🏢 Co-op
768D Hudson Pkwy · Manchester, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Clubhouse amenities
- All appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $782 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.43%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,390
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -4.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 768A Hudson Pkwy | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (0%) | 13mo | $84,000 | $105 | 89 |
| 24 Ironside Dr Unit B | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (0%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $94 | 85 |
| 81 A Franklin Ln | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (0%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $100 | 72 |
| 12B Constitution Blvd | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-6%) | 14mo | $73,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 32 Columbus Blvd Unit A | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 782 (-2%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $96 | 70 |
| 6 Columbus Blvd Unit C | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (0%) | 2mo | $118,000 | $148 | 70 |
| 21 A Homestead | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+14%) | 3mo | $93,500 | $103 | 69 |
| 1D Bristol St | 0.44mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 814 (+2%) | 3mo | $109,000 | $134 | 68 |
| 14 Betsy Ross Ln Unit A | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+13%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 105 E Constitution Blvd | 0.55mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+7%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $71 | 57 |
| 6 Pembroke Ln Unit C | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+10%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $192 | 53 |
| 20b Greenleaf St #51 | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+10%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $199 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $37,220
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $97,384
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08759
- Active inventory
- 648
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$280
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $782
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A Juniper Ln Unit 50 Whiting, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,950 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 19B Maplewood Dr #52 Whiting, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1109 | $2,250 | $2.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 57D Milford Ave Unit 53 Whiting, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 50 Westport Dr #71 Whiting, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $280 · $3,360/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-02-06price $79,000 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2026-02-06price $79,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-11-10price $84,000 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-11-10price $84,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-08-24price $89,000 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-08-24price $89,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-06-25$94,818 Active 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
-
2025-06-24$94,818 Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to easy living in the desirable 55+ community of Crestwood Village 3 in Manchester Township. This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with brand new luxury vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint throughout. The bright and spacious layout is move-in ready and includes all appliances—refrigerator, stove, washer, and dryer—for your convenience. Enjoy the benefits of low-maintenance co-op ownership in a quiet, age-restricted community with access to clubhouse amenities and planned activities. Located close to shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home is the perfect blend of affordability and lifestyle. Don't miss this opportunity to enjoy all that adult community living has to offer!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,954
- − Management
- −$1,954
- − HOA
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $8,856
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This move-in ready home in Crestwood Village 3 offers a bright and spacious layout with new flooring and fresh paint, making it an ideal choice for a low-maintenance lifestyle.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace air conditioning unit — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Upgrade lighting fixtures — Enhances aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,905
- Composite
- 28.8/100
- National rank
- #6662
- State rank
- #320 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Manchester
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crestwood Village, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,290
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.85%
- Current HPI
- 274.4679
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $79,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $79,000 MOMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $84,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $84,000 MOMLS
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $89,000 MOMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $94,818 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $94,818 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…