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2506 4th Ave E
C+ Composite 60.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$131,500

2506 4th Ave E · Tuscaloosa, AL 35401
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1947 6,534 sqft lot Est $152k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sold Before Published

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: University Place Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #424 of 627 statewide, top 68%, 599 students, 64% FRL); Central High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 783 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 59% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,288/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $909 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,833 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.14%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,304
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2506 4th Ave E 0.00mi 2/2.0 912 (0%) 1mo $131,500 $144 99
405 26th St St E 0.04mi 2/1.0 912 (0%) 9mo $115,000 $126 87
10 Arlington Dr 0.07mi 2/1.0 916 (+0%) 9mo $155,000 $169 84
304 Orange St 0.17mi 2/1.0 928 (+2%) 4mo $75,000 $81 81
2917 Narrow Lane Rd 0.21mi 2/1.0 888 (-3%) 10mo $160,000 $180 73
301 Orange St 0.15mi 2/1.0 960 (+5%) 13mo $160,000 $167 70
107 Orange St 0.23mi 2/1.0 850 (-7%) 12mo $149,900 $176 64
402 26th St St E 0.03mi 2/1.0 816 (-10%) 22mo $135,000 $165 59
6 Arlington Dr 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (+14%) 18mo $135,000 $130 51
307 19th St E 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,028 (+13%) 22mo $225,000 $219 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,994
Equity at exit
$19,607
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$34,513
Equity at exit
$11,370

Cash invested: $36,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35401

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
306
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,288 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$690
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $651/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,011
Max offer price $131,500
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,875
Closing costs
$3,945
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2300 5th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0 1.0 540 $830 $1.54 44d 1 0.28mi
632 23rd St E Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.5 960 $1,058 $1.10 21d 2 0.36mi
621 E 33rd St Unit D Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 44d 1 0.57mi
713 33rd St E Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 2.0 1036 $815 $0.79 44d 1 0.60mi
235 James I Harrison Jr Pkwy E Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1259 $984 $0.78 44d 37 0.77mi
20 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1320 $2,400 $1.82 44d 4 0.79mi
80 16th St Unit 1-8 Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1320 $2,400 $1.82 44d 4 0.80mi
3504 12th Ave E Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0–1.5 1019 $1,037 $1.02 44d 10 0.87mi
1813 Hackberry Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 2.0 894 $1,450 $1.62 44d 1 0.87mi
3820 1st Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,044 $1.25 44d 11 0.89mi
1415 2nd East Ct Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.5 1033 $2,200 $2.13 44d 1 0.92mi
1925 8th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0 794 $1,054 $1.33 13d 1 0.99mi
1800 Hargrove East Rd Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $875 $0.92 13d 1 1.05mi
1805 8th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $1,380 $1.17 44d 1 1.07mi
900 Hargrove Rd Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,089 $1.30 44d 1 1.14mi
1515 Kicker Rd Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,025 $0.98 44d 1 1.36mi
715 Dogwood Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,099 $0.98 13d 3 1.40mi
1105 Skyland Blvd E Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0 1.0 832 $879 $1.06 13d 3 1.45mi
30 Beverly Hts Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 13d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    listed $131,500
  2. 2026-04-09
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$651 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$651 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,460
− Mortgage interest
−$7,366
− Property taxes
−$651
− Insurance
−$658
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,237
− Management
−$1,237
− Depreciation
−$3,825
Taxable income
$487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$117
After-tax cash flow
$2,513/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa City
NCES district ID
0103360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,474
Composite
24.51/100
National rank
#7647
State rank
#74 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuscaloosa, AL
County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,459
Household income
$29,152
Rent vs Own
73.0% rent · 27.0% own
Severe rent burden
3997.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.40%
Current HPI
179.8335
Rent YoY
▲ 6.29%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Delisted WAMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $131,500 WAMLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $651 · +69.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…