622 Texas Ct · Fort Pierce, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Investor's Special. Cash only
Key facts
- 4,220 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space; No carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: Built with block/CBS construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Building area recorded at 1,086 total
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Individual central cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,515/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $75k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.63%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,080
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1704 South Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-12%) | 24mo | $140,000 | $194 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $27,811
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.29×
- Total profit
- $90,120
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34950
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,515 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,623/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $553
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Texas Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 624 S 12th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1002 Boston Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $2,000 | $2.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 127 S 10th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $1,800 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,620 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 804 Orange Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 804 Orange Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 136 N 15th St Unit C Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,375 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 321 N 11th St Unit C Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1850 Nebraska Ave Unit 204 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Unit 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 103 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 924 | $1,599 | $1.73 | 14d | 5 | 0.64mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,699 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 104 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 203 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,599 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 508 Means Ct Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $775 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 434 N 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,500 | $2.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1016 Chipola Rd Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 529 N 11th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 634 | $1,200 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1127 E Avenue Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,800 | $2.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1604 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 701 N 9th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $1,395 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2050 Oleander Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,395 | $1.67 | 23d | 4 | 1.02mi |
| 2011 Oleander Blvd Unit C Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 660 | $1,450 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2015 Oleander Blvd Unit D Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 660 | $1,475 | $2.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2016 S 10th St Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 312 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,600 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2302 Sunrise Blvd #201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,500 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2050 Oleander Blvd Unit 703 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,800 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2016 Golfview Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,750 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2908 Dunbar St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 31-char remark
-
2026-06-18$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,623 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,623 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,623
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,454
- − Management
- −$1,454
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $5,887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,413
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #3360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Pierce, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 78,556
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,461
- Household income
- $30,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1995.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.20%
- Current HPI
- 384.8532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.94%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+650.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS
- 1988-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1976-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,623 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…