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59 Carey Ln
B+ Composite 78.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

59 Carey Ln · Heath, OH 43056
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,131 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1965 0.30 ac lot Est $225k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Online Auction, the list price reflects the RESERVE (minimum Bid) of $125,000. The Auction ends at 7:00PM Thursday, June 25th, 2026. First time on the market since 1967! This home is located on a quiet dead-end street in the Heath City School district, and is ready for your vision. The owner has kept up with most systems and mechanicals over the years. There are hardwood floors in the living room and all bedrooms. Large . 3 acre lot, walking distance to Stevenson Elementary. Large 2-car block garage. Don't miss this opportunity. Agents, please see 'A2A' remarks. Listing Agent is related to the Seller, and is POA for the Seller.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Auction and standard listing conditions

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family home; One story; Built in 1965; No shared walls
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Insulated windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.5% in Heath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Heath City (suburban): math 62% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #226 of 656 in OH (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.02%
Cash-on-cash
16.88%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$225,069
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
56 Swainford Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-1%) 7mo $238,000 $213 78
235 Cynthia St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-0%) 7mo $257,900 $229 74
70 Fieldpoint Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,122 (-1%) 7mo $200,000 $178 73
18 Swainford Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+2%) 1mo $289,000 $251 72
171 Cynthia St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,166 (+3%) 6mo $295,000 $253 71
521 Partridge Rd 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,066 (-6%) 4mo $212,000 $199 68
1223 W Main St 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,136 (+0%) 2mo $192,500 $169 67
1195 W Main St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,202 (+6%) 1mo $200,000 $166 66
243 Fieldpoint Rd 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,152 (+2%) 3mo $216,000 $188 59
231 Fieldpoint Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,181 (+4%) 2mo $220,000 $186 55
39 N 31st St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+9%) 5mo $236,600 $192 51
67 N 31st St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,290 (+14%) 0mo $275,000 $213 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$11,154
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$50,301
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43056

Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,357/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,144
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1200 Hollar Ln Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 1156 $1,550 $1.34 19d 1 0.19mi
507 S 30th St Apt D Heath, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 1d 1 0.23mi
120 S 32nd St Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,900 $2.64 3d 1 0.26mi
718 Rice St Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 924 $1,100 $1.19 1d 1 0.99mi
718 Rice St Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 924 $1,100 $1.19 23d 1 0.99mi
25 N Chalfant Rd Newark, OH 3.0 1.0 1264 $1,650 $1.31 1d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    historical $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,357 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,357 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,210
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,357
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,697
− Management
−$1,697
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,197
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,007
After-tax cash flow
$4,901/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Heath City
NCES district ID
3904411
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,796
Composite
54.58/100
National rank
#1340
State rank
#226 of 656 in OH

Livability — Heath

Score
72/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#5705

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Heath, OH
County
Licking · 160,960 people
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,485
Household income
$76,833
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
5.6

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, India
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.75%
Current HPI
229.4048
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $125,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,357 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…