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102 Jefferson Ave Duplex
A- Composite 80.82
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$84,900

102 Jefferson Ave · Rochester, NY 14611
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1915 4,961 sqft lot Est $135k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to this unique two-family residence. The front portion of the first floor features a one-bedroom apartment. The remainder of the first floor is part of the second apartment, which includes a spacious kitchen, a living/dining area, and a full bathroom. Upstairs, the second apartment boasts four bedrooms. This home offers versatile living arrangements and ample space for comfortable living. Both units in this property are purposely VACANT to make an easier transition to new owner. This property DOES have a Valid C OF O. Its an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupiers to generate additional income by renting out the one-bedroom unit. Additionally, the home features a two-

Key facts

  • Two family residence
  • Living dining area
  • Full bathroom

Tags

TWO FAMILY RESIDENCEONE BEDROOM APARTMENTSPACIOUS KITCHENLIVING DINING AREAFULL BATHROOMFOUR BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $969/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 33.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,126/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $85k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.68%
Cap rate
33.68%
Cash-on-cash
97.83%
DSCR
5.35
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,824
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Terry St 0.07mi 5/2.0 1,828 (+3%) 23mo $165,000 $90 72
177 Clifton St 0.47mi 5/3.0 1,768 (-0%) 6mo $75,000 $42 68
706 W Broad St 0.49mi 5/2.0 1,628 (-8%) 2mo $157,000 $96 62
55 Madison St 0.15mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,893 (+7%) 23mo $144,750 $76 58
271 Champlain St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,784 (+1%) 15mo $90,000 $50 53
70 Walnut St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,641 (-8%) 10mo $70,000 $43 52
250 Reynolds St 0.72mi 5/— 1,575 (-11%) 0mo $154,777 $98 48
387 Verona St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-12%) 12mo $75,000 $48 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$120,885
Equity at exit
$12,919
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.15×
Total profit
$312,651
Equity at exit
$7,787

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14611

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,126 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $612/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$656
Net cashflow
$1,938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $673
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 33%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
649 Jay St Rochester, NY 5.0 2.0 2144 $2,000 $0.93 3d 1 0.62mi
48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1700 $1,400 $0.82 14d 1 0.91mi
161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,400 $0.87 14d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    listed $84,900 Active
  3. 2025-07-11
    status Active
  4. 2025-05-12
    status Pending
  5. 2025-04-23
    listed $89,990 Active
  6. 2024-09-19
    price $94,000
  7. 2024-08-07
    listed $104,900 Active
  8. 2012-04-30
    soldstatus $19,500
  9. 2012-04-27
    soldstatus $19,500
  10. 2012-01-23
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$612 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,024 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$411/yr (+$34/mo · 67.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,512
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$612
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,001
− Management
−$3,001
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$23,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,579
After-tax cash flow
$17,676/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,145
Household income
$31,376
Rent vs Own
64.5% rent · 35.5% own
Severe rent burden
2168.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.93%
Current HPI
262.1549
Rent YoY
▲ 6.37%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+241.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $84,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-11 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-12 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-04-23 Listed $89,990 UNYREIS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $94,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-07 Listed $104,900 UNYREIS
  • 2012-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
  • 2012-04-27 Sold (MLS) $19,500 UNYREIS
  • 2012-01-23 Listed $24,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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