs. ) Lots of space inside with a wood fireplace, wood, tile and carpet flooring. Newer metal roof. Outbuilding has electric. Nice level and shaded yard. The wood stove in front of fireplace does not convey. Selling AS-IS. Property will not go VA, RD or FHA. All numbers approximate. NO OFFERS ACCEPTED UNTIL 5/26/26.

  18. 2012-09-13
    soldstatus $26,500 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    This property is now under auction terms. Pre-sale bids should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction all offers are subject to seller approval. Please contact listing agent for details.

  19. 2012-05-30
    listed $36,000 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    This property is now under auction terms. Pre-sale bids should be submitted through www. Auction.com. This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). This is a reserve auction all offers are subject to seller approval. Please contact listing agent for details.

  20. 2005-09-06
    soldstatus $70,000
  21. 1999-06-02
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$806 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$896 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$90/yr (+$7/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,615
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$806
− Insurance
−$2,202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,249
− Management
−$1,249
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,807
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$434
After-tax cash flow
$951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley Springs School District
NCES district ID
0513350
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,757
Composite
46.57/100
National rank
#2424
State rank
#7 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bellefonte

Score
58/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#21230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefonte, AR
Population (ZIP)
30,180

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,238 people
By 2030
36,808 · -1.2%
By 2040
35,597 · -4.4%
By 2050
34,197 · -8.2%
By 2075
30,503 · -18.1%
By 2100
25,797 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.92%
Current HPI
247.043
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+311.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $140,000 NWARMLS
  • 2012-09-13 Sold (MLS) $26,500 NWARMLS
  • 2012-05-30 Listed $36,000 NWARMLS
  • 2005-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $806 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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