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2179 Noble Ln
C+ Composite 61.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

2179 Noble Ln · Mound, MN 55364
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,837 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1977 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; Split entry (bi-level) layout; Entry/main living spaces on main level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Metal exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (bedrooms located on main, upper and lower levels)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Utility room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 1.8% in Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#20 in MN, #559 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Westonka Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in MN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $360k implies a 759% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $359,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.13%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-9,499
Equity at exit
$53,662
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$54,580
Equity at exit
$31,118

Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55364

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,985 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,887
Tax from tax record
$344 /mo · $4,133/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$837
Net cashflow
$767

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,015
Max offer price $359,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,975
Closing costs
$10,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5912 Bartlett Blvd Mound, MN 4.0 2.5 2500 $7,000 $2.80 1d 1 1.02mi
4870 Glasgow Rd Mound, MN 3.0 3.0 2592 $2,924 $1.13 3d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $359,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $359,900 Contingent - Inspection 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $359,900 Contingent - Inspection 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,900 Contingent - Inspection 11 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,900 Contingent - Inspection 10 DOM
  6. 2026-05-21
    listed $359,900 Active
  7. 1977-09-01
    soldstatus $41,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,133 · $344/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,133 · $344/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,823
− Mortgage interest
−$20,160
− Property taxes
−$4,133
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,826
− Management
−$3,826
− Depreciation
−$10,470
Taxable income
$3,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$866
After-tax cash flow
$8,333/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westonka Public School District
NCES district ID
2722920
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$80,965
Composite
59.42/100
National rank
#928
State rank
#14 of 301 in MN

Livability — Mound

Score
85/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#559

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mound, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
14,097
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
14,097
Household income
$108,725
Rent vs Own
18.2% rent · 81.8% own
Severe rent burden
198.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 19% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.23%
Current HPI
249.0081
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+758.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $359,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1977-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,133 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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