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20569 Evergreen Rd
B+ Composite 76.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

20569 Evergreen Rd · Detroit, MI 48219
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 979 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1953 4,356 sqft lot $87/sqft · 11% below area Est $134k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located near the Southfield border—an excellent opportunity for a flip or renovation project. The property features a large living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, and a partially finished basement with two bonus rooms offering flexible use. A detached 2-car garage adds additional value. Conveniently situated near major freeways, shopping, and everyday amenities, this home is well-positioned for strong resale or rental potential. The property does need some work, but presents a great opportunity for the right buyer to add value. Property is being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Two bonus rooms
  • Large living room
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMGENEROUS EAT-IN KITCHENPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTTWO BONUS ROOMSDETACHED 2-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
13.81%
Cash-on-cash
26.86%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,889
List price
$85,000
Delta
-36.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20575 Annchester Rd 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,018 (+4%) 10mo $94,000 $92 71
20050 Kentfield St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 986 (+1%) 13mo $130,000 $132 69
20242 Braile St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,015 (+4%) 6mo $115,000 $113 67
20290 Stout St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,024 (+5%) 11mo $78,000 $76 63
20619 Midway Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 950 (-3%) 8mo $113,500 $119 52
20089 Trinity St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,025 (+5%) 4mo $201,349 $196 51
19811 Plainview Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,082 (+10%) 8mo $121,000 $112 51
19516 Pierson St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,014 (+4%) 9mo $165,000 $163 47
19749 Huntington Rd 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,093 (+12%) 0mo $169,999 $156 46
20317 Bentler St 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,041 (+6%) 6mo $109,400 $105 42
20450 Midway Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 864 (-12%) 5mo $150,000 $174 41
19421 Huntington Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 871 (-11%) 12mo $76,000 $87 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$28,046
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$104,013
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,484 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,900/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $809
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.35mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.53mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.70mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 16d 1 0.85mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 43d 1 0.90mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 5d 1 0.93mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 43d 1 0.95mi
19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 43d 1 1.02mi
20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,453 $1.41 43d 1 1.12mi
19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 915 $1,375 $1.50 15d 1 1.13mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 2d 1 1.13mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 1.14mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,373 $1.80 12d 1 1.16mi
19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,275 $1.41 43d 1 1.18mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.21mi
20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 16d 1 1.21mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.25mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 16d 1 1.30mi
20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 5d 1 1.34mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 1.35mi
20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,500 $1.44 5d 1 1.36mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.38mi
20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,350 $1.31 24d 1 1.43mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 16d 1 1.43mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $89,000 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located near the Southfield border - an excellent opportunity for a flip or renovation project. The property features a large living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, and a partially finished basement with two bonus rooms offering flexible use. A detached 2-car garage adds additional value. Conveniently situated near major freeways, shopping, and everyday amenities, this home is well-positioned for strong resale or rental potential. The property does need some work, but presents a great opportunity for the right buyer to add value. Property is being sold AS IS.

  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $89,000 Active 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    CALLING ALL INVESTORS! Spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located near the Southfield border - an excellent opportunity for a flip or renovation project. The property features a large living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, and a partially finished basement with two bonus rooms offering flexible use. A detached 2-car garage adds additional value. Conveniently situated near major freeways, shopping, and everyday amenities, this home is well-positioned for strong resale or rental potential. The property does need some work, but presents a great opportunity for the right buyer to add value. Property is being sold AS IS.

  16. 2026-02-07
    historical
  17. 2026-02-07
    historical
  18. 2025-06-16
    listed $119,000 Active
  19. 2025-06-16
    listed $119,000 Active
  20. 2021-12-16
    soldstatus $84,900
  21. 2019-02-05
    soldstatus $70,000
  22. 1998-01-06
    soldstatus $32,000
  23. 1998-01-06
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,900 · $158/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,805
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,900
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,424
− Management
−$1,424
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,295
After-tax cash flow
$5,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+178.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
  • 2019-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1998-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1998-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,900 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…