CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
965 Ell St Duplex
B- Composite 67.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

965 Ell St · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 760 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1959 7,840 sqft lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity with room to add value! This brick duplex features two 1-bedroom, 1-bath units with separate utilities, a new roof, new plumbing, new flooring, new showers in both units, and new water heaters. The property has already seen several improvements and is ready for the next owner to finish the remaining work, including electrical, with permits already pulled. Whether you're looking to complete the project and hold for rental income or add to a growing portfolio, this duplex offers solid potential. Two additional duplexes next to it are also available, creating the possibility of owning up to six total units together. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • Brick duplex
  • New flooring

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXNEW ROOFNEW PLUMBINGNEW FLOORINGNEW SHOWERSNEW WATER HEATERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Flag lot; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Front porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $467/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 25.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ingram/Pye Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 453 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,643/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.74%
Cap rate
24.97%
Cash-on-cash
66.70%
DSCR
3.97
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$53,171
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
72.9%
Equity multiple
9.18×
Total profit
$137,505
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $294/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$934

Break-even live

Break-even rent $461
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 38%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,643

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 44d 1 0.32mi
2349 Mason St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 552 $625 $1.13 44d 1 0.42mi
672 Bowden St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1076 $900 $0.84 21d 1 0.46mi
771 Harold St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 13d 1 0.57mi
1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 816 $1,075 $1.32 13d 1 0.62mi
663 Williams St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 911 $980 $1.08 44d 1 0.69mi
2445 Lowe St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 940 $890 $0.95 44d 1 0.71mi
614 Cleveland St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 44d 1 0.78mi
3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 897 $745 $0.83 44d 1 0.84mi
558 Cleveland St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 924 $925 $1.00 44d 1 0.84mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1100 $925 $0.84 21d 1 0.87mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.87mi
3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit M-5 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 875 $750 $0.86 44d 1 0.87mi
837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 966 $750 $0.78 44d 1 0.93mi
3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 13d 1 0.95mi
668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 21d 1 1.00mi
832 Elm St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1121 $1,175 $1.05 44d 1 1.01mi
424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 810 $850 $1.05 44d 1 1.02mi
1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 1.04mi
3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $895 $0.85 44d 1 1.17mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 900 $795 $0.88 44d 1 1.29mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 44d 1 1.29mi
1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 44d 1 1.36mi
1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 44d 1 1.38mi
1121 Columbus St Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 13d 1 1.39mi
2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 644 $850 $1.32 21d 1 1.40mi
864 Tattnall St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 640 $800 $1.25 44d 1 1.46mi
867 Orange Ter Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,400 $1.29 44d 1 1.48mi
867 Orange Ter #2 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 1.48mi
3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 675-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $60,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$294 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$552 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$258/yr (+$22/mo · 87.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,716
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$294
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,577
− Management
−$1,577
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$10,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,607
After-tax cash flow
$8,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $60,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $65,000 MGMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-01 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Sold (MLS) $18,000 FMLS
  • 2023-08-01 Sold (MLS) $18,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-07-13 Listed $19,900 FMLS
  • 2023-07-13 Listed $19,900 GAMLS
  • 2003-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $294 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…