1611 North St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
Key facts
- Brick row home
- Local amenities
- Built 1911
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,918/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 20% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.74%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,114
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -6.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 N 18th St | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 | 1,772 (+2%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $79 | 82 |
| 1824 State St | 0.20mi | 5/1.5 | 1,828 (+6%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $46 | 79 |
| 1246 Walnut St | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,775 (+3%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 1719 Cumberland St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (+10%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $105 | 61 |
| 24 S 15th St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,806 (+4%) | 3mo | $144,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 1209 Market St | 0.51mi | 5/1.5 | 1,902 (+10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $76 | 56 |
| 1403 N 15th St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,571 (-9%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 1212 Derry St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,644 (-5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 1815 Holly St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-2%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $84 | 54 |
| 1209 Chestnut St | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-6%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $37 | 51 |
| 1937 Zarker St | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 1958 Bellevue Rd | 0.61mi | 5/1.0 | 1,935 (+12%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $90 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $31,280
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $125,780
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $636
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 29 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2368 Canby St Harrisburg, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 14d | 10 | 1.01mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,740 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17pricestatusdays on market $119,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-08historical
-
2026-01-13price $137,000
-
2026-01-12status Active
-
2025-11-09status Pending
-
2025-10-31$100,000 Active
-
2022-04-25soldstatus $119,000
-
2022-04-15soldstatus $119,000 Closed 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
-
2022-02-17status Pending 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
-
2022-01-13status Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
-
2022-01-03status Pending 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
-
2021-12-16$115,000 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
City living on a quiet street. This beautiful duplex with natural light that pours in the new windows and private parking has enough room for the whole family. As you walk in you will notice the living room, dining room, and kitchen flow together to give you the perfect living space on the main floor . Enjoy having a full bathroom on the second floor close to two bedrooms and extra room/office space with balcony to relax on. On the second floor you will find a master bedroom with walk in closet and full bathroom on suite, giving you the space and comfort, you deserve. Walking distance to the state capitol and down town Harrisburg, where you can enjoy local restaurant, coffee shops, and a walk by the river front.
-
2003-08-07soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,404 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,404 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,404
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,841
- − Management
- −$1,841
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $6,125
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,470
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+197.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $137,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-15 Sold (MLS) $119,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-16 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,404 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…