The Lawson Plan · Kingston, GA 30145

$260,990

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,650 sqft · SingleFamily · 625 Days on market

Excellent condition ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• DSCR +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Lawson opens to a nice foyer and leads to a connected living-dining-kitchen layout that spans the entire width of the home. An open living and dining area connects the kitchen and the rear yard for effortless entertaining. A split staircase leads upstairs, where you'll find three generous bedrooms, a laundry room, and spacious closets. The owner's suite also enjoys views of the rear yard and is separated from two other bedrooms.

Key facts

• Split staircase
• Foyer
• Rear yard

Tags

• FOYER
• LIVING DINING KITCHEN LAYOUT
• REAR YARD
• SPLIT STAIRCASE
• LAUNDRY ROOM
• SPACIOUS CLOSETS

🏗️ New construction. The $260,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $288,453.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $261k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (4.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (16.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $219k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#294 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kingston Elementary School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #926 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 526 students, 68% FRL); Cass Middle School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #185 of 470 statewide, top 40%, 879 students, 58% FRL); Cass High School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,551 students, 51% FRL).
• Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 625 days — a 12% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $219,221 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 625 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.76% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.20%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.89%
• DSCR: 0.83
• GRM: 11.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $288,453
• List price: $260,990
• Delta: -9.52%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
853 Kensington St	0.04mi	3/2.5	1,650 (0%)	3mo	$281,550	$171	96
842 Kensington St	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,650 (0%)	5mo	$304,800	$185	91
821 Kensington	0.12mi	3/2.5	1,650 (0%)	4mo	$294,900	$179	91
809 Kensington St	0.05mi	3/2.5	1,813 (+10%)	3mo	$269,400	$149	79
815 Kensington St	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,770 (+7%)	4mo	$313,040	$177	78
840 Kensington St	0.10mi	3/2.5	1,813 (+10%)	6mo	$285,900	$158	74
846 Kensington St	0.10mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,813 (+10%)	5mo	$334,339	$184	70
612 Tudor St	0.36mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,544 (-6%)	4mo	$295,000	$191	63
89 Oxford Ln	0.47mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,696 (+3%)	5mo	$295,000	$174	62
519 Pemberton St	0.40mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,544 (-6%)	4mo	$286,000	$185	60
109 Oxford Ln	0.33mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,808 (+10%)	6mo	$290,000	$160	56
93 Oxford Ln	0.44mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,808 (+10%)	1mo	$285,000	$158	55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.22×
• Total profit: $-63,369
• Equity at exit: $43,009

10-year hold

• IRR: -17.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.05×
• Total profit: $-76,499
• Equity at exit: $24,940

Cash invested: $80,767 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 14 active · 14 under contract
• Months of supply: 6.5 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $281,450 ($164/sqft)
• Median days on market: 143 d
• This list price: 7% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +6.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30145

• Home prices YoY: -18.3%
• Active inventory: 213
• Price-to-rent: 9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,192 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,513
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$361 /mo · $4,327/yr
• Insurance: −$120
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$460
• Net cashflow: $-262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,523

