Duplex
965 Ell St · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity with room to add value! This brick duplex features two 1-bedroom, 1-bath units with separate utilities, a new roof, new plumbing, new flooring, new showers in both units, and new water heaters. The property has already seen several improvements and is ready for the next owner to finish the remaining work, including electrical, with permits already pulled. Whether you're looking to complete the project and hold for rental income or add to a growing portfolio, this duplex offers solid potential. Two additional duplexes next to it are also available, creating the possibility of owning up to six total units together. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Brick duplex
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Other roof
- Exterior features: Flag lot; Other exterior features
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Front porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $467/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 25.0% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ingram/Pye Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 453 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,643/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.70%
- DSCR
- 3.97
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $53,171
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 72.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.18×
- Total profit
- $137,505
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $294/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $934
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $1,642 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $821 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $821 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,643 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2349 Mason St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $625 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 672 Bowden St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $900 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 771 Harold St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 663 Williams St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $980 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 614 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $745 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 558 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $925 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit M-5 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $750 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 832 Elm St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $895 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1121 Columbus St Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 864 Tattnall St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 867 Orange Ter Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,400 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 867 Orange Ter #2 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-13$60,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $294 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$22/mo · 87.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$294
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,577
- − Management
- −$1,577
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $10,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,607
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $60,000 MGMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $65,000 MGMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $65,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-30 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
- 2023-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-01 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-08-01 Pending — FMLS
- 2023-08-01 Sold (MLS) $18,000 FMLS
- 2023-08-01 Sold (MLS) $18,000 GAMLS
- 2023-07-13 Listed $19,900 FMLS
- 2023-07-13 Listed $19,900 GAMLS
- 2003-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $294 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…