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4193 Massachusetts Ave N
B Composite 74.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$64,000

4193 Massachusetts Ave N · Cordova, AL 35550
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,490 sqft · SingleFamily · 103 Days on market
Built 1900

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special! This is an AS-IS sale. At one time, it was a duplex. It was converted to single-family living. It could be either way. The house needs repairs. There is no central heating or air conditioning; only window units and space heaters are available. The property can be accessed from an alley off the main road through town. Good rental property or remodel into a one-family dwelling. There are a lot of possibilities for one with an imagination.

Key facts

  • Good rental property
  • Single-family living
  • Garage

Tags

SINGLE-FAMILY LIVINGGOOD RENTAL PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#441 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cordova Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #87 of 627 statewide, top 15%, 351 students, 67% FRL); Cordova High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 467 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($442 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,240 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
19.51%
Cash-on-cash
47.21%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,220
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47 Reservoir St 0.25mi 4/2.0 2,664 (+7%) 17mo $180,000 $68 62
294 Highland Ave 0.24mi 4/3.0 2,381 (-4%) 18mo $184,900 $78 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$53,436
Equity at exit
$29,627
10-year hold
IRR
52.2%
Equity multiple
8.05×
Total profit
$126,352
Equity at exit
$46,331

Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35550

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,452 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$336
Tax est. 1.5%
$80 /mo · $960/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$705

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560
Max offer price $64,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,000
Closing costs
$1,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-07
    listed $64,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,428
− Mortgage interest
−$3,585
− Property taxes
−$960
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,394
− Management
−$1,394
− Depreciation
−$1,862
Taxable income
$7,913
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,899
After-tax cash flow
$6,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
0103450
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,664
Composite
21.51/100
National rank
#8321
State rank
#89 of 129 in AL

Livability — Cordova

Score
55/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#23435

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cordova, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,053

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,037 people
By 2030
58,391 · -4.3%
By 2040
53,080 · -13.0%
By 2050
48,031 · -21.3%
By 2075
37,799 · -38.1%
By 2100
29,001 · -52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.23%
Current HPI
134.7822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $64,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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