2917 Vineyards Pkwy #2 · Branson, MO 65616

$189,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · Condo public records · 284 Days on market

Built 2007 $160/sqft · 21% below area Est $238k · 21% under $235/mo HOA · 13% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +11.9/30.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• DSCR +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Turn-Key Nightly Rental Opportunity - 2917 Vineyards Pkwy #2, BransonHGTV-inspired, fully furnished, & income-producing--this 3 bed, 2 bath condo is the ultimate Branson retreat! Whether you're seeking a private second home, full-time getaway, or proven passive income, this turn-key unit comes ready to enjoy with rental income already on the books. The location offers the best of both worlds--just minutes to two of the Ozarks' most beloved lakes. Enjoy stunning Lake Taneycomo with world-class trout fishing, peaceful kayaking & paddleboarding, or head to Table Rock Lake for exciting watersports, fishing tournaments, endless coves, floating restaurants, the cliffs, summer fireworks by Silver Dollar City, & more. Plus, a community pool is just steps from your front door. Inside, fall in love with the open-concept layout designed for comfort & style. The kitchen features beautiful granite counters, full-size stainless appliances, ample cabinetry & pantry, plus full laundry. Dining flows seamlessly into the bright, spacious living area with a patio slider leading to a covered back patio w/ peaceful wooded views & easy walk-out for the kiddos & fur babies--feel submerged in nature yet minutes from all your city perks. Across the living rests two spacious guest bedrooms & full bath, while the private owner's suite offers comfort & convenience for extended stays. And the location couldn't be better--tucked in a quiet community yet less than 5 minutes to the Branson Strip for live entertainment, shopping, dining, museums, & family fun. Also approx 10 minutes to the ever popular Silver Dollar City and even more adventure hiking/biking Mark Twain National Forest. Truly something for everyone. Easy, income-producing, lake-close, city close living in the heart of the rolling Ozark Hills.

Key facts

• Community pool
• Covered back patio
• Granite counters

Tags

• NIGHTLY RENTAL OPPORTUNITY
• COMMUNITY POOL
• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• GRANITE COUNTERS
• FULL-SIZE STAINLESS APPLIANCES
• COVERED BACK PATIO

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-586/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (4.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (2.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Branson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in MO, #2,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
• Branson R-IV (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 1048 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 284 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $166,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 284 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.98%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.11%
• DSCR: 0.95
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $238,496
• List price: $189,000
• Delta: -20.75%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-33,772
• Equity at exit: $28,181

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-33,570
• Equity at exit: $16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65616

• Home prices YoY: -24.3%
• Rents YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 1048
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,836 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$991
• Tax from tax record: −$195 /mo · $2,335/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$235
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$386
• Net cashflow: $-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898

Max offer price $180,380

Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,250
• Closing costs: $5,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2905 Vineyards Pkwy #5 Branson, MO	3.0	2.0	1147	$1,850	$1.61	43d	1	0.02mi
2907 Vineyards Pkwy #2 Branson, MO	3.0	2.0	1147	$1,850	$1.61	43d	1	0.02mi
3515 Arlene St Branson, MO	2.0	2.0	880	$1,025	$1.16	43d	1	0.61mi
513 Lakewood Rd Branson, MO	3.0	3.0	1487	$1,750	$1.18	43d	1	1.15mi
325 Majestic Dr Branson, MO	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	941	$1,650	$1.75	43d	2	1.36mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $235 · $2,820/yr
• Likely covers: waterpool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $189,000 Active 284 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,000 Active 283 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,000 Active 282 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,000 Active 281 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,000 Active 280 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $189,000 Active 278 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $189,000 Active 277 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,000 Active 274 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $189,000 Active 273 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $189,000 Active 272 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 268 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 267 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 266 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 265 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 264 DOM
16. 2026-04-30
    price $199,000 1862-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1862 chars)

