30 Old Wolcott Rd · Bristol, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.
Key facts
- 0.58 acre lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer connection; Oil fuel with above-ground tank
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Covered deck; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Oil-fired hot water
- Interior features: Bonus room; Sitting room; Full unfinished basement; Attic with storage space and hatch access; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (17.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Side School (math 32% / reading 39%, grade F, #335 of 553 statewide, top 61%, 480 students, 52% FRL); Chippens Hill Middle School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #111 of 175 statewide, top 63%, 580 students, 53% FRL); Bristol Central High School (math 25% / reading 55%, grade F, #106 of 194 statewide, top 54%, 1,246 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $225k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.33%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $307,385
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -26.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 Judson Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+2%) | 4mo | $356,000 | $309 | 59 |
| 54 Allen St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,109 (-2%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $266 | 58 |
| 46 Cherry St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+6%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $271 | 54 |
| 123 Wolcott Rd | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 20mo | $300,000 | $300 | 52 |
| 1 Ridgewood St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,250 (+11%) | 14mo | $262,000 | $210 | 46 |
| 176 Rockwell Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 5mo | $419,900 | $350 | 42 |
| 314 Old Wolcott Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-15%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $333 | 42 |
| 87 Magnolia Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (-12%) | 16mo | $255,000 | $258 | 41 |
| 13 Benjamin St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 974 (-14%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $293 | 39 |
| 70 Allen St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (+10%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $264 | 38 |
| 109 Sherbrook St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-3%) | 22mo | $325,000 | $298 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-42,917
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-31,597
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06010
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$361 /mo · $4,333/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-47 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-238 | +10% $-302 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-321 | -5% $-248 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-102 | +10% $-29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-117 | base $-175 | +0.5pp $-233 | +1.0pp $-292 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 MacArthur Ct Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 46 Woodard Dr Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,556 | $1.71 | 3d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 193 Newell Ave Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 171 Newell Ave Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,300 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 174 Newell Ave Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 182 Greene St Unit 2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 72 Colony St Apt 2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 149 Union St Unit 149-08 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,450 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 149 Union St Unit 149-01 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 159 Union St Unit 159-A3 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 159 Union St Unit 159-E2 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 111 Union St Unit 111-A2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 50 Hillside Pl Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 25 Pratt St Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 57 Union St Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $2,850 | $2.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,190 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 130 Church St Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1422 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 21 Sigourney St Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 218 West St Unit B2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 218 West St Unit B1 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,525 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 100 Main St Unit 201 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1283 | $2,300 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 100 Main St Unit 208 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $2,000 | $2.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 404 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1213 | $2,500 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 210 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 305 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1259 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 209 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,900 | $2.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 310 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 130 Main St Unit 409 Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $1,950 | $2.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 46 Willis St Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 44 Kelley St Unit 1 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,400 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 100 N Main St Bristol, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,900 | $2.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 100 N Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 100 N Main St Unit 105 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,600 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 57 Kelley St Unit 3 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 12d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 34 Center St Unit 2 Bristol, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 62 Briarwood Rd Apt 2 Bristol, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-05status Under Contract 886-char remark
-
2026-04-27$225,000 Active 886-char remark
-
2026-04-24historical $225,000 886-char remark
-
2001-07-06soldstatus $122,500 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.
-
2001-07-06soldstatus $128,000
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.
-
2001-04-24$127,900 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.
-
2000-11-13soldstatus $117,000
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
Sweet, updated farmhouse with plenty of land country living in bristol! Front &back porches to enjoy! New kitchen, dining rm--open and airy (3rd bdrm is tandem)
-
2000-09-01$119,000
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
Sweet, updated farmhouse with plenty of land country living in bristol! Front &back porches to enjoy! New kitchen, dining rm--open and airy (3rd bdrm is tandem)
-
1999-02-09soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,333 · $361/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,574 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 5.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,179
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$4,333
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,774
- − Management
- −$1,774
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,977
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $-661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,953
- Composite
- 32.07/100
- National rank
- #5814
- State rank
- #109 of 153 in CT
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #1585
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 61,684
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,684
- Household income
- $79,314
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -293.55%
- Current HPI
- 255.5419
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.41%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+309.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $225,000 Smart MLS
- 2001-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-06 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Smart MLS
- 2001-04-24 Listed $127,900 Smart MLS
- 2000-11-13 Sold (MLS) $117,000 Smart MLS
- 2000-09-01 Listed $119,000 Smart MLS
- 1999-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,333 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…