10302 103rd St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Phenomenal opportunity on the Westside! Whether you're looking for your next investment project, rental property, or a place to call home, this property delivers. Featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, ample living space, and so much more, this home offers endless potential. Perfect for anyone looking to create a pad split opportunity. The lot speaks for itself -- a huge backyard with a detached shed that can be used as a workshop, storage space, or even converted into a detached garage. Plenty of room for extra vehicles, equipment, or anything else you may need. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Huge backyard
- Storage space
- Workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Additional parking available
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; North-facing
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Private road frontage; Several trees; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split bedroom floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westview K-8 (math 38% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 1,222 students, 63% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.63%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,525
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10302 103rd St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,483 (0%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $88 | 100 |
| 5338 Walkers Ridge Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,547 (+4%) | 15mo | $270,000 | $175 | 41 |
| 5842 Piper Glen Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,623 (+9%) | 9mo | $308,900 | $190 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,846
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $49,230
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,884 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $649 | -5% $602 | +0% $555 | +5% $509 | +10% $462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $406 | -5% $481 | +0% $555 | +5% $630 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $623 | -0.5pp $590 | base $555 | +0.5pp $520 | +1.0pp $485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10281 Magnolia Hills Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,900 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10628 Waterfield Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9956 Somerset Grove Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,675 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5437 Tellaro Ln Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $1,795 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5216 Brighton Park Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5138 Sawmill Point Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,820 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5229 Walkers Ridge Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9732 Chirping Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9541 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,668 | $1.60 | 3d | 21 | 0.99mi |
| 9455 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1090 | $1,720 | $1.58 | 3d | 18 | 1.10mi |
| 6560 Sandlers Preserve Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9359 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,479 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6332 Trimpe Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,995 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6214 Rolling Tree St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $2,125 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01remarks 599-char remark
-
2026-06-01$135,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,808
- − Management
- −$1,808
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $4,800
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,152
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home presents a moderate renovation opportunity with fair condition. Updating the kitchen and bathrooms, along with landscaping, will significantly increase its value for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and finishes — modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more interest
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen countertops · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathrooms with new fixtures and finishes — modernizing the bathrooms will appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — improved landscaping will enhance the home's curb appeal and attract more interest ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $135,000 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…