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153 Devona Ln
D+ Composite 49.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$150,000

153 Devona Ln · Eubank, KY 42567
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 2008 $103/sqft · 40% above area Est $107k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

## Peaceful Country Living Meets Modern Versatility! Escape the noise and settle into this charming * * 3-bedroom, 2-bath * * home nestled on a beautiful * * . 38-acre lot * * . If you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ve been dreaming of quiet mornings and starry nights with plenty of room for your hobbies, this is the one. * * The Highlights: * * * * * Flexible Space: * * The standout feature is a spacious add-on room. Whether you need a 4th bedroom, a massive walk-in closet, a dedicated home gym, or the ultimate game room & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; the choice is yours! * * * Accessibility & amp; Ease: * * This home is designed for everyone. With

Key facts

  • Spacious add-on room
  • Outside storage shed
  • Sturdy ramps

Tags

SPACIOUS ADD-ON ROOMSTURDY RAMPSOUTSIDE STORAGE SHEDSEPARATE WORKSHOP BUILDINGDEDICATED PARKING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.7% in Eubank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#262 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Lincoln County (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #131 of 165 in KY (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Waynesburg Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #572 of 676 statewide, top 88%, 190 students, 83% FRL); Lincoln County Middle School (math 18% / reading 38%, grade F, #165 of 217 statewide, top 77%, 745 students, 67% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #151 of 254 statewide, top 61%, 951 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lincoln County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.87%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,981
List price
$150,000
Delta
40.21%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$25,554
Equity at exit
$61,461
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$79,893
Equity at exit
$90,305

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42567

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,572 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $309 -5% $257 +0% $205 +5% $154 +10% $102
Rent -10% $81 -5% $143 +0% $205 +5% $268 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $281 -0.5pp $244 base $205 +0.5pp $167 +1.0pp $127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $150,000 Active 1530-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,867
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,509
− Management
−$1,509
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$82
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20
After-tax cash flow
$2,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln County
NCES district ID
2103480
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$35,356
Composite
22.68/100
National rank
#8042
State rank
#131 of 165 in KY

Livability — Eubank

Score
65/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#12947

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,150

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,293 people
By 2030
22,392 · -3.9%
By 2040
20,336 · -12.7%
By 2050
18,016 · -22.7%
By 2075
12,976 · -44.3%
By 2100
8,446 · -63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.9% · R 80.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -61.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.2 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+57.3 2012: R+41.9 2008: R+38.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.28%
Current HPI
263.9851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $140 · -19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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