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5767 Main St 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 68.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

5767 Main St · Lexington, MI 48450
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 450 sqft · SingleFamily · 235 Days on market
Built 1973 3,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lakeside 2BR/1BA Furnished Trailer Home almost fully furnished 176 Sq Ft Florida Room, has a great yard with shed and lawn tools, Card table in sun-room does not stay. Just a few Steps to Lake Huron. Drive to Lexington and Escape to your lakeside retreat on the beautiful shores of Lake Huron. This move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath trailer home comes fully furnished and ready to enjoy just bring your personal touches and start living the lakeside lifestyle immediately. Key features:-2 bedrooms, have newer Purple Brand Full size mattresses 1 bath-Fully furnished, turnkey-176 sq ft Florida room for morning coffee, reading, or entertaining-Outdoor cooking and entertaining area- Thoughtful, space-maximizing layout for comfort and practicality-Just a very short walk from the private park beach easy access to sandy shores and sparkling waters! Location and lifestyle:-Private park community Lot rent including water and sewer $623.00 with easy access to lake activities, sunsets, and relaxed lakefront living- Perfect for weekend getaways, seasonal living, or full-time residence Price and inclusions:-Price includes furnishings for a hassle-free move-in.

Key facts

  • Outdoor cooking area
  • Florida room
  • Fully furnished

Tags

FULLY FURNISHEDFLORIDA ROOMOUTDOOR COOKING AREAPRIVATE PARK COMMUNITYEASY ACCESS TO LAKE ACTIVITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio/porch; Patio; Porch; Shed(s); Beach access; Lot on a cul-de-sac; Level lot; Private maintained road; Private road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Range hood; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms and living areas combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Furnished; Range hood
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Other laundry hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($797 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.1% in Lexington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#494 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Croswell-Lexington Community Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #239 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Sanilac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sanilac County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.93%
Cash-on-cash
37.99%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$16,074
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
40.9%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$43,053
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48450

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$797 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$167
Net cashflow
$354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 235 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 234 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 233 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 232 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 229 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 226 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 224 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 221 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 219 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 218 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 217 DOM
  15. 2026-04-26
    price $39,900 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Lakeside 2BR/1BA Furnished Trailer Home almost fully furnished 176 Sq Ft Florida Room, has a great yard with shed and lawn tools, Card table in sun-room does not stay. Just a few Steps to Lake Huron. Drive to Lexington and Escape to your lakeside retreat on the beautiful shores of Lake Huron. This move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath trailer home comes fully furnished and ready to enjoy just bring your personal touches and start living the lakeside lifestyle immediately. Key features:-2 bedrooms, have newer Purple Brand Full size mattresses 1 bath-Fully furnished, turnkey-176 sq ft Florida room for morning coffee, reading, or entertaining-Outdoor cooking and entertaining area- Thoughtful, space-maximizing layout for comfort and practicality-Just a very short walk from the private park beach easy access to sandy shores and sparkling waters! Location and lifestyle:-Private park community Lot rent including water and sewer $623.00 with easy access to lake activities, sunsets, and relaxed lakefront living- Perfect for weekend getaways, seasonal living, or full-time residence Price and inclusions:-Price includes furnishings for a hassle-free move-in.

  16. 2026-04-25
    price $39,900
  17. 2025-10-24
    listed $44,900 Active 1158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Lakeside 2BR/1BA Furnished Trailer Home almost fully furnished 176 Sq Ft Florida Room, has a great yard with shed and lawn tools, Card table in sun-room does not stay. Just a few Steps to Lake Huron. Drive to Lexington and Escape to your lakeside retreat on the beautiful shores of Lake Huron. This move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath trailer home comes fully furnished and ready to enjoy just bring your personal touches and start living the lakeside lifestyle immediately. Key features:-2 bedrooms, have newer Purple Brand Full size mattresses 1 bath-Fully furnished, turnkey-176 sq ft Florida room for morning coffee, reading, or entertaining-Outdoor cooking and entertaining area- Thoughtful, space-maximizing layout for comfort and practicality-Just a very short walk from the private park beach easy access to sandy shores and sparkling waters! Location and lifestyle:-Private park community Lot rent including water and sewer $623.00 with easy access to lake activities, sunsets, and relaxed lakefront living- Perfect for weekend getaways, seasonal living, or full-time residence Price and inclusions:-Price includes furnishings for a hassle-free move-in.

  18. 2025-10-24
    listed $44,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1158 chars)

    Lakeside 2BR/1BA Furnished Trailer Home almost fully furnished 176 Sq Ft Florida Room, has a great yard with shed and lawn tools, Card table in sun-room does not stay. Just a few Steps to Lake Huron. Drive to Lexington and Escape to your lakeside retreat on the beautiful shores of Lake Huron. This move-in-ready 2-bedroom, 1-bath trailer home comes fully furnished and ready to enjoy just bring your personal touches and start living the lakeside lifestyle immediately. Key features:-2 bedrooms, have newer Purple Brand Full size mattresses 1 bath-Fully furnished, turnkey-176 sq ft Florida room for morning coffee, reading, or entertaining-Outdoor cooking and entertaining area- Thoughtful, space-maximizing layout for comfort and practicality-Just a very short walk from the private park beach easy access to sandy shores and sparkling waters! Location and lifestyle:-Private park community Lot rent including water and sewer $623.00 with easy access to lake activities, sunsets, and relaxed lakefront living- Perfect for weekend getaways, seasonal living, or full-time residence Price and inclusions:-Price includes furnishings for a hassle-free move-in.

  19. 2009-01-01
    historical
  20. 2008-05-21
    listed $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,561
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$765
− Management
−$765
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$3,838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$921
After-tax cash flow
$3,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Croswell-Lexington Community Schools
NCES district ID
2611140
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,784
Composite
32.49/100
National rank
#5707
State rank
#239 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lexington

Score
64/100
State rank
#494
US rank
#14509

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lexington, MI
Population (ZIP)
4,413

Population outlook (Sanilac County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,948 people
By 2030
35,772 · -5.7%
By 2040
30,996 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,280 · -30.7%
By 2075
17,471 · -54.0%
By 2100
10,572 · -72.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sanilac

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.5% · R 73.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -47.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.43%
Current HPI
252.2563
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-05-21 Listed $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…