10745 Victoria Ave #70 · South Whittier, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to resort-style senior living in the heart of Whittier! Discover the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home, nestled within the highly sought-after 55+ Candlewood Park. Lovingly cared-for by the original family since 2000, this home features a spacious, open-concept living room with stunning vaulted ceilings, perfect for entertaining. The vibrant community boasts a resort-style swimming pool, a clubhouse for social events, and ample guest parking, all within a quiet and peaceful neighborhood. Situated in one of Whittier's most coveted pockets, this home offers a tranquil retreat while keeping you close to every
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1993
- Listed 86 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area per assessor's data
- Financial info: Land lease of $1,100
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Senior community; Community curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Has parking (located in Candlewood Park Co)
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry on the first level; Mobile home remains on site (20 ft by 45 ft)
- Construction: Year built reported by seller
- Exterior features: Community pool; Rectangular lot with a yard
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Front door entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in an individual room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $178k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.5% in South Whittier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#849 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Whittier Union High (suburban): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #111 of 517 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.10%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,800
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10745 Victoria #4 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+13%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $163 | 77 |
| 10745 Victoria Ave #46 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+13%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $240 | 68 |
| 10745 Victoria Ave #14 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,032 (+12%) | 16mo | $169,888 | $165 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $560
- Equity at exit
- $26,600
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $38,523
- Equity at exit
- $15,425
Cash invested: $49,952 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90604
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,146 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$936
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$223 /mo · $2,676/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $524 | +0% $462 | +5% $401 | +10% $339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $293 | -5% $377 | +0% $462 | +5% $547 | +10% $632 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $552 | -0.5pp $508 | base $462 | +0.5pp $416 | +1.0pp $369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,600
- Closing costs
- $5,352
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14300 Mulberry Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,060 | $3.43 | 0d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 14035 Dicky St Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,850 | $2.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14017 Dicky St Unit F Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,850 | $3.08 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 13955 Coteau Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,695 | $2.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 14035 Coteau Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 725 | $2,350 | $3.24 | 0d | 3 | 0.75mi |
| 14340 Mulberry Dr Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,375 | $2.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 10002 Ben Hur Ave Unit I Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 603 | $1,595 | $2.65 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11622 Carmenita Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1049 | $2,935 | $2.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14145 Mulberry Dr Apt C Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,785 | $2.64 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13919 Coteau Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $2,050 | $3.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13919 Coteau Dr Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $2,595 | $3.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14149 Mulberry Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,785 | $2.64 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14119 Mulberry Dr Whittier, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,188 | $3.12 | 0d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 14105 Leffingwell Rd Whittier, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 598 | $2,350 | $3.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11442 Colima Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,300 | $2.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11500 Colima Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 0d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 14515 Leffingwell Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,495 | $2.38 | 2d | 6 | 0.97mi |
| 11506 Obert Ave Unit 09 Whittier, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,750 | $2.35 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 13926 Ramhurst Dr La Mirada, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,900 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $178,400 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $178,400 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $178,400 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $178,400 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $178,400 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,400 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,400 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $178,400 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $178,400 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $178,400 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $178,400 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $178,400 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $178,400 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $178,400 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $178,400 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-10status Active
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-26$178,400 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,993
- − Property taxes
- −$2,676
- − Insurance
- −$892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,060
- − Management
- −$2,060
- − Depreciation
- −$5,190
- Taxable income
- $2,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$690
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home offers a good starting point for a cosmetic renovation, with updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Simple update could freshen the kitchen
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Update could improve aesthetics
- Minor interior paint — Fresh paint could brighten the interior
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can brighten the interior and improve curb appeal
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can modernize the kitchen and improve functionality
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Simple update could freshen the kitchen | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Update could improve aesthetics | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · Fresh paint could brighten the interior | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can brighten the interior and improve curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can modernize the kitchen and improve functionality ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whittier Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0642480
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,675
- Composite
- 47.19/100
- National rank
- #2321
- State rank
- #111 of 517 in CA
Livability — South Whittier
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #849
- US rank
- #23357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Whittier, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 39,378
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,276
- Household income
- $105,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 829.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% White 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 8% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -818.78%
- Current HPI
- 443.0471
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $178,400 CRMLS
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $354 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…