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30 Old Wolcott Rd
D Composite 43.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

30 Old Wolcott Rd · Bristol, CT 06010
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,129 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1915 0.58 ac lot $199/sqft · 27% below area Est $307k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.

Key facts

  • 0.58 acre lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer connection; Oil fuel with above-ground tank
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Covered deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Oil-fired hot water
  • Interior features: Bonus room; Sitting room; Full unfinished basement; Attic with storage space and hatch access; Total of 6 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Side School (math 32% / reading 39%, grade F, #335 of 553 statewide, top 61%, 480 students, 52% FRL); Chippens Hill Middle School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #111 of 175 statewide, top 63%, 580 students, 53% FRL); Bristol Central High School (math 25% / reading 55%, grade F, #106 of 194 statewide, top 54%, 1,246 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $122k; list at $225k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,823 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$307,385
List price
$225,000
Delta
-26.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67 Judson Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+2%) 4mo $356,000 $309 59
54 Allen St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,109 (-2%) 3mo $295,000 $266 58
46 Cherry St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,201 (+6%) 8mo $325,000 $271 54
123 Wolcott Rd 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-11%) 20mo $300,000 $300 52
1 Ridgewood St 0.48mi 2/1.5 1,250 (+11%) 14mo $262,000 $210 46
176 Rockwell Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+6%) 5mo $419,900 $350 42
314 Old Wolcott Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 960 (-15%) 12mo $320,000 $333 42
87 Magnolia Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 988 (-12%) 16mo $255,000 $258 41
13 Benjamin St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 974 (-14%) 2mo $285,000 $293 39
70 Allen St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,248 (+10%) 8mo $330,000 $264 38
109 Sherbrook St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-3%) 22mo $325,000 $298 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-42,917
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-31,597
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06010

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$361 /mo · $4,333/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,069
Max offer price $194,146
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-47 -5% $-111 +0% $-175 +5% $-238 +10% $-302
Rent -10% $-321 -5% $-248 +0% $-175 +5% $-102 +10% $-29
Rate -1.0pp $-61 -0.5pp $-117 base $-175 +0.5pp $-233 +1.0pp $-292

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 MacArthur Ct Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 3d 1 0.58mi
46 Woodard Dr Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 912 $1,556 $1.71 3d 2 0.59mi
193 Newell Ave Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 12d 1 0.67mi
171 Newell Ave Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,300 $2.21 3d 1 0.67mi
174 Newell Ave Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $3,000 $2.73 12d 1 0.70mi
182 Greene St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 45d 1 0.75mi
72 Colony St Apt 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.76mi
66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 1232 $1,350 $1.10 45d 1 0.81mi
66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 1232 $1,350 $1.10 25d 1 0.81mi
149 Union St Unit 149-08 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.5 1250 $2,450 $1.96 3d 1 0.84mi
149 Union St Unit 149-01 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,900 $1.73 3d 1 0.84mi
159 Union St Unit 159-A3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 750 $1,650 $2.20 45d 1 0.84mi
159 Union St Unit 159-E2 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 902 $1,800 $2.00 3d 1 0.84mi
111 Union St Unit 111-A2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 750 $1,650 $2.20 45d 1 0.93mi
50 Hillside Pl Unit 3 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 858 $1,600 $1.86 45d 1 0.94mi
25 Pratt St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,375 $1.29 25d 1 0.99mi
57 Union St Bristol, CT 3.0 2.5 1000 $2,850 $2.85 3d 1 1.00mi
7 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 700 $1,190 $1.70 25d 1 1.10mi
5 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 5d 1 1.10mi
130 Church St Bristol, CT 3.0 1.5 1422 $1,900 $1.34 13d 1 1.10mi
21 Sigourney St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 1.16mi
218 West St Unit B2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 25d 1 1.18mi
218 West St Unit B1 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,525 $1.52 25d 1 1.18mi
100 Main St Unit 201 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1283 $2,300 $1.79 45d 1 1.24mi
100 Main St Unit 208 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 945 $2,000 $2.12 45d 1 1.24mi
130 Main St Unit 404 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1213 $2,500 $2.06 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 210 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 305 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 1259 $2,100 $1.67 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 209 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 866 $1,900 $2.19 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 310 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 1.28mi
130 Main St Unit 409 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 866 $1,950 $2.25 45d 1 1.28mi
46 Willis St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 23d 1 1.28mi
44 Kelley St Unit 1 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 762 $1,400 $1.84 25d 1 1.31mi
100 N Main St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 840 $1,900 $2.26 3d 1 1.31mi
100 N Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 1.31mi
100 N Main St Unit 105 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1441 $2,600 $1.80 21d 1 1.31mi
57 Kelley St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 952 $1,550 $1.63 12d 1 1.32mi
34 Center St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 45d 1 1.32mi
62 Briarwood Rd Apt 2 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Under Contract 886-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $225,000 Active 886-char remark
  3. 2026-04-24
    historical $225,000 886-char remark
  4. 2001-07-06
    soldstatus $122,500 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.

  5. 2001-07-06
    soldstatus $128,000
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.

  6. 2001-04-24
    listed $127,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Lovely farmhouse cape features open front porch, large living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen remodeled, 2 br's plus nursery / sun room, fbath remodeled, 1 att garage w/strge, all light fix & fans stay.

  7. 2000-11-13
    soldstatus $117,000
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Sweet, updated farmhouse with plenty of land country living in bristol! Front &back porches to enjoy! New kitchen, dining rm--open and airy (3rd bdrm is tandem)

  8. 2000-09-01
    listed $119,000
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Sweet, updated farmhouse with plenty of land country living in bristol! Front &back porches to enjoy! New kitchen, dining rm--open and airy (3rd bdrm is tandem)

  9. 1999-02-09
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,333 · $361/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,574 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$241/yr (+$20/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,179
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$4,333
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,774
− Management
−$1,774
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$5,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,434
After-tax cash flow
$-661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bristol School District
NCES district ID
0900510
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,953
Composite
32.07/100
National rank
#5814
State rank
#109 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bristol, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
61,684
Household income
$79,314
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -293.55%
Current HPI
255.5419
Rent YoY
▲ 5.41%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+309.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $225,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $225,000 Smart MLS
  • 2001-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
  • 2001-07-06 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Smart MLS
  • 2001-04-24 Listed $127,900 Smart MLS
  • 2000-11-13 Sold (MLS) $117,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-09-01 Listed $119,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,333 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…