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10302 103rd St
B+ Composite 77.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

10302 103rd St · Jacksonville, FL 32210
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,483 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1961 Fair condition 0.49 ac lot Est $260k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Phenomenal opportunity on the Westside! Whether you're looking for your next investment project, rental property, or a place to call home, this property delivers. Featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, ample living space, and so much more, this home offers endless potential. Perfect for anyone looking to create a pad split opportunity. The lot speaks for itself -- a huge backyard with a detached shed that can be used as a workshop, storage space, or even converted into a detached garage. Plenty of room for extra vehicles, equipment, or anything else you may need. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Huge backyard
  • Storage space
  • Workshop

Tags

HUGE BACKYARDDETACHED SHEDWORKSHOPSTORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking available
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; North-facing
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Private road frontage; Several trees; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Split bedroom floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westview K-8 (math 38% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 1,222 students, 63% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.63%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,525
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10302 103rd St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,483 (0%) 1mo $130,000 $88 100
5338 Walkers Ridge Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,547 (+4%) 15mo $270,000 $175 41
5842 Piper Glen Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,623 (+9%) 9mo $308,900 $190 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,846
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$49,230
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32210

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,884 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $649 -5% $602 +0% $555 +5% $509 +10% $462
Rent -10% $406 -5% $481 +0% $555 +5% $630 +10% $704
Rate -1.0pp $623 -0.5pp $590 base $555 +0.5pp $520 +1.0pp $485

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10281 Magnolia Hills Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1564 $1,900 $1.21 25d 1 0.38mi
10628 Waterfield Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1429 $1,900 $1.33 25d 1 0.43mi
9956 Somerset Grove Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,675 $1.43 25d 1 0.48mi
5437 Tellaro Ln Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1395 $1,795 $1.29 22d 1 0.51mi
5216 Brighton Park Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,795 $1.22 12d 1 0.63mi
5138 Sawmill Point Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,820 $1.02 25d 1 0.73mi
5229 Walkers Ridge Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,795 $1.20 25d 1 0.76mi
9732 Chirping Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,800 $1.28 5d 1 0.78mi
9541 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,668 $1.60 3d 21 0.99mi
9455 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1090 $1,720 $1.58 3d 18 1.10mi
6560 Sandlers Preserve Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,095 $1.15 9d 1 1.14mi
9359 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 848 $1,479 $1.74 3d 1 1.26mi
6332 Trimpe Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1769 $1,995 $1.13 3d 1 1.27mi
6214 Rolling Tree St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1790 $2,125 $1.19 6d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    remarks 599-char remark
  2. 2026-06-01
    listed $135,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,606
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,808
− Management
−$1,808
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$4,800
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,152
After-tax cash flow
$5,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home presents a moderate renovation opportunity with fair condition. Updating the kitchen and bathrooms, along with landscaping, will significantly increase its value for both resale and rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and finishes — modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more interest

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $12,000–60,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and finishes — modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more interest

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
65,729
Household income
$61,050
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.81%
Current HPI
281.2688
Rent YoY
▲ 2.11%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $135,000 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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