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768D Hudson Pkwy 🏢 Co-op
B Composite 71.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

768D Hudson Pkwy · Manchester, NJ 08759
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 797 sqft · SingleFamily · 358 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition $280/mo HOA ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Clubhouse amenities
  • All appliances

Tags

LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGFRESH PAINTMOVE IN READYALL APPLIANCESCLUBHOUSE AMENITIESCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $79,000 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.58%
Cap rate
18.17%
Cash-on-cash
42.43%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,390
List price
$79,000
Delta
-4.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
768A Hudson Pkwy 0.01mi 2/1.0 797 (0%) 13mo $84,000 $105 89
24 Ironside Dr Unit B 0.15mi 2/1.0 797 (0%) 10mo $75,000 $94 85
81 A Franklin Ln 0.33mi 2/1.0 797 (0%) 15mo $80,000 $100 72
12B Constitution Blvd 0.07mi 1/1.0 (-1) 750 (-6%) 14mo $73,000 $97 70
32 Columbus Blvd Unit A 0.31mi 1/1.0 (-1) 782 (-2%) 8mo $75,000 $96 70
6 Columbus Blvd Unit C 0.61mi 2/1.0 797 (0%) 2mo $118,000 $148 70
21 A Homestead 0.10mi 2/1.0 912 (+14%) 3mo $93,500 $103 69
1D Bristol St 0.44mi 1/1.0 (-1) 814 (+2%) 3mo $109,000 $134 68
14 Betsy Ross Ln Unit A 0.25mi 2/1.0 900 (+13%) 3mo $74,000 $82 64
105 E Constitution Blvd 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 850 (+7%) 1mo $60,000 $71 57
6 Pembroke Ln Unit C 0.59mi 2/1.0 880 (+10%) 3mo $169,000 $192 53
20b Greenleaf St #51 0.41mi 2/1.0 880 (+10%) 13mo $175,000 $199 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$37,220
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
5.40×
Total profit
$97,384
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08759

Active inventory
648
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$280
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$427
Net cashflow
$782

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9A Juniper Ln Unit 50 Whiting, NJ 1.0 1.0 1009 $1,950 $1.93 43d 1 0.51mi
19B Maplewood Dr #52 Whiting, NJ 2.0 1.5 1109 $2,250 $2.03 16d 1 0.60mi
57D Milford Ave Unit 53 Whiting, NJ 2.0 1.0 880 $1,800 $2.05 24d 1 0.84mi
50 Westport Dr #71 Whiting, NJ 2.0 1.0 1120 $2,200 $1.96 1d 1 0.92mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$280 · $3,360/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 358 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 357 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 356 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 355 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 353 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 349 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 348 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 347 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 344 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 343 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 342 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 341 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 340 DOM
  14. 2026-02-06
    price $79,000 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  15. 2026-02-06
    price $79,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  16. 2025-11-10
    price $84,000 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  17. 2025-11-10
    price $84,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  18. 2025-08-24
    price $89,000 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  19. 2025-08-24
    price $89,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  20. 2025-06-25
    listed $94,818 Active 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

  21. 2025-06-24
    listed $94,818 Active 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,428
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,954
− Management
−$1,954
− HOA
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$8,856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,125
After-tax cash flow
$7,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home in Crestwood Village 3 offers a bright and spacious layout with new flooring and fresh paint, making it an ideal choice for a low-maintenance lifestyle.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Township School District
NCES district ID
3409450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,905
Composite
28.8/100
National rank
#6662
State rank
#320 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Manchester

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Crestwood Village, NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,290

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.85%
Current HPI
274.4679
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $79,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $84,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $84,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-08-24 Price Changed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-24 Price Changed $89,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $94,818 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $94,818 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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