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124 Tedford St
B Composite 74.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

124 Tedford St · Tupelo, MS 38801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1960 6,534 sqft lot Est $123k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, and washer/dryer remain. Floored attic, triple pane (Thermogard) windows. Central H/A less than 10 years old. Home sold ''As-Is''. Please turn off lights and leave thermostat @ current setting. Taxes estimated with homestead $486.37. AHS Warranty provided. All info subject to verification.

Key facts

  • Shaded lot
  • Laundry room
  • Large backyard

Tags

BRICK AND SIDING HOMESHADED LOTEAT-IN KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOMCOVERED BACK PATIOLARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax approximately $928.65

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot dimensions 51 x 131; Approximately 0.15 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator; Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#26 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
  • Tupelo Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #28 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $90k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.56%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,000
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
214 S Highland Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+5%) 11mo $135,000 $130 71
1513 Reed St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,066 (+8%) 15mo $133,000 $125 59
420 Lakeview Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 988 (+0%) 21mo $70,000 $71 59
500 Augusta St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,086 (+10%) 13mo $139,000 $128 46
625 Maynard St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-11%) 24mo $100,000 $114 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$8,559
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$53,249
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38801

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $335 -5% $310 +0% $284 +5% $259 +10% $234
Rent -10% $197 -5% $241 +0% $284 +5% $328 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $307 base $284 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508 Lumpkin Ave Tupelo, MS 3.0 2.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 2 0.50mi
405 Lumpkin Ave Tupelo, MS 1.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 45d 2 0.53mi
328 N Madison St Apt 1 Tupelo, MS 2.0 2.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 45d 1 1.31mi
151 S Green St Unit 4 Tupelo, MS 2.0 1.0 950 $1,235 $1.30 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $89,900 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 214-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,321
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,003
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,066
− Management
−$1,066
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$2,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$501
After-tax cash flow
$2,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tupelo Public School District
NCES district ID
2804320
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,002
Composite
37.26/100
National rank
#4456
State rank
#28 of 130 in MS

Livability — Tupelo

Score
72/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#6369

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tupelo, MS
County
Lee County · 52,445 people
City population
46,551
Metro
Tupelo, MS
Population (ZIP)
29,858
Household income
$62,946
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
890.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,253 people
By 2030
92,125 · +2.1%
By 2040
94,914 · +5.2%
By 2050
95,841 · +6.2%
By 2075
94,189 · +4.4%
By 2100
83,736 · -7.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: -30.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.8 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+30.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.12%
Current HPI
173.1355
Rent YoY
▲ 7.30%
Metro
Tupelo, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+106.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $89,900 NEMSBD
  • 2020-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-19 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2014-03-11 Listed $43,500 NEMSBD

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2020): $1,003 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…