Max offer price $250,602

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-62	-5% $-162	+0% $-262	+5% $-361	+10% $-461
Rent	-10% $-435	-5% $-348	+0% $-262	+5% $-175	+10% $-88
Rate	-1.0pp $-116	-0.5pp $-188	base $-262	+0.5pp $-336	+1.0pp $-412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $72,113
• Closing costs: $8,654
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA	4.0	3.0	1774	$2,300	$1.30	5d	1	0.18mi
133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA	4.0	3.0	1774	$2,200	$1.24	3d	1	0.18mi
133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA	4.0	3.0	1774	$2,200	$1.24	10d	1	0.18mi
556 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA	4.0	2.0	1607	$2,250	$1.40	184d	1	0.19mi
128 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA	3.0	2.5	1620	$2,000	$1.23	113d	1	0.19mi
542 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA	4.0	2.5	1696	$2,500	$1.47	6d	1	0.28mi
522 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA	4.0	3.0	1779	$2,200	$1.24	184d	1	0.37mi
518 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA	4.0	3.0	1808	$2,500	$1.38	10d	1	0.40mi
538 Pemberton St Kingston, GA	4.0	3.0	1808	$2,300	$1.27	184d	1	0.43mi
210 Coventry Ct Kingston, GA	4.0	2.5	2014	$1,889	$0.94	121d	1	0.71mi
10 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA	3.0	2.5	1606	$1,795	$1.12	184d	1	0.77mi
8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA	4.0	2.5	2009	$1,945	$0.97	18d	1	0.78mi
8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA	4.0	2.5	2009	$1,986	$0.99	21d	1	0.78mi
8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA	4.0	2.5	2009	$1,945	$0.97	10d	1	0.78mi
3 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA	4.0	3.0	1818	$1,861	$1.02	29d	1	0.79mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-11-08
   days on market $260,990 Active 625 DOM
2. 2026-11-07
   days on market $260,990 Active 624 DOM
3. 2026-11-06
   days on market $260,990 Active 623 DOM
4. 2026-11-05
   days on market $260,990 Active 622 DOM
5. 2026-11-04
   days on market $260,990 Active 621 DOM
6. 2026-11-02
   days on market $260,990 Active 619 DOM
7. 2026-11-01
   days on market $260,990 Active 618 DOM
8. 2026-10-31
   days on market $260,990 Active 617 DOM
9. 2026-10-30
   days on market $260,990 Active 616 DOM
10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $260,990 Active 615 DOM
11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $260,990 Active 614 DOM
12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $260,990 Active 613 DOM
13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $260,990 Active 612 DOM
14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $260,990 Active 611 DOM
15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $260,990 Active 610 DOM
16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $260,990 Active 609 DOM
17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $260,990 Active 608 DOM
18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $260,990 Active 607 DOM
19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $260,990 Active 606 DOM
20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $260,990 Active 605 DOM
21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $260,990 Active 604 DOM
22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $260,990 Active 603 DOM
23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $260,990 Active 602 DOM
24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $260,990 Active 601 DOM
25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $260,990 Active 600 DOM
26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $260,990 Active 599 DOM
27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $260,990 Active 598 DOM
28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $260,990 Active 597 DOM
29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $260,990 Active 596 DOM
30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $260,990 Active 595 DOM
31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $260,990 Active 594 DOM
32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $260,990 Active 593 DOM
33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $260,990 Active 592 DOM
34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $260,990 Active 591 DOM
35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $260,990 Active 590 DOM
36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $260,990 Active 589 DOM
37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $260,990 Active 588 DOM
38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $260,990 Active 587 DOM
39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $260,990 Active 586 DOM
40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $260,990 Active 585 DOM
41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $260,990 Active 584 DOM
42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $260,990 Active 583 DOM
43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $260,990 Active 582 DOM
44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $260,990 Active 581 DOM
45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $260,990 Active 580 DOM
46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $260,990 Active 579 DOM
47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $260,990 Active 578 DOM
48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $260,990 Active 577 DOM
49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $260,990 Active 576 DOM
50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $260,990 Active 575 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,307
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,158
• − Property taxes: −$4,327
• − Insurance: −$1,442
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,105
• − Management: −$2,105
• − Depreciation: −$8,391
• Taxable loss: −$8,221
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,973
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,166/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from landscaping and painting to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both Painting — refreshes interior and exterior ↑
• Both Lighting — improves ambiance and safety ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 25/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Kingston Elementary School F GA #926/1,228 Nat'l #34,815/41,679 Middle Cass Middle School F GA #185/470 Nat'l #7,347/14,009 High Cass High School F GA #225/424 Nat'l #13,947/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bartow County
• NCES district ID: 1300330
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $50,596
• Composite: 29.16/100
• National rank: #6577
• State rank: #70 of 174 in GA

C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Kingston

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #294
• US rank: #16075

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kingston, GA
• County: Bartow · 107,887 people
• Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
• Population (ZIP): 9,065
• Household income: $73,995
• Rent vs Own: 10.0% rent · 90.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1% of renters

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Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 107,887 people
• By 2030: 109,594 · +1.6%
• By 2040: 111,038 · +2.9%
• By 2050: 109,046 · +1.1%
• By 2075: 99,484 · -7.8%
• By 2100: 83,431 · -22.7%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

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Political lean MEDSL · Bartow

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -63.20%
• Current HPI: 282.8922
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-5.1% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $277,900 Zillow
• 2025-02-22 Listed $292,900 Zillow