    Turn-Key Nightly Rental Opportunity - 2917 Vineyards Pkwy #2, BransonHGTV-inspired, fully furnished, & income-producing--this 3 bed, 2 bath condo is the ultimate Branson retreat! Whether you're seeking a private second home, full-time getaway, or proven passive income, this turn-key unit comes ready to enjoy with rental income already on the books. The location offers the best of both worlds--just minutes to two of the Ozarks' most beloved lakes. Enjoy stunning Lake Taneycomo with world-class trout fishing, peaceful kayaking & paddleboarding, or head to Table Rock Lake for exciting watersports, fishing tournaments, endless coves, floating restaurants, the cliffs, summer fireworks by Silver Dollar City, & more. Plus, a community pool is just steps from your front door. Inside, fall in love with the open-concept layout designed for comfort & style. The kitchen features beautiful granite counters, full-size stainless appliances, ample cabinetry & pantry, plus full laundry. Dining flows seamlessly into the bright, spacious living area with a patio slider leading to a covered back patio w/ peaceful wooded views & easy walk-out for the kiddos & fur babies--feel submerged in nature yet minutes from all your city perks. Across the living rests two spacious guest bedrooms & full bath, while the private owner's suite offers comfort & convenience for extended stays. And the location couldn't be better--tucked in a quiet community yet less than 5 minutes to the Branson Strip for live entertainment, shopping, dining, museums, & family fun. Also approx 10 minutes to the ever popular Silver Dollar City and even more adventure hiking/biking Mark Twain National Forest. Truly something for everyone. Easy, income-producing, lake-close, city close living in the heart of the rolling Ozark Hills.

17. 2026-02-10
    price $209,000 1862-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1862 chars)

    Turn-Key Nightly Rental Opportunity - 2917 Vineyards Pkwy #2, BransonHGTV-inspired, fully furnished, & income-producing--this 3 bed, 2 bath condo is the ultimate Branson retreat! Whether you're seeking a private second home, full-time getaway, or proven passive income, this turn-key unit comes ready to enjoy with rental income already on the books. The location offers the best of both worlds--just minutes to two of the Ozarks' most beloved lakes. Enjoy stunning Lake Taneycomo with world-class trout fishing, peaceful kayaking & paddleboarding, or head to Table Rock Lake for exciting watersports, fishing tournaments, endless coves, floating restaurants, the cliffs, summer fireworks by Silver Dollar City, & more. Plus, a community pool is just steps from your front door. Inside, fall in love with the open-concept layout designed for comfort & style. The kitchen features beautiful granite counters, full-size stainless appliances, ample cabinetry & pantry, plus full laundry. Dining flows seamlessly into the bright, spacious living area with a patio slider leading to a covered back patio w/ peaceful wooded views & easy walk-out for the kiddos & fur babies--feel submerged in nature yet minutes from all your city perks. Across the living rests two spacious guest bedrooms & full bath, while the private owner's suite offers comfort & convenience for extended stays. And the location couldn't be better--tucked in a quiet community yet less than 5 minutes to the Branson Strip for live entertainment, shopping, dining, museums, & family fun. Also approx 10 minutes to the ever popular Silver Dollar City and even more adventure hiking/biking Mark Twain National Forest. Truly something for everyone. Easy, income-producing, lake-close, city close living in the heart of the rolling Ozark Hills.

18. 2025-09-08
    listed $217,000 Active 1862-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1862 chars)

    Turn-Key Nightly Rental Opportunity - 2917 Vineyards Pkwy #2, BransonHGTV-inspired, fully furnished, & income-producing--this 3 bed, 2 bath condo is the ultimate Branson retreat! Whether you're seeking a private second home, full-time getaway, or proven passive income, this turn-key unit comes ready to enjoy with rental income already on the books. The location offers the best of both worlds--just minutes to two of the Ozarks' most beloved lakes. Enjoy stunning Lake Taneycomo with world-class trout fishing, peaceful kayaking & paddleboarding, or head to Table Rock Lake for exciting watersports, fishing tournaments, endless coves, floating restaurants, the cliffs, summer fireworks by Silver Dollar City, & more. Plus, a community pool is just steps from your front door. Inside, fall in love with the open-concept layout designed for comfort & style. The kitchen features beautiful granite counters, full-size stainless appliances, ample cabinetry & pantry, plus full laundry. Dining flows seamlessly into the bright, spacious living area with a patio slider leading to a covered back patio w/ peaceful wooded views & easy walk-out for the kiddos & fur babies--feel submerged in nature yet minutes from all your city perks. Across the living rests two spacious guest bedrooms & full bath, while the private owner's suite offers comfort & convenience for extended stays. And the location couldn't be better--tucked in a quiet community yet less than 5 minutes to the Branson Strip for live entertainment, shopping, dining, museums, & family fun. Also approx 10 minutes to the ever popular Silver Dollar City and even more adventure hiking/biking Mark Twain National Forest. Truly something for everyone. Easy, income-producing, lake-close, city close living in the heart of the rolling Ozark Hills.

19. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus Closed 774-char remark

    Show marketing remark (774 chars)

    Welcome to your dream vacation rental in Branson, Missouri! This stunning three-bedroom, two-bathroom condo is the epitome of luxury and comfort. Recently updated with HGTV-worthy finishes, this stylishly decorated retreat boasts a fully equipped kitchen and magnificent bathrooms that will make you feel like you're in a spa. Located just a stone's throw away from the renowned Silver Dollar City and breathtaking Table Rock Lake, this prime location allows you to easily explore all the exciting attractions Branson has to offer. And if you're looking for a great investment opportunity, you'll be pleased to know that this condo is a strong performer in terms of short-term rental revenue. Book your showing now and get ready make your offer, this stunner will sell Fast!

20. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus

    Show marketing remark (774 chars)

    Welcome to your dream vacation rental in Branson, Missouri! This stunning three-bedroom, two-bathroom condo is the epitome of luxury and comfort. Recently updated with HGTV-worthy finishes, this stylishly decorated retreat boasts a fully equipped kitchen and magnificent bathrooms that will make you feel like you're in a spa. Located just a stone's throw away from the renowned Silver Dollar City and breathtaking Table Rock Lake, this prime location allows you to easily explore all the exciting attractions Branson has to offer. And if you're looking for a great investment opportunity, you'll be pleased to know that this condo is a strong performer in terms of short-term rental revenue. Book your showing now and get ready make your offer, this stunner will sell Fast!

21. 2024-01-03
    status Pending 774-char remark

    Show marketing remark (774 chars)

    Welcome to your dream vacation rental in Branson, Missouri! This stunning three-bedroom, two-bathroom condo is the epitome of luxury and comfort. Recently updated with HGTV-worthy finishes, this stylishly decorated retreat boasts a fully equipped kitchen and magnificent bathrooms that will make you feel like you're in a spa. Located just a stone's throw away from the renowned Silver Dollar City and breathtaking Table Rock Lake, this prime location allows you to easily explore all the exciting attractions Branson has to offer. And if you're looking for a great investment opportunity, you'll be pleased to know that this condo is a strong performer in terms of short-term rental revenue. Book your showing now and get ready make your offer, this stunner will sell Fast!

22. 2023-09-04
    listed $240,000 Active 774-char remark

    Show marketing remark (774 chars)

    Welcome to your dream vacation rental in Branson, Missouri! This stunning three-bedroom, two-bathroom condo is the epitome of luxury and comfort. Recently updated with HGTV-worthy finishes, this stylishly decorated retreat boasts a fully equipped kitchen and magnificent bathrooms that will make you feel like you're in a spa. Located just a stone's throw away from the renowned Silver Dollar City and breathtaking Table Rock Lake, this prime location allows you to easily explore all the exciting attractions Branson has to offer. And if you're looking for a great investment opportunity, you'll be pleased to know that this condo is a strong performer in terms of short-term rental revenue. Book your showing now and get ready make your offer, this stunner will sell Fast!

23. 2020-03-17
    soldstatus
24. 2020-03-13
    soldstatus
25. 2020-01-13
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,335 · $195/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,335 · $195/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,036
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,587
• − Property taxes: −$2,335
• − Insurance: −$945
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,763
• − Management: −$1,763
• − HOA: −$2,820
• − Depreciation: −$5,498
• Taxable loss: −$3,675
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$882
• After-tax cash flow: $297/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Branson R-IV
• NCES district ID: 2905760
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,473
• Composite: 41.96/100
• National rank: #3347
• State rank: #44 of 324 in MO

Livability — Branson

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #32
• US rank: #2940

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Branson, MO
• County: Taney County · 28,460 people
• City population: 28,460
• Metro: Branson, MO
• Population (ZIP): 28,460
• Household income: $60,489
• Rent vs Own: 41.8% rent · 58.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1065.0

Population outlook (Taney County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,017 people
• By 2030: 61,235 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 65,225 · +10.5%
• By 2050: 68,842 · +16.6%
• By 2075: 77,705 · +31.7%
• By 2100: 82,002 · +38.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taney

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.9% · R 79.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -59.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -64.45%
• Current HPI: 200.8392
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• Metro: Branson, MO
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+109.5% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $199,000 SOMO
• 2026-02-10 Price Changed $209,000 SOMO
• 2025-09-08 Listed $217,000 SOMO
• 2024-02-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
• 2024-01-03 Pending — SOMO
• 2023-09-04 Listed $240,000 SOMO
• 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2020-03-13 Sold (MLS) — SOMO
• 2020-01-13 Listed $95,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+16.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,335 · +188.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.