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34 Fir Ln
B Composite 73.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,000

34 Fir Ln · Thornhurst, PA 18424
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,309 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1989 10,018 sqft lot Est $206k · 13% under $117/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Your new home or mountain retreat awaits you in Thornhurst! This chalet features an expansive floor plan with a rough-plumbed area awaiting a second bathroom! Hardwood floors, granite counters tops are already in place as well as a nicely appointed fire place in the living room and a wood stove in the basement recreation room for those cool Pocono nights. Enjoy summers in the Poconos with the large front deck and room in the backyard awaiting a new vision and purpose. Thornhurst Country Club Estates features a 9-Hole Golf Course, community swimming pool, playground, tennis, basketball courts, community clubhouse and more! Nearby is hundred of acres of PA State Game Lands as well as the Lack

Key facts

  • Rough plumbed area
  • Wood stove
  • Fire place

Tags

EXPANSIVE FLOOR PLANROUGH PLUMBED AREAFIRE PLACEWOOD STOVELARGE FRONT DECKCOMMUNITY SWIMMING POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Thornhurst Country Club Estates
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $1,400

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Electricity connected (200+ amp service); Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1989
  • Construction: T1-11 siding; Shingle roof; Combination foundation; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fire pit; Rectangular lot; Private road frontage; Gravel road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Free-standing electric range; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wood stove; Electric heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Storage; Drywall; Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $179k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $179,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.10%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,513
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Hawthorn Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+5%) 8mo $195,000 $141 72
22 Primrose Ln 0.17mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,240 (-5%) 6mo $195,000 $157 71
34 Cedar Ln 0.12mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,193 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $88 71
91 Magnolia Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+3%) 17mo $193,000 $143 64
125 Elderberry Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+3%) 21mo $184,000 $136 52
172 Magnolia Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,424 (+9%) 20mo $224,000 $157 50
1249 Country Club Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+7%) 10mo $255,000 $182 45
314 Evergreen L 314 Dr 0.21mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,112 (-15%) 20mo $118,000 $106 42
146 Country Club Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+7%) 10mo $255,000 $182 41
7 Fairway Ln 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,470 (+12%) 11mo $235,000 $160 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$100,644
Equity at exit
$141,570
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$276,559
Equity at exit
$286,511

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18424

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,142 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$117
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,714
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Magnolia Dr Gouldsboro, PA 3.0 2.0 1583 $2,000 $1.26 13d 1 0.34mi
17 Joseph Ln Thornhurst Township, PA 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,295 $1.91 13d 1 0.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$117 · $1,404/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $179,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,709
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,057
− Management
−$2,057
− HOA
−$1,404
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$1,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$331
After-tax cash flow
$3,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Thornhurst

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,076

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.45%
Current HPI
399.903
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $179,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-06-04 Sold (MLS) $42,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2016-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2013-09-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 PMAR
  • 2013-03-13 Listed $29,900 PMAR
  • 2008-07-09 Listed $134,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2007-07-02 Listed $134,900 PMAR
  • 2005-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-08 Sold (MLS) $118,000 PMAR
  • 2005-05-12 Listed $114,900 PMAR
  • 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,600 Public Records
  • 2001-01-01 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2000-08-14 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2000-08-14 Listed $59,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+28.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $48,701 · +1169.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…