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1704 Taylor St
B- Composite 65.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

1704 Taylor St · Lynchburg, VA 24504
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1911 6,303 sqft lot Est $129k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, central a/c, great investment property, priced well below tax assessment, with a little tlc will make good starter or investment property.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • New water heater
  • Historic home

Tags

HISTORIC HOMENEW SIDINGFRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIOR TRIMNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Built with crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sandusky Elementary (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 352 students, 91% FRL); Sandusky Middle (math 29% / reading 52%, grade F, #303 of 342 statewide, top 89%, 568 students, 96% FRL); Heritage High (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 1,073 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 61% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $130k implies a 392% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.48%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,876
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1113 18th St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,283 (+0%) 4mo $54,500 $42 90
1800 Floyd St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,370 (+7%) 3mo $190,000 $139 79
1205 Fillmore St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,370 (+7%) 3mo $47,500 $35 67
1114 Knight St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,085 (-15%) 0mo $43,600 $40 65
1417 Floyd St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-12%) 1mo $203,500 $182 64
2228 High St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,233 (-3%) 2mo $21,500 $17 62
1900 Park Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,244 (-2%) 3mo $172,000 $138 57
1930 Vine Street St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,110 (-13%) 6mo $112,000 $101 56
1312 Taylor St 0.26mi 2/— (-1) 1,463 (+15%) 4mo $25,000 $17 55
1732 Otey St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-8%) 6mo $90,000 $77 52
1310 9th St St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,138 (-11%) 2mo $185,000 $163 52
906 8th Street St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,132 (-11%) 4mo $135,000 $119 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,348
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$45,439
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24504

Home prices YoY
-12.7%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,473 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $994
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,195 $0.89 21d 1 0.12mi
1308 16th St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,800 $1.30 13d 1 0.13mi
1518 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,800 $1.15 13d 1 0.22mi
1514 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,800 $1.15 13d 1 0.23mi
1415 Floyd St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 21d 1 0.25mi
1316 Harrison St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.5 1535 $1,500 $0.98 44d 1 0.40mi
1219 Pierce St Unit 1221 Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1168 $825 $0.71 13d 1 0.42mi
1105 Fillmore St Unit B Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 0.48mi
1106 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1018 $875 $0.86 21d 1 0.49mi
1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1118 $1,167 $1.04 21d 6 0.51mi
900 Polk St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1100 $895 $0.81 13d 1 0.59mi
812 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1872 $1,950 $1.04 13d 1 0.61mi
1500 Main St Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1182 $1,600 $1.35 13d 6 0.62mi
1008 8th St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,795 $1.36 21d 1 0.65mi
800 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA 4.0 1.0 1714 $1,295 $0.76 44d 1 0.70mi
2269 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 44d 1 0.78mi
601 Jackson St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1138 $1,595 $1.40 44d 1 0.79mi
2336 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1042 $995 $0.95 13d 1 0.80mi
710 Grady St Unit B Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1872 $795 $0.42 13d 1 0.81mi
801 Church St Unit 8 Lynchburg, VA 2.0 2.0 875 $1,850 $2.11 13d 1 0.83mi
512 Polk St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1340 $1,295 $0.97 21d 1 0.84mi
2518 Carter St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1091 $1,500 $1.37 44d 1 0.91mi
1625 Shaffer St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 895 $850 $0.95 44d 1 0.94mi
317 Polk St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 925 $1,650 $1.78 44d 1 0.96mi
403 Grove St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 0.99mi
612 Commerce St Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $1,250 $1.74 13d 2 1.00mi
317 Grove St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 1.03mi
318 Wadsworth St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 943 $995 $1.06 21d 1 1.04mi
2734 Fort Ave Lynchburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,450 $1.66 44d 1 1.04mi
630 Park Ln Lynchburg, VA 4.0 1.5 1434 $1,895 $1.32 13d 1 1.09mi
320 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1736 $1,595 $0.92 44d 1 1.14mi
209 Munford St Lynchburg, VA 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,497 $1.05 44d 1 1.16mi
1705 1st St Unit A Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 21d 1 1.19mi
216 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 1114 $995 $0.89 44d 1 1.23mi
507 Victoria Ave Unit 507 Lynchburg, VA 4.0 2.0 1480 $1,700 $1.15 21d 1 1.43mi
803 Mansfield Ave Lynchburg, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 21d 1 1.44mi
2205 Mayflower Dr Lynchburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$598 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$467/yr (+$39/mo · 78.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,674
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,414
− Management
−$1,414
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,543
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$610
After-tax cash flow
$3,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lynchburg City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102340
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,097
Composite
40.4/100
National rank
#3730
State rank
#104 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lynchburg

Score
91/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#58

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lynchburg, VA
County
Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
City population
97,036
Metro
Lynchburg, VA
Population (ZIP)
9,632
Household income
$52,571
Rent vs Own
46.4% rent · 53.6% own
Severe rent burden
552.0

Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,977 people
By 2030
93,626 · +6.4%
By 2040
106,145 · +20.7%
By 2050
120,783 · +37.3%
By 2075
162,249 · +84.4%
By 2100
191,358 · +117.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.39%
Current HPI
229.4423
Rent YoY
▲ 4.56%
Metro
Lynchburg, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1199.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $129,900 LMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $119,000 LMLS
  • 2020-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records
  • 2020-11-12 Sold (MLS) $26,400 LMLS
  • 2020-10-08 Listed $29,900 LMLS
  • 2020-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $13,750 Public Records
  • 2010-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 1996-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $31,900 Public Records
  • 1992-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $598 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…