300 Delmer St St · Datto, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property or fixer upper home. New roof in late 2025, new ceiling tile in living room and bathroom, refrigerator and cook stove stay.
Key facts
- New ceiling tile
- New roof
- 0.42 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#536 in AR) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Corning School District (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #123 of 238 in AR (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.39%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $38,000
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- 18.42%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Delmer St St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (0%) | 1mo | $38,000 | $43 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $31,080
- Equity at exit
- $20,234
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.92×
- Total profit
- $74,643
- Equity at exit
- $31,183
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72424
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $844 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $105/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $45,000 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great investment property or fixer upper home. New roof in late 2025, new ceiling tile in living room and bathroom, refrigerator and cook stove stay.
-
2026-02-24price $45,000
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great investment property or fixer upper home. New roof in late 2025, new ceiling tile in living room and bathroom, refrigerator and cook stove stay.
-
2026-01-22$50,000 New Listing 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great investment property or fixer upper home. New roof in late 2025, new ceiling tile in living room and bathroom, refrigerator and cook stove stay.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $105 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $288 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 173.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,126
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$105
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$810
- − Management
- −$810
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $4,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,043
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corning School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500009
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,919
- Composite
- 28.73/100
- National rank
- #6679
- State rank
- #123 of 238 in AR
Livability — Datto
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #536
- US rank
- #27369
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Datto, AR
- City population
- 87
- Population (ZIP)
- 87
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,564 people
- By 2030
- 12,834 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 11,498 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 10,325 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 8,228 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 6,675 · -50.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $45,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $45,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $105 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…