131 Bradford Dr · Carencro, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-maintained and conveniently located property offering comfort, functionality, and peace of mind. Situated near local businesses, schools, churches, and everyday amenities, this 2-bedroom, 1.1-bath home features 1,556 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. A spacious bonus room adds flexibility for a home office, playroom, or additional living area. The home was previously a 3-bedroom, with one bedroom converted into a dining room, and can easily be converted back to a third bedroom if desired. The interior and exterior have been recently painted, creating a fresh and inviting feel throughout. Enjoy granite countertops, crown molding, and a layout that reflects pride of ownership. Step outside to a covered patio overlooking a large fenced backyard--perfect for entertaining, pets, or relaxing outdoors. Additional features include a storage shed, covered parking for three vehicles, and a Generac whole home generator system for added reliability and peace of mind. This move-in ready home offers both convenience and versatility--schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Spacious bonus room
- Covered patio
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Carencro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#65 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 280 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.04%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,021
- List price
- $162,500
- Delta
- -2.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Bradford Dr | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,362 (-11%) | 3mo | $72,800 | $53 | 74 |
| 103 Linares St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-2%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $63 | 63 |
| 102 Linares St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,427 (-6%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 103 Island Nest Cv | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,495 (-2%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $147 | 54 |
| 512 Wisteria Bend Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,474 (-3%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $135 | 54 |
| 408 Wisteria Bend Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (-3%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 4000 N University Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,453 (-5%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $127 | 52 |
| 214 Safe Haven Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (+6%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 211 Cainwood Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,422 (-7%) | 2mo | $220,177 | $155 | 51 |
| 405 Auburn Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (-12%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 218 Dunwoody Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+11%) | 1mo | $244,385 | $145 | 43 |
| 209 Cainwood Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,321 (-13%) | 3mo | $210,787 | $160 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $278
- Equity at exit
- $24,229
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $34,363
- Equity at exit
- $14,050
Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70520
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,788 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$852
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $891/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,625
- Closing costs
- $4,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Oak Path Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 115 Northpointe Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,650 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 124 Saint Fabian Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 124 Saint Fabian Dr Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $162,500 Pending 153 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $162,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $162,500 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $162,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $162,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $162,500 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $162,500 1106-char remark
Show marketing remark (1106 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained and conveniently located property offering comfort, functionality, and peace of mind. Situated near local businesses, schools, churches, and everyday amenities, this 2-bedroom, 1.1-bath home features 1,556 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. A spacious bonus room adds flexibility for a home office, playroom, or additional living area. The home was previously a 3-bedroom, with one bedroom converted into a dining room, and can easily be converted back to a third bedroom if desired. The interior and exterior have been recently painted, creating a fresh and inviting feel throughout. Enjoy granite countertops, crown molding, and a layout that reflects pride of ownership. Step outside to a covered patio overlooking a large fenced backyard--perfect for entertaining, pets, or relaxing outdoors. Additional features include a storage shed, covered parking for three vehicles, and a Generac whole home generator system for added reliability and peace of mind. This move-in ready home offers both convenience and versatility--schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-09$165,000 Active 1106-char remark
Show marketing remark (1106 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained and conveniently located property offering comfort, functionality, and peace of mind. Situated near local businesses, schools, churches, and everyday amenities, this 2-bedroom, 1.1-bath home features 1,556 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. A spacious bonus room adds flexibility for a home office, playroom, or additional living area. The home was previously a 3-bedroom, with one bedroom converted into a dining room, and can easily be converted back to a third bedroom if desired. The interior and exterior have been recently painted, creating a fresh and inviting feel throughout. Enjoy granite countertops, crown molding, and a layout that reflects pride of ownership. Step outside to a covered patio overlooking a large fenced backyard--perfect for entertaining, pets, or relaxing outdoors. Additional features include a storage shed, covered parking for three vehicles, and a Generac whole home generator system for added reliability and peace of mind. This move-in ready home offers both convenience and versatility--schedule your showing today!
-
2025-11-01status Pending
-
2025-07-15historical Contingent (Show)
-
2025-07-14status Active
-
2025-06-27price $150,000
-
2025-03-27price $170,000
-
2024-07-25price $185,000
-
2024-01-06$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $894 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2/yr ($0/mo · 0.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,103
- − Property taxes
- −$891
- − Insurance
- −$812
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − Depreciation
- −$4,727
- Taxable income
- $2,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$598
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,425/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Carencro
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #8277
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carencro, LA
- City population
- 20,134
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,134
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.62%
- Current HPI
- 157.0194
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $162,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-01 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-15 Contingent — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-14 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $170,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-07-25 Price Changed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-01-06 Listed $195,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+39.1%/yrLatest (2025): $891 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…